What is M Nigge's strike rate?

M Nigge has won 136 of 1,907 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does M Nigge do best at?

Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 24 wins from 288 runners (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for M Nigge?

Hugo Journiac, with 237 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (12.7%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is M Nigge's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,844 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

M Nigge

1,907 runners in the lifetime window · 244 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

136–1,907

Wins / Runs

7.1%

Strike rate

n=1,907

449 (24%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,844 · 0.82 incl. margin

−474.30

£1 level stake

n=1,863 at SP · −25.5%

£3.61m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

1.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 12% (49 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,907 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Feb 29.7% when favourite Hugo Journiac: 12.7% from 237 Headgear returns: 12.2% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 12.2% (n=49, Fair A/E 1.83), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=103, Fair A/E 0.75). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −34.90 to a £1 stake over 127 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Hugo Journiac rides 12% of the entries and beats the yard's average (12.7% vs 7.1%, A/E 1.77) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well at trips under 6f (17.4%, n=46). The record reads poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 2.5% over 81 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Lyphard at Deauville (FR) (Dec 2009, £26,699). The stable star of the record: Tertius (FR) — 6 wins from 28 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.3%−0.8

n=395 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −143.20

New recruits · first run for the yard

7%−0.1

n=71 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −29.30

Debutants · first career start

5.2%−1.9

n=173 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −24.30

First-time headgear · true-first definition

3.9%−3.2

n=103 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −35.70

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

12.2%+5.1

n=49 · A/E 1.83 · £1 +9.60

When favourite

29.7%

n=101 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +6.80

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.8%−1.3

n=277 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −101.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.5%−1.6

n=127 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −34.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At trips under 6f 17.4% vs 7.1% · n=46

With Hugo Journiac 12.7% vs 7.1% · n=237

With Mickael Barzalona 15.4% vs 7.1% · n=39

With Mlle Marie Velon 12% vs 7.1% · n=92

Over 1m5f – 2m 2.5% vs 7.1% · n=81

On last-time-out winners 11.1% vs 7.1% · n=144

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,885 135 7.2% −459.40

Hurdle 19 0 0% −18.00

Chase 3 1 33.3% +3.10

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 884 62 7% −197.40

Soft 390 30 7.7% −121.10

Good 261 18 6.9% −21.10

Good to Soft 234 13 5.6% −95.20

Heavy 134 12 9% −39.50

Good to Firm 4 1 25% +0.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 765 56 7.3% −134.80

Chantilly (FR) 400 27 6.8% −88.10

Saint-Cloud 288 24 8.3% −85.70

Longchamp (FR) 203 9 4.4% −116.90

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 135 10 7.4% +17.30

Clairefontaine 14 1 7.1% −10.00

Enghien (FR) 11 1 9.1% −4.90

Dieppe 10 0 0% −9.00

Compiegne 9 0 0% −8.00

Fontainebleau 9 4 44.4% +12.40

Auteuil (FR) 8 0 0% −8.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 7 0 0% −5.00

Le Mans 6 0 0% −6.00

Lyon Parilly 5 0 0% −5.00

Craon 4 1 25% −0.40

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 129 7 5.4% −36.90

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 106 31 29.2% 1.10 +7.80

2nd–3rd fav 283 35 12.4% 0.92 −72.80

4th–6th fav 481 34 7.1% 0.91 −167.20

7th+ in betting 993 32 3.2% 0.95 −242.10

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m – 1m1f 730 52 7.1% −166.10

1m2f – 1m4f 538 40 7.4% −184.00

6f – 7f 484 33 6.8% −84.50

1m5f – 2m 81 2 2.5% −65.20

Under 6f 46 8 17.4% +46.40

2m1f – 2m4f 27 1 3.7% −20.90

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% —

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 13 2 15.4% —

2009 25 3 12% +4.30

2010 122 5 4.1% −41.80

2011 127 12 9.4% +5.60

2012 127 3 2.4% −98.20

2013 101 2 2% −90.50

2014 127 8 6.3% +63.00

2015 125 11 8.8% −39.50

2016 129 14 10.9% −5.40

2017 103 7 6.8% −30.00

2018 97 8 8.2% +38.10

2019 148 13 8.8% −12.30

2020 106 9 8.5% +1.90

2021 110 11 10% −36.60

2022 103 6 5.8% −74.50

2023 85 3 3.5% −69.90

2024 94 10 10.6% −18.40

2025 101 8 7.9% −14.50

2026 64 1 1.6% −55.60

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,017 72 7.1% −211.10

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 775 50 6.5% −192.00

11-13 runners 381 27 7.1% −99.10

8-10 runners 310 23 7.4% −82.80

17+ runners 268 15 5.6% −51.20

5-7 runners 128 10 7.8% −52.30

2-4 runners 44 10 22.7% +0.80

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Speedy Crown (FR)then M Seror 42 3 14 11 Mar 14

Come Say Hi (FR)from A Schutz · then D Windrif 40 5 15 20 Jan 23

Happy Hunter (FR) 37 0 3 5 Sep 26

Hollyhock (FR)then Sofie Lanslots 36 2 10 19 Dec 25

Gag (FR) 36 5 15 9 May 16

Vicosoprano (IRE)then F Pedrono 35 3 8 16 Jan 17

Imperial Beauty (FR) 34 3 4 3 Feb 24

Goalfire (FR)from S Smrczek · then Pierrick Le Geay 32 1 7 30 Jun 14

Quirinus (GB)then J-P Gauvin 29 3 8 13 Oct 12

Tertius (FR) 28 6 14 20 Sep 25

Tour (GB)then Mme Stephanie Nigge 27 2 11 30 Jan 20

Irska (FR) 26 3 8 16 Dec 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 244 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive; 45 had their first archived run for this yard.

23 have since run for another yard; 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

101067108573569

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderHugo Journiac

12% of all rides
12.7% SR · A/E 1.77

RiderRWSR£1

Hugo Journiac 237 30 12.7% +120.00

Aurelien Lemaitre 182 10 5.5% −103.70

Theo Bachelot 132 14 10.6% +53.20

Mlle Marie Velon 92 11 12% +7.20

Flavien Prat 79 6 7.6% −10.00

Jerome Cabre 74 7 9.5% +38.20

Antoine Hamelin 71 8 11.3% +6.70

Olivier Peslier 60 7 11.7% +7.50

Thierry Jarnet 57 4 7% −29.30

Laurent Huart 53 2 3.8% −26.80

Stephane Pasquier 41 1 2.4% −34.80

Mickael Barzalona 39 6 15.4% −8.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

139

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.70m

Prize money

2016

Best season · 14 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Sky Crusader (GB) — Prix Lyphard () (All-Weather) Deauville (FR) · Dec 2009 · Listed

£26,699

Irska (FR) — Prix de Lieurey (3yo Fillies) (Round Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2020 · Group 3

£26,695

Tertius (FR) — Prix Ronde de Nuit () (3yo) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Mar 2019 · Listed

£24,775

Notable horses

Tertius (FR) Come Say Hi (FR) Gag (FR) Pretorio (IRE) Apax (FR) Happy Approach (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Siyouni (FR) 12.5% · 12–96

Progeny have won 13% of 8,351 runs since 2014 (978 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.2% from 457.

Hunter's Light (IRE) 6.5% · 6–93

Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,342 runs since 2019 (153 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.3% from 168. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.7% from 165. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.2% from 211. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 133.

Le Havre (IRE) 11.5% · 9–78

Progeny have won 12.5% of 5,876 runs since 2013 (750 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.5% from 296. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 525.

Layman (USA) 11.7% · 7–60

Progeny have won 9.3% of 1,327 runs since 2010 (122 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 13.3% from 279. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.9% from 161.

Panis (USA) 10% · 6–60

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,980 runs since 2008 (211 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.2% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 116.

Kendargent (FR) 4.7% · 2–43

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,240 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 256.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,935 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,935 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 April 2005 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Koelle Alaaf (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Bray Normand9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 8/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Septimus (FR)J: Mme Ilona Chabiron Prix Lodd By Chloe (Prix Little Manjo)Class 4 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 4/1

27 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Bella Memoria (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix D'audrieu9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 5/1

21 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Codrea (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix De Caen7.5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 14/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Koelle Alaaf (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Chene Des Gres9f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 15/2

14 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Septimus (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Des Boucles De La Seine10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 10/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Bella Memoria (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix D'argentine9.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 14/1

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Persian Heroe (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix De Champagne8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 33/1

03 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Poschiavo (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Qatar Prix de la Place de la ConcordeClass 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 11th 14/1

27 Sep 26 Amiens (FR) Miss Dya (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'union Moreuil (Prix Des Jardins Flottants)8f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 50/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Codrea (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix Des Terriers Du Houx8f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/1

23 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Septimus (FR)J: Cesar Belmont Prix De Noisy-sur-oise8f · Good · 15 ran 5th 33/1

18 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Vicuniya (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Tenebreuse7.5f · Good · 15 ran 15th 50/1

17 Sep 26 Dieppe (FR) Persian Heroe (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix De Pau9f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 33/1

11 Sep 26 Le Mans (FR) Koelle Alaaf (FR)J: Delphine Santiago Prix De La Societe Des Courses De La Chartre-sur-le-loir9.5f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 14/1

06 Sep 26 Longchamp (FR) Bella Memoria (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Qatar Prix De Madrid Presente Par RmcClass 3 · 12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 8/1

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Happy Hunter (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Equidia - Bar Des Halles (Prix De La Touche)Class 4 · 11f · Heavy · 16 ran 13th 16/1

04 Sep 26 Chantilly (FR) Poschiavo (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Du Bois FrancClass 3 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 3rd 13/2

27 Aug 26 Deauville (FR) Silver Rush (GB)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Du Chateau De Canon7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 22/1

21 Aug 26 Clairefontaine (FR) Silver Rush (GB)J: Delphine Santiago Prix Ville De Pont-l'eveque (Prix De La Cour Rectangle)Class 2 · 7f · Very Soft · 12 ran 10th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is M Nigge's strike rate?: M Nigge has won 136 of 1,907 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.1% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does M Nigge do best at?: Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 24 wins from 288 runners (8.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for M Nigge?: Hugo Journiac, with 237 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 30 (12.7%).
Is M Nigge in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 3 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is M Nigge's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,844 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.