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Trainer profile

Michael Hawker

116 runners in the lifetime window · 17 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 266 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
10–116
Wins / Runs
8.6%
Strike rate
n=116
26 (22%)
Placed
1.03
Fair A/E
n=115 · 0.90 incl. margin
−41.38
£1 level stake
n=116 at SP · −35.7%
£74,196
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). With a claiming rider up the record reads 11% (72 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 116 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 11.1%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=35, Fair A/E 0.59). The yard also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (12.7%, n=55) and in Chase races (11.8%, n=85). The stable star of the record: Mortens Leam (GB) — 6 wins from 37 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.9%−5.7
n=35 · A/E 0.59 · £1 −27.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−8.6
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.6
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.6
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−8.6
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −2.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.1%+2.5
n=72 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −8.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 8.6% · n=46
Over 2m5f – 3m 12.7% vs 8.6% · n=55
In Chase races 11.8% vs 8.6% · n=85
With claiming riders up 11.1% vs 8.6% · n=72
With Harry Reed 5.9% vs 8.6% · n=34
On Soft going 6.3% vs 8.6% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 85 10 11.8% −10.38
Hurdle 24 0 0% −24.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 43 3 7% −29.50
Soft 32 2 6.3% −21.50
Good to Soft 21 2 9.5% +11.00
Heavy 11 2 18.2% +0.12
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Firm 2 1 50% +5.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell 21 2 9.5% +4.00
Chepstow 13 0 0% −13.00
Taunton 9 1 11.1% −1.50
Southwell 7 0 0% −7.00
Fakenham 5 1 20% +3.00
Newton Abbot 4 0 0% −4.00
Exeter 4 0 0% −4.00
Wincanton 4 0 0% −4.00
Ludlow 4 0 0% −4.00
Stratford 4 1 25% −0.88
Uttoxeter 3 0 0% −3.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Wetherby 3 1 33.3% +5.00
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Kempton 3 1 33.3% +0.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 55 5 9.1% −3.00
Class 4 37 4 10.8% −16.63
Class 6 15 1 6.7% −12.75
Class 3 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.20 +0.75
2nd–3rd fav 22 5 22.7% 1.31 +5.87
4th–6th fav 38 1 2.6% 0.35 −30.00
7th+ in betting 50 2 4% 1.51 −18.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
72.5% completed · 109 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 85 75.3% 0 5 16 0 0
Hurdle 24 62.5% 0 3 6 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mortens Leam (GB)from Pam Sly 37 6 11 25 Apr 25
Spotty Dog (GB) 33 2 7 13 Feb 26
Fama Et Gloria (IRE)from Joseph Patrick O'Brien 8 0 1 8 May 24
Twenty Degrees (GB)from Miss A Dare 8 1 5 5 May 09
Cecile De Volanges (GB)from Ronald Harris 4 0 0 5 Jun 18
Lemonade Drinker (GB) 3 0 0 1 Jul 20
Loose Preformer (IRE)from David O'Meara 3 0 1 4 Apr 14
Sheknowsyouknow (GB)from H J Manners 3 1 1 27 May 11
Rustic John (GB)from H J Manners · then H Edward Haynes 3 0 0 12 May 11
Popova (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead 2 0 0 9 Dec 25
Mistress Fox (GB)then Neil Mulholland 2 0 0 23 Feb 25
Mr Jorrocks (GB) 2 0 0 3 Nov 21
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from H J Manners (2); 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
130181270000096
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderHarry Reed
29% of all rides
5.9% SR · A/E 0.98
RiderRWSR£1
Harry Reed 34 2 5.9% −22.88
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
10
Archived wins
£74,196
Prize money
2023
Best season · 2 wins
Mortens Leam (GB) — Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap Chase Wetherby · Mar 2020 · Class 4
£4,809
Mortens Leam (GB) — Cash Is King In The Ring Handicap Chase Stratford · Mar 2024 · Class 4
£4,711
Mortens Leam (GB) — Axio Christmas Party Race Day Handicap Chase Fontwell · Dec 2018 · Class 4
£4,614
Notable horses
Mortens Leam (GB) Spotty Dog (GB) Twenty Degrees (GB) Sheknowsyouknow (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sulamani (IRE) 16.2% · 6–37
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,246 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Sixties Icon (GB) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 9.9% of 5,682 runs since 2012 (338 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.3% from 264. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.4% from 1,337.
Beveled (USA) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 3.3% of 60 runs since 2008 (6 horses).
Fame And Glory (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,212 runs since 2016 (504 horses).
Kheleyf (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.7% of 10,549 runs since 2008 (676 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 12.2% from 131. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 880.
Afzal (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 4% of 75 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 116 · newest first

The latest 50 of 116 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 April 2008 to 13 February 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Feb 26 Fakenham Spotty Dog (GB)J: Megan Fox Tim Barclay Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 29f · Soft · 5 ran UR 7/1
01 Jan 26 Windsor Spotty Dog (GB)J: Conor O'Farrell Cirka Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 5/1
16 Dec 25 Wincanton Spotty Dog (GB)J: Megan Fox PricedUp.Bet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 18/1
09 Dec 25 Uttoxeter Popova (IRE)J: Harry Reed Avonside Supplies & Etex Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 66/1
19 Nov 25 Ffos Las Spotty Dog (GB)J: Harry Reed tigerbet.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 33/1
10 Nov 25 Kempton Popova (IRE)J: Harry Reed Budds & Weatherbys Horseracing Memorabilia Mares' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 50/1
25 Apr 25 Fontwell Mortens Leam (GB)J: Harry Reed All In Or All Out Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 26f · Good · 8 ran PU 6/1
09 Apr 25 Taunton Spotty Dog (GB)J: Harry Reed Allaho ROR Ambassador Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 28.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 5/2
29 Mar 25 Stratford Mortens Leam (GB)J: Harry Reed Better Value With Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 12/1
20 Mar 25 Chepstow Spotty Dog (GB)J: Harry Reed Treforest Tiling 52nd Anniversary Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 30.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 6/1
07 Mar 25 Leicester Spotty Dog (GB)J: Harry Reed Royal Anglian Regiment Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 9/1
23 Feb 25 Fontwell Mistress Fox (GB)J: Harry Reed starsportsbet.co.uk Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 80/1
14 Feb 25 Fakenham Spotty Dog (GB)J: Harry Reed Tim Barclay Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 29f · Good · 4 ran 3rd 7/2
19 Jan 25 Fakenham Mortens Leam (GB)J: Harry Reed Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 1st 7/1
18 Jan 25 Taunton Spotty Dog (GB)J: Harry Reed Join Racing TV Now Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 5th 100/1
09 Dec 24 Lingfield Mortens Leam (GB)J: Harry Reed Stay Safe Players At BetMGM Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Soft · 11 ran 4th 16/1
22 Nov 24 Chepstow Mortens Leam (GB)J: Harry Reed Rebecca Faulkners 40th Birthday Bash Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 18/1
08 Nov 24 Fontwell Spotty Dog (GB)J: Harry Reed Nationwide Concreting Supporting The Wheel Inn Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26f · Good · 10 ran 9th 80/1
31 Oct 24 Stratford Mortens Leam (GB)J: Harry Reed J.H. Rowe Memorial Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 4th 40/1
08 May 24 Fontwell Fama Et Gloria (IRE)J: Harry Reed Star Sports Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Hawker's strike rate?
Michael Hawker has won 10 of 116 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael Hawker's Fair A/E?
1.03, from 115 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).