Mlle C Cardenne
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07).
Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.7% (n=64, Fair A/E 0.95). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −61.60 to a £1 stake over 124 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Chrystelle Cardenne rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.64). The yard also reads well on Good going (12.1%, n=116) and off a 15-30-day break (11.5%, n=182). The market has also underrated the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 1.46 across 58 runners (12.1% strike, +4.90 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 3.7% over 109 runners, 4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Ministre D'Etat (IRE) — 6 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 558 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 558 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 April 2006 to 12 January 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Mlle C Cardenne's strike rate?
- Mlle C Cardenne has won 42 of 544 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Mlle C Cardenne do best at?
- Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 129 runners (9.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Mlle C Cardenne?
- Chrystelle Cardenne, with 69 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.2%).
- What is Mlle C Cardenne's Fair A/E?
- 1.07, from 523 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.