Aidan F Fogarty
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08).
The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −54.00 to a £1 stake over 116 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mark Enright rode 18% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16.4% vs 6.5%, A/E 2.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well over 2m1f – 2m4f (10.5%, n=86) and in Chase races (9.5%, n=42). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the EBF British Stallion Studs Cecil Frail at Haydock (May 2019, £26,654).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 308 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 308 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 August 2013 to 4 October 2021.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Aidan F Fogarty's strike rate?
- Aidan F Fogarty has won 20 of 308 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Aidan F Fogarty do best at?
- Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 34 runners (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Aidan F Fogarty?
- Mark Enright, with 55 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (16.4%).
- What is Aidan F Fogarty's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 307 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.