Skip to content
Jockey profile

Mr A T Duff

426 rides in the lifetime window · 306 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jun 2012
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
31–426
Wins / Runs
7.3%
Strike rate
n=426
83 (20%)
Placed
1.20
n=426 · 0.88 incl. margin
−135.20
£1 level stake
n=426 at SP · −31.7%
£420k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 90 times a season, winning on 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.20).

Deterministic profile computed from 426 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Mrs Denise Foster: 8.7% from 69 Claiming: 7.5%
The read

The record is strongest at Fairyhouse (10.8%, n=37), clear of the rider's 7.3% baseline. It is weakest at Punchestown (1.8% over 57 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Mrs Denise Foster supplied 16% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 1.75) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (15.5%, n=84) and off a 61-180-day break (10.3%, n=39). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 4.1% over 49 rides, 3.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6.5%−0.8
n=294 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −93.70
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10.5%+3.2
n=19 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −6.75
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
6.9%−0.4
n=87 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −44.50
When favourite
42.9%
n=7 · A/E 1.81 · £1 +2.80
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.5%+0.2
n=416 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −125.20
Big fields · 14+ runners
5.5%−1.8
n=289 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −100.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break 15.5% vs 7.3% · n=84
At Punchestown 1.8% vs 7.3% · n=57
At Fairyhouse 10.8% vs 7.3% · n=37
On Good to Soft going 4.1% vs 7.3% · n=49
Off a break of 180+ days 4.2% vs 7.3% · n=48
Off a 61-180-day break 10.3% vs 7.3% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
NH Flat 275 20 7.3% −90.95
Flat 55 4 7.3% −15.25
Chase 51 3 5.9% −26.00
Hurdle 45 4 8.9% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 132 8 6.1% −61.50
Good 102 7 6.9% −13.50
Heavy 80 7 8.8% −6.95
Good to Soft 49 2 4.1% −38.00
Good to Firm 36 3 8.3% −9.00
Standard (AW) 14 2 14.3% −4.25
Firm 13 2 15.4% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 57 1 1.8% −42.00
Fairyhouse 37 4 10.8% −4.25
Navan 24 1 4.2% −7.00
Gowran Park 23 1 4.3% −2.00
Galway 19 1 5.3% −10.00
Downpatrick 19 0 0% −19.00
Down Royal 19 2 10.5% −8.50
Kilbeggan 18 0 0% −18.00
Limerick 18 1 5.6% −9.00
Leopardstown 18 0 0% −18.00
Cork 18 1 5.6% +8.00
Wexford 15 3 20% +2.00
Listowel 14 2 14.3% −5.20
Roscommon 14 3 21.4% +1.50
Tipperary 13 1 7.7% −6.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 13 5 38.5% 1.66 +3.80
2nd–3rd fav 54 10 18.5% 1.37 +0.50
4th–6th fav 125 10 8% 1.21 −21.50
7th+ in betting 234 6 2.6% 0.83 −118.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
83.3% completed · 96 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 51 74.5% 4 0 9 0 0
Hurdle 45 93.3% 1 0 2 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rockazar (GB) 12 1 2 30 Sep 11
Unanswered (GB) 11 0 2 7 Jun 12
My Cool Lady (IRE) 5 1 3 19 Mar 11
Clondalee (IRE) 5 0 0 1 Jan 09
Royal Sam (IRE) 4 0 1 24 Jun 12
Top twig (IRE) 4 1 1 5 Mar 11
Royal Chukka (IRE) 4 1 1 22 Aug 10
All The Best Mate (IRE) 4 0 1 20 Aug 10
Red Star Boy (IRE) 4 1 2 12 Jul 10
Aboo Who (IRE) 4 1 1 15 Oct 09
Noble Commander (IRE) 4 1 2 6 Oct 09
Black Zorro (IRE) 3 0 1 8 Oct 11
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 306 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
537115791413007
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
16% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 1.75
TrainerRWSR£1
Mrs Denise Foster 69 6 8.7% +2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
59
Archived wins
£788k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 15 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rising Time (IRE) — Tattersalls Ireland Sales Bumper Fairyhouse · Apr 2011
£59,000
My Cool Lady (IRE) — Irish Thoroughbred Breeders Association Fillies Scheme Fillies Premier Bumper Punchestown · Apr 2010
£34,300
Kings Glen (IRE) — Ellen Construction Conyngham Cup Handicap Chase (0-140) Punchestown · Apr 2007
£32,550

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rudimentary (USA) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Opening Verse (USA) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 5.4% of 74 runs since 2008 (5 horses).
Double Trigger (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,467 runs since 2008 (154 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 16.4% from 195.
Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Beneficial (GB) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Anshan (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 763 · newest first

The latest 50 of 763 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 24 June 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
03 Apr 12 Thurles Aonvarr (IRE)T: W J Lanigan Littleton Flat Race16f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 4th 12/1
15 Jan 12 Navan Royal Sam (IRE)T: Gavin Cromwell Trim (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 4th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr A T Duff's strike rate?
Mr A T Duff has won 31 of 426 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr A T Duff do best at?
Fairyhouse by strike rate: 4 wins from 37 rides (10.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr A T Duff ride most for?
Mrs Denise Foster, with 69 rides since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (8.7%).
What is Mr A T Duff's Fair A/E?
1.20, from 426 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).