As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2007
Archive record 2005–2007
No runners from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 2 May 2005 to 7 Sep 2007. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out 105 runners in our archive record (2005–2007), across both codes, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across that record (Fair A/E 0.97). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (54 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 105 archived runs (archive record 2005–2007) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 11.1%
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline
When favourite
33.3%
n=9 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −1.20
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.1%+2.5
n=54 · A/E 1.35 · £1 −14.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races4.5% vs 8.6% · n=44
With claiming riders up11.1% vs 8.6% · n=54
Over 1m5f – 2m9.3% vs 8.6% · n=54 · A/E 1.15
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle4424.5%−25.00
Flat3139.7%−17.45
NH Flat24416.7%−6.00
Chase600%−6.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft28310.7%−9.58
Heavy2314.3%−19.75
Good19210.5%−9.00
Good to Firm1516.7%−12.12
Firm12216.7%+4.00
Good to Soft800%−8.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wexford800%−8.00
Fairyhouse800%−8.00
Navan700%−7.00
Downpatrick7114.3%−5.33
Naas700%−7.00
Sligo6116.7%+3.00
Curragh600%−6.00
Limerick500%−5.00
Cork5120%−1.25
Leopardstown500%−5.00
Killarney5240%+1.88
Down Royal5120%+2.00
Clonmel500%−5.00
Punchestown400%−4.00
Ballinrobe400%−4.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite12433.3%1.33−0.45
2nd–3rd fav26311.5%0.92−9.00
4th–6th fav2229.1%1.32+0.00
7th+ in betting4500%0.00−45.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m5459.3%−15.75
2m1f – 2m4f25312%−15.58
1m2f – 1m4f1715.9%−14.12
2m5f – 3m400%−4.00
1m – 1m1f300%−3.00
6f – 7f100%−1.00
Over 3m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200524416.7%+2.00
20064224.8%−37.45
20073937.7%−19.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps3512.9%−22.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
17+ runners4324.7%−26.25
14-16 runners3026.7%−15.00
11-13 runners1700%−17.00
8-10 runners9333.3%+4.13
5-7 runners6233.3%−0.33
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 18 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 18 horses listed, 12 have since run for another yard, most often for J J Lambe (2) and T M Walsh (2); 6 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. Where a horse came from is not stated on an archive-era record: our archive cannot see before 2005. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, 2005–2007
JFMAMJJASOND
0200006182010000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Progeny have won 11.1% of 5,186 runs since 2005 (463 horses).
Saumarez (GB)0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 11% of 118 runs since 2005 (19 horses).
Houmayoun (FR)8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 5% of 464 runs since 2005 (66 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.6% from 126.
Desert Prince (IRE)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.3% of 4,883 runs since 2005 (302 horses).
Warcraft (USA)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 4% of 375 runs since 2005 (52 horses).
Celtic Swing (GB)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.3% of 3,023 runs since 2005 (206 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 2.9% from 103.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 105 · newest first
The latest 50 of 105 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 May 2005 to 7 September 2007.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Michael Flynn's strike rate?
Michael Flynn has won 9 of 105 runners between 2005 and 2007, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is Michael Flynn's Fair A/E?
0.97, from 105 runners with a computed fair probability between 2005 and 2007. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Michael Flynn·SR 8.6%·A/E 0.97
KTB
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