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Trainer profile

Mlle C Cardenne

544 runners in the lifetime window · 57 individual horses
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2022 99% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
42–544
Wins / Runs
7.7%
Strike rate
n=544
126 (23%)
Placed
1.07
n=523 · 0.95 incl. margin
+44.50
£1 level stake
n=529 at SP · +8.4%
£822k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07).

Deterministic profile computed from 544 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Chrystelle Cardenne: 7.2% from 69
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.7% (n=64, Fair A/E 0.95). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 4.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −61.60 to a £1 stake over 124 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Chrystelle Cardenne rides 13% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.2%, A/E 0.64). The yard also reads well on Good going (12.1%, n=116) and off a 15-30-day break (11.5%, n=182). The market has also underrated the yard on Good to Soft going: Fair A/E 1.46 across 58 runners (12.1% strike, +4.90 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 3.7% over 109 runners, 4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Ministre D'Etat (IRE) — 6 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.7% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.8%−2.9
n=124 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −61.60
New recruits · first run for the yard
5%−2.7
n=40 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −29.50
Debutants · first career start
5%−2.7
n=20 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+4.8
n=16 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +33.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
13%+5.3
n=23 · A/E 1.32 · £1 +4.70
When favourite
30.4%
n=23 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +4.20
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.7%−3.0
n=64 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −29.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−7.7
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Maxime Guyon 19.4% vs 7.7% · n=31
With Stephane Pasquier 14% vs 7.7% · n=50
On Good going 12.1% vs 7.7% · n=116
Off a 15-30-day break 11.5% vs 7.7% · n=182
Off a 31-60-day break 3.7% vs 7.7% · n=109
On Good to Soft going 12.1% vs 7.7% · n=58
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 539 41 7.6% +47.50
Hurdle 5 1 20% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 242 15 6.2% +92.10
Good 116 14 12.1% +13.50
Soft 94 4 4.3% −67.80
Good to Soft 58 7 12.1% +4.90
Heavy 32 1 3.1% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 206 13 6.3% +10.70
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 129 12 9.3% +8.30
Chantilly (FR) 78 6 7.7% +82.70
Saint-Cloud (FR) 56 3 5.4% −39.70
Longchamp (FR) 50 3 6% −13.40
Lyon Parilly 5 0 0% −4.00
Pompadour 3 2 66.7% +5.80
Compiegne 3 0 0% −2.00
Vichy 2 0 0% −1.00
Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 2 1 50% +3.90
Enghien (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Dax (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Auteuil (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Aix-Les-Bains 1 0 0% −1.00
Pornichet-La Baule (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 5 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 25 7 28% 1.00 +2.20
2nd–3rd fav 67 10 14.9% 1.22 +5.60
4th–6th fav 145 7 4.8% 0.64 −75.90
7th+ in betting 292 14 4.8% 1.46 +112.60
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Lloydminster (FR)from D Sepulchre 58 5 19 12 Jan 22
Ministre D'Etat (IRE)from E Lellouche 50 6 20 11 Sep 17
Vantage Point (FR)from J-M Capitte 44 5 9 4 Jan 14
Vrotos (IRE)from C Laffon-Parias · then P Vidotto 36 3 10 2 Jul 15
Mogadishio (FR)from Alain Couetil · then S Smrczek 29 4 13 1 Mar 14
Chabal'Ozor (FR) 26 3 4 22 Dec 14
Atomic Bere (FR) 21 1 2 15 Apr 15
Vamosalaplaya (FR)from F Doumen · then P Decouz 19 1 11 11 May 17
Becquagemme (FR)from T Lemer · then Mlle L Payet-Burin 18 2 4 29 Aug 18
Dejeuner D'Enfer (FR) 17 0 3 6 Jun 12
Premier Violon (IRE)from B Dutruel 16 3 6 24 Mar 11
Family Money (FR)from Y Barberot 15 2 3 29 Aug 20
All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 57 horses listed, 37 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from C Laffon-Parias (3) and E Lellouche (3); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for J-P Gauvin (2) and Mlle L Payet-Burin (2); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
9105251616916435
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
13% of all rides
7.2% SR · A/E 0.64
RiderRWSR£1
Chrystelle Cardenne 69 5 7.2% −42.20
Stephane Pasquier 50 7 14% +6.50
David Breux 34 2 5.9% +66.40
Maxime Guyon 31 6 19.4% +28.90
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
44
Archived wins
£939k
Prize money
2013
Best season · 10 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Rock And Palm (FR) — Prix Jean Granel (Hurdle) Auteuil (FR) · Apr 2006
£23,172
Vantage Point (FR) — Prix De La Baie De Seine (Handicap) (4yo+) (Fibresand) Deauville (FR) · Jan 2011
£20,259
Vrotos (IRE) — Prix De Precy (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jul 2011
£20,259

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Elusive Quality (USA) 8.6% · 5–58
Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,387 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.9% from 280. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 319.
Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 12% · 6–50
Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,568 runs since 2008 (872 horses).
Zafonic (USA) 11.4% · 5–44
Progeny have won 9.7% of 658 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.2% from 190.
Hernando (FR) 8.3% · 3–36
Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 120.
American Post (GB) 13.8% · 4–29
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.
Della Francesca (USA) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 10% of 1,477 runs since 2008 (172 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13% from 338. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 16% from 100. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.3% from 160.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 558 · newest first

The latest 50 of 558 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 21 April 2006 to 12 January 2022.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mlle C Cardenne's strike rate?
Mlle C Cardenne has won 42 of 544 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.7% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mlle C Cardenne do best at?
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) by strike rate: 12 wins from 129 runners (9.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Mlle C Cardenne?
Chrystelle Cardenne, with 69 runners since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (7.2%).
What is Mlle C Cardenne's Fair A/E?
1.07, from 523 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 11 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).