What is Mme L Vanska's strike rate?

Mme L Vanska has won 7 of 103 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mme L Vanska do best at?

Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 34 runners (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Mme L Vanska's Fair A/E?

1.20, from 103 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Mme L Vanska

103 runners in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 265 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

7–103

Wins / Runs

6.8%

Strike rate

n=103

27 (26%)

Placed

1.20

Fair A/E

n=103 · 1.01 incl. margin

+5.00

£1 level stake

n=103 at SP · +4.9%

£286k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 10 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.20).

Deterministic profile computed from 103 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (2.9% over 34 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.41). The market has also underrated the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 1.20 across 103 runners (6.8% strike, +5.00 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 2.9% over 35 runners, 3.9pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the St Mark's Basilica Coolmore Prix Saint-Alary at Longchamp (FR) (May 2024, £64,435).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3%−3.8

n=33 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −27.70

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−6.8

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Debutants · first career start

7.1%+0.3

n=28 · A/E 2.21 · £1 +38.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.9%−0.9

n=17 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +12.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−6.8

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

When favourite

100%

n=1 · A/E 6.34 · £1 +4.30

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.5%+5.7

n=8 · A/E 2.06 · £1 −2.70

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.3%+6.5

n=15 · A/E 2.24 · £1 +5.10

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Standard (AW) going 2.9% vs 6.8% · n=35

At Chantilly (FR) 2.9% vs 6.8% · n=34

With Augustin Madamet 3% vs 6.8% · n=33

Over 1m – 1m1f 4.7% vs 6.8% · n=43

With a new jockey booking 6.9% vs 6.8% · n=58 · A/E 1.44

In Flat races 6.8% vs 6.8% · n=103 · A/E 1.20

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 35 1 2.9% −27.30

Good to Soft 26 3 11.5% +20.20

Soft 24 2 8.3% −6.90

Heavy 12 1 8.3% +25.00

Good 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 34 1 2.9% −26.30

Saint-Cloud (FR) 29 3 10.3% +42.30

Deauville (FR) 22 0 0% −22.00

Longchamp (FR) 12 2 16.7% +8.70

Compiegne (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Moulins (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Toulouse (FR) 1 1 100% +7.30

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 15 2 13.3% +5.10

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1 1 100% 6.34 +4.30

2nd–3rd fav 12 0 0% 0.00 −12.00

4th–6th fav 26 3 11.5% 1.57 −1.10

7th+ in betting 64 3 4.7% 1.59 +13.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rogue Enforcer (GB)from Peter Chapple-Hyam · then Archie Watson 8 1 2 30 Aug 25

Birthe (IRE)then Joseph Patrick O'Brien 8 3 5 15 Sep 24

Katleiya (FR) 7 0 3 4 Nov 23

Magyar Dance (GER) 6 1 2 18 Dec 24

Mowgli (FR)then F Dambacher 6 0 1 6 May 24

Lilas De France (IRE)from Carla O'Halloran 6 0 1 1 Mar 23

Caniar De Luxe (IRE) 5 1 1 3 Oct 25

Big Zou (GB)from Peter Chapple-Hyam · then Davide Satalia 5 0 0 13 Feb 25

Man Of Law (FR) 5 0 1 1 May 23

Astra Bella (FR) 4 0 0 20 Feb 26

Hors Limites (IRE)then Mme J Soudan 4 0 2 1 Sep 25

Agrimonia (FR) 3 0 1 18 Nov 23

All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Peter Chapple-Hyam (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for N Caullery (2); 19 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

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A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAugustin Madamet

32% of all rides
3% SR · A/E 0.53

RiderRWSR£1

Augustin Madamet 33 1 3% +4.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£286k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 2 wins

Birthe (IRE) — St Mark's Basilica Coolmore Prix Saint-Alary (3yo Fillies) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · May 2024 · Group 2

£64,435

Birthe (IRE) — Prix Caravelle - Haras des Granges () (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Toulouse (FR) · Apr 2024 · Listed

£23,913

Birthe (IRE) — Prix du Porchene (Conditions) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Nov 2023

£15,044

Notable horses

Birthe (IRE) Rogue Enforcer (GB) Magyar Dance (GER) Caniar De Luxe (IRE) Baptisia (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Al Wukair (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,113 runs since 2021 (162 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.2% from 213.

Profitable (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,450 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Study Of Man (IRE) 37.5% · 3–8

Progeny have won 14.6% of 1,188 runs since 2023 (149 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.4% from 129. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 9.6% from 251.

Gleneagles (IRE) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 11.4% of 4,579 runs since 2019 (447 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17.3% from 284.

Kendargent (FR) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 9.6% of 5,255 runs since 2011 (580 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 256.

Recoletos (FR) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 9.5% of 839 runs since 2022 (116 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.9% from 209.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 103 · newest first

The latest 50 of 103 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 April 2021 to 20 February 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Feb 26 Chantilly (FR) Astra Bella (FR)J: Pierre Bazire Prix du Chene des Trois Freres (Handicap) (All Weather) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 26/1

29 Dec 25 Deauville (FR) Astra Bella (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix d'Epreville (Conditions) (2yo Fillies) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 7th 28/1

09 Dec 25 Chantilly (FR) Astra Bella (FR)J: Dorian Provost Prix du Rond Alicante (Conditions) (2yo Fillies) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 5th 128/1

18 Nov 25 Chantilly (FR) Sedition (GB)J: Rosario Mangione Prix du Poteau du Gateau (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)8f · Standard · 16 ran 11th 107/1

23 Oct 25 Deauville (FR) Rogue Beauty (IRE)J: Clement Lecoeuvre Prix du Pre d'Auge (Maiden) (Unraced 2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 23/1

09 Oct 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sweet Excess (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix des Yvelines (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Very Soft · 15 ran 12th 12/1

03 Oct 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Caniar De Luxe (IRE)J: Pierre Le Digabel Prix du Bouscat (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)14f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 58/1

02 Oct 25 Chantilly (FR) Meliora (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix des Terroirs de France (Conditions) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 13/1

01 Sep 25 Chantilly (FR) Hors Limites (IRE)J: Cristian Demuro Prix de la Ville de Lamorlaye (Maiden) (3yo) (Turf)8f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 41/10

30 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Rogue Enforcer (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Hotel Barriere l'Hotel du Golf (Handicap) (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf)5f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 19/1

19 Aug 25 Deauville (FR) Astra Bella (FR)J: Augustin Madamet Prix de la Reboursiere (Maiden) (Unraced 2yo Fillies) (Round Course) (Turf)8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 14th 59/1

24 Jun 25 Chantilly (FR) Rogue Enforcer (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Hampton () (3yo+) (Turf)5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 29/1

10 Jun 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Caniar De Luxe (IRE)J: Pierre Le Digabel Prix de Huez (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 13/1

29 May 25 Longchamp (FR) Hors Limites (IRE)J: Theo Bachelot Prix de Sevres (Maiden) (3yo Fillies) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)9f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 20/1

25 May 25 Longchamp (FR) Rogue Enforcer (GB)J: Cristian Demuro Prix du Haras Royal de Meudon (Handicap) (4yo+) (Sprint Course) (Turf)5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 1st 79/10

23 May 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Kermanshah (FR)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix Pot au Feu (Maiden) (Unraced 3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)12f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 20/1

13 May 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Sweet Excess (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix des Narcisses (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 3rd 66/10

28 Apr 25 Chantilly (FR) Ame D'Or (IRE)J: Aurelien Lemaitre Prix de Brunehaut (Maiden) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 41/5

28 Apr 25 Chantilly (FR) Rogue Enforcer (GB)J: Maxime Guyon Prix de Chamant (Claimer) (4yo+) (Turf)5.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 16/1

23 Apr 25 Saint-Cloud (FR) Caniar De Luxe (IRE)J: Pierre Le Digabel Prix du Triangle de Rocquencourt (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)12.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran 1st 43/10F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mme L Vanska's strike rate?: Mme L Vanska has won 7 of 103 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mme L Vanska do best at?: Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 1 wins from 34 runners (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mme L Vanska's Fair A/E?: 1.20, from 103 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.