Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB at a glanceClaiming riders: 11.4%
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 10.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.3%−2.8
n=41 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −0.37
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.7%−2.4
n=26 · A/E 0.70 · £1 +10.88
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.1
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−10.1
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.1
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=7 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −2.32
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
11.4%+1.3
n=35 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −13.37
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Beyond 3m18.8% vs 10.1% · n=32
With a new jockey booking4.9% vs 10.1% · n=41
Off a break of 180+ days8.1% vs 10.1% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase66710.6%−4.07
NH Flat300%−3.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good35411.4%−17.87
Good to Soft1715.9%+17.00
Soft10110%−1.00
Good to Firm5120%−3.20
Heavy200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Cheltenham15320%+32.50
Wetherby13215.4%−7.45
Aintree600%−6.00
Southwell500%−5.00
Hexham500%−5.00
Cartmel4125%+2.00
Catterick400%−4.00
Sedgefield300%−3.00
Kelso3133.3%−0.12
Leicester300%−3.00
Carlisle200%−2.00
Musselburgh200%−2.00
Stratford100%−1.00
Towcester100%−1.00
Punchestown (IRE)100%−1.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 627311.1%−15.45
Class 413323.1%+3.38
Class 51300%−13.00
Class 210110%+24.00
Class 3500%−5.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite7228.6%0.75−2.32
2nd–3rd fav13323.1%1.43+1.25
4th–6th fav3013.3%0.49−21.00
7th+ in betting1915.3%2.59+15.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
Over 3m32618.8%+27.05
2m5f – 3m2414.2%−21.12
2m1f – 2m4f1200%−12.00
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20083133.3%+31.00
20097228.6%−0.70
2010800%−8.00
20111119.1%−5.00
20124250%+8.75
2013600%−6.00
2015200%−2.00
2017400%−4.00
2018400%−4.00
2019400%−4.00
2021500%−5.00
2022400%−4.00
20234125%−1.12
2026300%−3.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
5-7 runners2328.7%−15.62
8-10 runners15213.3%−2.25
11-13 runners1317.7%−7.00
17+ runners10110%+24.00
14-16 runners500%−5.00
2-4 runners3133.3%−1.20
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 31 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 31 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Jacqueline Coward (4) and Michael Easterby (3); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.
6 have since run for another yard, most often for Miss S Coward (2); 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
·01718633······
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Amicelli (GER) — Christie's Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup Cheltenham · Mar 2008 · Class 2
£24,008
Amicelli (GER) — AGA Ladies Open Point-to-point Championship Final (Hunters' Chase) Cheltenham · May 2012 · Class 4
£4,679
Ballydonagh Boy (IRE) — Weatherbys Hamilton Buccleuch Cup (Maiden Hunters' Chase) Kelso · Apr 2023 · Class 4
Progeny have won 7.3% of 409 runs since 2011 (33 horses).
Royal Anthem (USA)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,350 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.9% from 529.
Classic Cliche (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8% of 2,328 runs since 2008 (231 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.1% from 244.
Fair Mix (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.3% of 2,578 runs since 2008 (251 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 75 · newest first
The latest 50 of 75 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 March 2005 to 9 May 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mrs C A Coward's strike rate?
Mrs C A Coward has won 7 of 69 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.1% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs C A Coward's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 68 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mrs C A Coward·SR 10.1%·A/E 0.98
1Tap Share in the toolbar2Scroll down the sheet3Tap Add to Home Screen, then Add
1Open your browser's menu (the three dots)2Tap Add to Home screen or Install app
KTB
Cookies on Kickthebookies
We use essential cookies to run the site and remember your betslip. No advertising or tracking cookies, ever. By continuing to use this site, you agree. Cookie policy