What is Matthieu Palussiere's strike rate?

Matthieu Palussiere has won 120 of 1,306 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Matthieu Palussiere do best at?

Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 28 wins from 246 runners (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Matthieu Palussiere?

Antoine Hamelin, with 512 runners since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 59 (11.5%).

What is Matthieu Palussiere's Fair A/E?

1.08, from 1,247 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Matthieu Palussiere

1,306 runners in the lifetime window · 312 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Feb 2022

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

120–1,306

Wins / Runs

9.2%

Strike rate

n=1,306

317 (24%)

Placed

1.08

Fair A/E

n=1,247 · 0.95 incl. margin

−132.93

£1 level stake

n=1,296 at SP · −10.3%

£2.74m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). Debutants are a strength: 11% on first career starts (272 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,306 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Jun 34.2% when favourite Antoine Hamelin: 11.5% from 512 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

It is weakest at Deauville (FR) (3.4% over 206 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=32, Fair A/E 0.56). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 3.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.50 and −83.20 to a £1 stake over 186 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Antoine Hamelin rides 39% of the entries and edges the yard's average (11.5% vs 9.2%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (14.5%, n=55). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.6% over 77 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 1: Fair A/E 0.52 across 182 runners (3.3% strike, −79.20 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 6 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Albany Stakes at Ascot (Jun 2017, £45,368). The stable star of the record: Ross Castle (IRE) — 6 wins from 71 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.3%−3.9

n=206 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −52.70

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.7%−1.5

n=39 · A/E 1.56 · £1 −9.10

Debutants · first career start

10.7%+1.5

n=272 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −24.60

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.6%−0.6

n=128 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −21.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.1%−6.1

n=32 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −26.50

When favourite

34.2%

n=73 · A/E 1.02 · £1 +2.32

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.2%−1.0

n=233 · A/E 1.20 · £1 −34.75

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.2%−6.0

n=186 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −83.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Group / Graded races 3.2% vs 9.2% · n=186

At Deauville (FR) 3.4% vs 9.2% · n=206

In Class 1 3.3% vs 9.2% · n=182

Off a break of 180+ days 2.6% vs 9.2% · n=77

With Tony Piccone 4.2% vs 9.2% · n=71

Off a 0-7-day break 14.5% vs 9.2% · n=55

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,131 109 9.6% −49.20

Hurdle 115 7 6.1% −60.23

NH Flat 36 3 8.3% −5.00

Chase 24 1 4.2% −18.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 342 38 11.1% −47.50

Soft 330 29 8.8% −41.73

Standard (AW) 264 18 6.8% +8.70

Good to Soft 208 21 10.1% −56.00

Heavy 115 9 7.8% −0.50

Good to Firm 40 5 12.5% +11.10

Firm 7 0 0% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 246 28 11.4% +117.50

Deauville (FR) 206 7 3.4% −133.10

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 203 23 11.3% −6.00

Saint-Cloud (FR) 112 11 9.8% +24.90

Longchamp (FR) 55 3 5.5% −34.00

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 27 2 7.4% −8.30

Punchestown 22 0 0% −22.00

Leopardstown 21 2 9.5% −3.50

Clairefontaine (FR) 20 1 5% −11.60

Vichy 20 1 5% −3.20

Gowran Park 20 2 10% −12.38

Cork 16 2 12.5% +12.00

Clonmel 16 1 6.3% −1.00

La Teste De Buch 14 6 42.9% +13.00

Limerick 14 1 7.1% +3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 182 6 3.3% −79.20

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 78 25 32.1% 0.98 −2.68

2nd–3rd fav 228 37 16.2% 0.98 −20.35

4th–6th fav 365 28 7.7% 1.04 −84.90

7th+ in betting 625 28 4.5% 1.36 −25.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 516 48 9.3% −20.70

Under 6f 256 32 12.5% −40.40

1m – 1m1f 210 18 8.6% +53.80

1m2f – 1m4f 126 11 8.7% −18.90

1m5f – 2m 122 7 5.7% −72.63

2m1f – 2m4f 65 4 6.2% −23.10

2m5f – 3m 10 0 0% −10.00

Over 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 33 3 9.1% +5.50

2009 58 5 8.6% −8.00

2010 70 5 7.1% −31.38

2011 62 5 8.1% −30.25

2012 28 0 0% −28.00

2013 99 16 16.2% +44.10

2014 150 21 14% +19.90

2015 155 5 3.2% −111.00

2016 140 15 10.7% +72.10

2017 162 14 8.6% −23.90

2018 148 17 11.5% +14.30

2019 160 12 7.5% −52.60

2020 27 2 7.4% +10.30

2021 13 0 0% −13.00

2022 1 0 0% −1.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 271 14 5.2% −49.00

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 364 34 9.3% −2.30

11-13 runners 301 22 7.3% −92.00

14-16 runners 247 13 5.3% −31.90

5-7 runners 191 25 13.1% −19.35

17+ runners 147 9 6.1% −10.08

2-4 runners 55 16 29.1% +19.70

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Ross Castle (IRE) 71 6 16 1 Oct 21

Leah Claire (IRE)then W McCreery 42 6 20 3 Nov 12

Deputy Consort (USA)from M J P O'Brien · then Miss Clare Louise Cannon 29 3 10 21 Aug 11

Mister Art (IRE) 28 0 5 6 Jun 19

Je Te Vois (FR) 18 1 2 29 May 17

Muharaaj (IRE)then Mme Pia Brandt 18 4 8 13 Sep 15

Fine Call (IRE)then John Queally 18 2 4 27 Oct 10

Another Party (FR) 16 4 9 7 Sep 14

Something Lucky (IRE)then Kristin Stubbs 14 3 6 26 Oct 14

Yanling (FR)then Andrew Hollinshead 13 2 5 19 Jul 19

Fabled (FR) 12 0 1 11 Jan 20

California Tee (GB) 12 1 3 10 Sep 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 312 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 53 had their first archived run for this yard.

34 have since run for another yard, most often for Aidan F Fogarty (3) and F Vermeulen (3); 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8091114131079752

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAntoine Hamelin

39% of all rides
11.5% SR · A/E 1.12

RiderRWSR£1

Antoine Hamelin 512 59 11.5% −5.50

Eddy Hardouin 131 9 6.9% −52.90

Tony Piccone 71 3 4.2% −5.90

Clement Lecoeuvre 46 4 8.7% +23.50

Mark Walsh 30 2 6.7% −18.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

120

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.76m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 21 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Different League (FR) — Albany Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Ascot · Jun 2017 · Group 3

£45,368

Ross Castle (IRE) — Prix Texanita (3yo) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · May 2016 · Group 3

£29,412

Real Appeal (GER) — Prix la Fleche () (2yo) (Turf) Maisons-Laffitte (FR) · May 2019 · Listed

£27,027

Notable horses

Ross Castle (IRE) Leah Claire (IRE) Muharaaj (IRE) Another Party (FR) Deputy Consort (USA) Something Lucky (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bushranger (IRE) 8.2% · 6–73

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,449 runs since 2013 (300 horses).

Rio De La Plata (USA) 11.1% · 6–54

Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,524 runs since 2016 (153 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.7% from 255.

Elusive City (USA) 4.5% · 2–44

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,431 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Tomba (GB) 14.3% · 6–42

Progeny have won 7.8% of 847 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.1% from 216.

Kodiac (GB) 7.5% · 3–40

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Palace Episode (USA) 2.9% · 1–35

Progeny have won 8.3% of 625 runs since 2013 (58 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 11.4% from 132.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,330 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,330 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 April 2005 to 5 February 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Feb 22 Deauville (FR) The Dude (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix de Fervaques (Maiden) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 67/1

12 Oct 21 Saint-Cloud (FR) Valhaie (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix de l'Oise (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Soft · 15 ran 14th 37/1

01 Oct 21 Saint-Cloud (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de Guyancourt (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)7f · Soft · 17 ran 17th 12/1

24 Sep 21 Chantilly (FR) Miss Bennet (FR)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix du Grand Vivier (Handicap) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 15th 26/1

12 Sep 21 Longchamp (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Eddy Hardouin Qatar Prix du Passage de Bourg l'Abbe (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)7f · Good · 15 ran 13th 12/1

21 Jul 21 Vichy (FR) Miss Bennet (FR)J: Gerald Mosse Prix des Jouvenceaux et des Jouvencelles - Bernard Ferrand () (2yo) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 51/1

20 Jun 21 Chantilly (FR) Miss Bennet (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix de la Reine Blanche Longines (Maiden) (Unraced 2yo Fillies) (Turf)5.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 25/1

13 Jun 21 Longchamp (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Mackensie Grieves (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course: 2nd Post) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 18 ran 12th 18/1

10 Jun 21 Longchamp (FR) Valhaie (FR)J: Jerome Claudic Prix de l'Atelier (Handicap) (4yo+) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)14f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 2nd 13/1

20 Apr 21 Chantilly (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Jerome Claudic Prix du Bourget (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)6f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 44/5

14 Apr 21 Saint-Cloud (FR) Valhaie (FR)J: Mme Perrine Cheyer Prix de Villiers Saint-Frederic (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)15.5f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 68/1

10 Mar 21 Chantilly (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix du Bois du Ministre (Conditions) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 9/1

02 Mar 21 Chantilly (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix de l'Allee Quinconce (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 48/10

13 Feb 21 Chantilly (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix de Nointel (Handicap) (5yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 22/1

27 Dec 20 Deauville (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix de Breuil (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 11/1

21 Dec 20 Chantilly (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix de la Pelouse aux Yearlings (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 17 ran 10th 28/1

08 Dec 20 Chantilly (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix d'Uberlingen (Handicap) (3yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 17 ran 16th 25/1

31 Oct 20 Chantilly (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix de l'Amante Inquiete (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)6f · Heavy · 14 ran 1st 84/10

13 Oct 20 Chantilly (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Mme Marie Velon Prix du Roi des Manuscrits (Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)6f · Heavy · 13 ran 3rd 11/1

19 Sep 20 Saint-Cloud (FR) Ross Castle (IRE)J: Alexis Pouchin Prix des Falaises de Craies (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)8f · Good · 18 ran 13th 56/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matthieu Palussiere's strike rate?: Matthieu Palussiere has won 120 of 1,306 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.2% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matthieu Palussiere do best at?: Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 28 wins from 246 runners (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Matthieu Palussiere?: Antoine Hamelin, with 512 runners since 2008 — 39% of the total. That pairing has won 59 (11.5%).
What is Matthieu Palussiere's Fair A/E?: 1.08, from 1,247 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.