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Trainer profile

Aidan F Fogarty

308 runners in the lifetime window · 48 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Oct 2021
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
20–308
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=308
68 (22%)
Placed
1.08
n=307 · 0.86 incl. margin
−100.50
£1 level stake
n=308 at SP · −32.6%
£466k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08).

Deterministic profile computed from 308 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.7% Mark Enright: 16.4% from 55
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −54.00 to a £1 stake over 116 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Mark Enright rode 18% of the entries and beats the yard's average (16.4% vs 6.5%, A/E 2.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well over 2m1f – 2m4f (10.5%, n=86) and in Chase races (9.5%, n=42). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the EBF British Stallion Studs Cecil Frail at Haydock (May 2019, £26,654).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.7%+0.2
n=45 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
4.5%−2.0
n=22 · A/E 1.25 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.5
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
10%+3.5
n=20 · A/E 2.91 · £1 +4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.5
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.88 · £1 +0.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%−2.2
n=116 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −54.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
4.2%−2.3
n=24 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Mark Enright 16.4% vs 6.5% · n=55
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 10.5% vs 6.5% · n=86
In Chase races 9.5% vs 6.5% · n=42
With claiming riders up 4.3% vs 6.5% · n=116
On Good going 8.5% vs 6.5% · n=118
Off a 15-30-day break 8.5% vs 6.5% · n=118
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 159 8 5% −46.50
Hurdle 105 8 7.6% −27.00
Chase 42 4 9.5% −25.00
NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 118 10 8.5% −35.00
Soft 82 4 4.9% −35.00
Standard (AW) 35 3 8.6% +12.50
Heavy 34 2 5.9% −21.00
Good to Firm 20 1 5% −3.00
Good to Soft 19 0 0% −19.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 34 3 8.8% +13.50
Tipperary 21 1 4.8% −16.00
Cork 21 0 0% −21.00
Naas 17 0 0% −17.00
Clonmel 16 1 6.3% −12.00
Curragh 16 0 0% −16.00
Punchestown 14 2 14.3% −1.00
Limerick 14 2 14.3% +8.00
Roscommon 13 0 0% −13.00
Down Royal 12 1 8.3% −7.00
Listowel 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Galway 12 0 0% −12.00
Gowran Park 12 0 0% −12.00
Navan 10 0 0% −10.00
Leopardstown 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 24 1 4.2% −7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 16 2 12.5% 0.57 −6.00
2nd–3rd fav 37 9 24.3% 1.84 +13.50
4th–6th fav 73 4 5.5% 0.83 −24.00
7th+ in betting 182 5 2.7% 0.95 −84.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Samanntom (IRE)then P M J Doyle 32 4 14 21 Apr 17
Robin On The Hill (IRE)from P M J Doyle 20 2 4 3 Oct 19
Gliondar Mo Chroi (IRE) 18 2 6 29 Oct 20
Cabarete (IRE)from J P Fogarty 17 1 4 10 Jun 16
Get Noticed (IRE) 14 0 1 4 Oct 21
Lucky Pigeon (IRE)from J P Fogarty 12 1 6 6 Sep 14
Like The Da (IRE)from J P Fogarty 11 0 1 2 Oct 14
Moncherie (IRE)from J P Fogarty 10 0 3 7 Dec 13
All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 22 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Matthieu Palussiere (12) and J P Fogarty (7); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for F Guyader (3); 37 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1811001169221088
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMark Enright
18% of all rides
16.4% SR · A/E 2.14
RiderRWSR£1
Mark Enright 55 9 16.4% +11.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
20
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£466k
Prize money
2019
Best season · 10 wins
Forever In Dreams (IRE) — EBF British Stallion Studs Cecil Frail (Fillies' Listed) Haydock · May 2019 · Listed
£26,654
On A Session (USA) — Follow BetVictorRacing On Twitter Handicap (60-95) Listowel · Jun 2019
£12,320
Samanntom (IRE) — Derrygrath Novice Handicap Chase (0-123) Clonmel · Feb 2017
£9,920

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Portrait Gallery (IRE) 10% · 6–60
Progeny have won 11% of 1,448 runs since 2008 (124 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.3% from 223.
Dandy Man (IRE) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,980 runs since 2013 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Robin Des Pres (FR) 10% · 2–20
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,800 runs since 2008 (229 horses).
Kodiac (GB) 5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,598 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.
Stowaway (GB) 11.1% · 2–18
Progeny have won 11.3% of 7,190 runs since 2008 (561 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 124.
Yeats (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 308 · newest first

The latest 50 of 308 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 August 2013 to 4 October 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
28 May 21 Fairyhouse Get Noticed (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Cavalor Handicap (45-65)6f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 5th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Aidan F Fogarty's strike rate?
Aidan F Fogarty has won 20 of 308 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Aidan F Fogarty do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 34 runners (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Aidan F Fogarty?
Mark Enright, with 55 runners since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (16.4%).
What is Aidan F Fogarty's Fair A/E?
1.08, from 307 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).