What is Michael Darcy's strike rate?

Michael Darcy has won 86 of 1,693 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Darcy do best at?

Tramore by strike rate: 9 wins from 98 rides (9.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Michael Darcy ride most for?

Paul W Flynn, with 169 rides since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (9.5%).

What is Michael Darcy's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 1,693 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Michael Darcy

1,693 rides in the lifetime window · 753 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Mar 2018 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

86–1,693

Wins / Runs

5.1%

Strike rate

n=1,693

324 (19%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=1,693 · 0.67 incl. margin

−842.43

£1 level stake

n=1,693 at SP · −49.8%

£1.09m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 150 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 12% (87 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,693 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Apr–May 27.5% when favourite Paul W Flynn: 9.5% from 169 LTO winners: 11.5% Rode the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Tipperary (13.5%, n=37), clear of the rider's 5.1% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 11.5% (n=87, Fair A/E 1.01). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −190.33 to a £1 stake over 390 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Paul W Flynn supplied 10% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.5% vs 5.1%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (9.9%, n=172). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the INH Stallion Owners EBF Novice Hurdle at Punchestown (Dec 2006, £26,040). Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.9%−1.2

n=689 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −363.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.5%+6.4

n=87 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −24.59

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

3.6%−1.5

n=390 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −190.33

When favourite

27.5%

n=51 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −8.43

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−0.5

n=1,154 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −631.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.8%−1.3

n=78 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −40.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Tipperary 13.5% vs 5.1% · n=37

With Sabrina J Harty 11.8% vs 5.1% · n=76

On last-time-out winners 11.5% vs 5.1% · n=87

On Good to Firm going 9.9% vs 5.1% · n=172

With Paul W Flynn 9.5% vs 5.1% · n=169

With debutants 0% vs 5.1% · n=72

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,180 58 4.9% −667.74

Chase 512 28 5.5% −173.69

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 543 23 4.2% −242.27

Heavy 432 17 3.9% −296.87

Good 371 23 6.2% −133.25

Good to Firm 172 17 9.9% −42.90

Good to Soft 133 6 4.5% −85.14

Firm 42 0 0% −42.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Limerick 165 10 6.1% −98.39

Cork 147 10 6.8% −45.08

Thurles 107 5 4.7% −44.50

Tramore 98 9 9.2% +5.50

Kilbeggan 95 2 2.1% −79.25

Gowran Park 95 5 5.3% −41.40

Fairyhouse 95 1 1.1% −85.00

Clonmel 93 7 7.5% −42.25

Punchestown 91 2 2.2% −77.75

Navan 77 3 3.9% −64.12

Downpatrick 76 4 5.3% −32.00

Wexford 63 3 4.8% −41.00

Down Royal 61 2 3.3% −42.50

Ballinrobe 59 5 8.5% +23.50

Roscommon 52 2 3.8% −40.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 82 3 3.7% −44.00

Class 4 10 2 20% +1.50

Class 2 2 1 50% +6.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 65 18 27.7% 1.24 −2.93

2nd–3rd fav 201 23 11.4% 0.89 −62.00

4th–6th fav 387 23 5.9% 0.89 −150.50

7th+ in betting 1,040 22 2.1% 0.73 −627.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.6% completed · 1,692 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 512 76.2% 52 18 48 2 2

Hurdle 1,180 86.9% 27 13 103 5 7

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Page One Two Nine (IRE) 19 1 4 23 Aug 13

Tryptronic (IRE) 18 2 7 19 Apr 12

Volkis O'blue (FR) 14 1 1 14 Apr 14

Prince Of Milan (IRE) 14 1 4 8 Mar 14

Thepartysover (GB) 13 2 4 16 Mar 14

Whodoyouthink (IRE) 13 1 3 13 Oct 13

Richard The First (GER) 13 1 2 13 Sep 11

Liberty's Gift (IRE) 11 2 5 13 May 14

Korean (FR) 11 1 4 14 Apr 14

Silas Mariner (IRE) 11 2 5 29 Oct 12

Kalann (IRE) 10 2 5 30 Nov 13

Narima (GER) 10 1 4 16 Mar 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 753 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

245795454762

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardPaul W Flynn

10% of all rides
9.5% SR · A/E 1.12

TrainerRWSR£1

Paul W Flynn 169 16 9.5% +3.33

Timothy Doyle 160 7 4.4% −64.00

Michael T Moran 119 7 5.9% −28.00

E Sheehy 100 3 3% −77.12

Mervyn Torrens 77 6 7.8% −34.75

Sabrina J Harty 76 9 11.8% −31.72

Andrew Slattery 56 2 3.6% −23.00

James McAuley 44 2 4.5% −16.00

D T Hughes 34 2 5.9% −26.50

Lorcan Joseph Donnelly 32 2 6.3% −12.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

157

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.08m

Prize money

2007

Best season · 30 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Turtle Dubh (IRE) — INH Stallion Owners EBF Novice Hurdle (Listed) Punchestown · Dec 2006 · Listed

£26,040

Back Of The Pack (IRE) — Dial-a-bet 1800 721 821 E.B.F. Novice Chase (grade 3) Cork · Oct 2010 · Grade 3

£23,075

Gaspar (IRE) — Phil Sweeney Memorial Chase Thurles · Jan 2008 · Grade 3

£20,832

Notable horses

Gaspar (IRE) Back Of The Pack (IRE) Pallasmore (IRE) Kalellshan (IRE) King Ali (IRE) Tryptronic (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Oscar (IRE) 3.2% · 2–63

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Luso (GB) 3.8% · 2–52

Progeny have won 6.7% of 3,516 runs since 2008 (389 horses).

Anshan (GB) 9.5% · 4–42

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.

Beneficial (GB) 9.8% · 4–41

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–41

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Rudimentary (USA) 9.1% · 3–33

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,723 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,723 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 10 March 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Mar 18 Gowran Park Important Message (GB)T: James McAuley Best Of Luck To The Irish At Cheltenham Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 66/1

11 Feb 15 Down Royal King's Wharf (IRE)T: Lee Smyth Bet With The Tote Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 9th 33/1

11 Feb 15 Down Royal Turfjager (GER)T: Mervyn Torrens Sean Graham Bookmakers Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 10th 80/1

10 Feb 15 Clonmel Annakrista (GER)T: Mervyn Torrens Minorstown Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 11th 13/2

07 Feb 15 Naas Turfjager (GER)T: Mervyn Torrens Paddy Power Cheltenham Trial Sunday 22nd February Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 18 ran 17th 100/1

31 Jan 15 Fairyhouse Joy Neville (GB)T: E McNamara Next Racing At Fairyhouse Saturday February 21st Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 20 ran 12th 66/1

31 Jan 15 Fairyhouse Turfjager (GER)T: Mervyn Torrens Online Discounts At fairyhouse.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 12th 33/1

22 Jan 15 Gowran Park Fighting Days (IRE)T: F Flood Langton House Hotel Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 19 ran 9th 50/1

10 Jan 15 Punchestown Joy Neville (GB)T: E McNamara David Trundley Artist At Punchestown Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 22 ran 10th 66/1

03 Jan 15 Cork Maizeys Honour (IRE)T: G Webb Mccarthy Insurance Group Mares Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Heavy · 9 ran 5th 8/1

01 Jan 15 Fairyhouse Fighting Days (IRE)T: F Flood Happy New Year Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 22 ran 8th 50/1

27 Dec 14 Limerick Cloughernagh (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Roches Feeds Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 66/1

26 Dec 14 Limerick Western Man (IRE)T: Ronald O'Leary Woodlands House Hotel Handicap Chase (0-109)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 4th 20/1

26 Dec 14 Limerick Joy Neville (GB)T: E McNamara GGL Security Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Heavy · 18 ran 6th 66/1

26 Dec 14 Limerick Happy As Larry (IRE)T: J Motherway Download The Free Racing Fm App Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 14 ran 10th 50/1

14 Dec 14 Navan Odit (GER)T: Mervyn Torrens Tara Handicap Hurdle (grade B)20f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 6th 50/1

13 Dec 14 Tramore Maizeys Honour (IRE)T: G Webb www.tramore-racecourse.com Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 10/1

13 Dec 14 Tramore Pas De Chapeau (IRE)T: Paul W Flynn Online Tickets From www.tramore-racecourse.com Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 15 ran 12th 40/1

06 Dec 14 Navan Apisata (GER)T: Mervyn Torrens Dunmoe Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 29 ran 15th 33/1

19 Nov 14 Fairyhouse Odit (GER)T: Mervyn Torrens Premier Jump Weekend November 29th & 30th Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 12 ran 8th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Darcy's strike rate?: Michael Darcy has won 86 of 1,693 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Darcy do best at?: Tramore by strike rate: 9 wins from 98 rides (9.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Michael Darcy ride most for?: Paul W Flynn, with 169 rides since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (9.5%).
What is Michael Darcy's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 1,693 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.