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Trainer profile

Mrs Pauline Gavin

219 runners in the lifetime window · 15 individual horses
As at 29 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Apr 2017
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
14–219
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=219
50 (23%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=219 · 0.78 incl. margin
+28.67
£1 level stake
n=219 at SP · +13.1%
£226k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).

Deterministic profile computed from 219 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 29 Oct 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 1.8% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.38). The yard also read well over 2m1f – 2m4f (10.7%, n=75) and off a 15-30-day break (10.5%, n=86). The record read poorly over 1m5f – 2m — 0% over 35 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.3%−4.1
n=43 · A/E 0.42 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
20%
n=5 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −3.33
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.8%−4.6
n=55 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 1m5f – 2m 0% vs 6.4% · n=35
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 10.7% vs 6.4% · n=75
With horses switching code 1.8% vs 6.4% · n=56
With claiming riders up 1.8% vs 6.4% · n=55
Off a 15-30-day break 10.5% vs 6.4% · n=86
With Andrew J McNamara 10.4% vs 6.4% · n=48
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 95 5 5.3% −16.00
Hurdle 86 7 8.1% +56.67
Flat 37 2 5.4% −11.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 85 6 7.1% +3.67
Heavy 63 4 6.3% +26.00
Good 38 3 7.9% +11.00
Good to Soft 20 0 0% −20.00
Good to Firm 12 1 8.3% +9.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Galway 28 0 0% −28.00
Navan 24 3 12.5% +24.00
Punchestown 20 0 0% −20.00
Roscommon 19 2 10.5% +43.00
Killarney 19 2 10.5% +9.00
Ballinrobe 14 2 14.3% +37.00
Fairyhouse 14 1 7.1% −4.00
Thurles 13 1 7.7% −11.33
Limerick 11 2 18.2% +27.00
Tipperary 8 1 12.5% +1.00
Listowel 7 0 0% −7.00
Naas 7 0 0% −7.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Cork 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 20 0 0% −20.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 1 14.3% 0.70 −5.33
2nd–3rd fav 27 1 3.7% 0.29 −24.00
4th–6th fav 58 4 6.9% 0.99 −17.00
7th+ in betting 127 8 6.3% 1.78 +75.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.8% completed · 181 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 95 85.3% 2 3 9 0 0
Hurdle 86 90.7% 0 2 4 2 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
The Lady Granuaile (USA)from Kevin Ryan 57 4 13 29 Sep 14
Benalma (IRE) 39 3 6 4 Aug 15
Ad Idem (GB) 37 2 12 1 Apr 17
Sang Bleu (IRE) 26 1 11 3 May 13
Lillymile (IRE)from Miss Clodagh Beegan 12 2 3 1 Nov 12
Lady Excel (IRE)then Brian Rothwell 12 1 2 29 Jun 10
Ceol Agus Ol (IRE) 8 1 1 25 Jan 17
Optime (IRE) 7 0 2 29 Nov 12
A Complete Lady (IRE) 7 0 0 20 Oct 10
Ballyfore Cross (IRE)from J A Nash 3 0 0 17 Jul 16
Velis Nolis (IRE) 3 0 0 15 Dec 13
Portacarron Lady (IRE) 3 0 0 29 May 12
All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard, most often for John Upson (2); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
718071004195066
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderAndrew J McNamara
22% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 1.25
RiderRWSR£1
Andrew J McNamara 48 5 10.4% +35.67
Alan Crowe 40 4 10% +26.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
16
Archived wins
£247k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Sang Bleu (IRE) — Irish Daily Mirror Novice Handicap Chase (0-123) Fairyhouse · Apr 2010
£11,040
Ad Idem (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Beginners Chase Navan · Jan 2011
£11,040
The Lady Granuaile (USA) — Newton Abbot Races Handicap Hurdle (81-123) Limerick · Nov 2011
£10,005
Notable horses
The Lady Granuaile (USA) Benalma (IRE) Ad Idem (GB) Carroll Encore (IRE) Lillymile (IRE) Sang Bleu (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
More Than Ready (USA) 7% · 4–57
Progeny have won 10.5% of 1,720 runs since 2008 (180 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.4% from 135. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.5% from 122.
Beneficial (GB) 7.7% · 3–39
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,044 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 5.4% · 2–37
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,744 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Pistolet Bleu (IRE) 3.8% · 1–26
Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,371 runs since 2008 (131 horses).
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 8.3% · 1–12
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,030 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Revoque (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 8% of 1,805 runs since 2008 (202 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 265. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5% from 100.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 29 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 259 · newest first

The latest 50 of 259 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 14 February 2005 to 1 April 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Apr 17 Navan Ad Idem (GB)J: Rachael Blackmore Follow Navan On Facebook Handicap Chase20f · Heavy · 17 ran 7th 9/1
09 Mar 17 Thurles Ad Idem (GB)J: Rachael Blackmore Urlingford Rated Chase18f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 4th 4/1
25 Feb 17 Fairyhouse Ad Idem (GB)J: Richard Deegan Easter Festival 16th - 18th April Hunters Chase21.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 2nd 20/1
25 Jan 17 Fairyhouse Ceol Agus Ol (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Book Your Easter Festival Tickets Today Beginners Chase21f · Soft · 12 ran 7th 12/1
27 Dec 16 Limerick Ceol Agus Ol (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Brc Mcmahon Reinforcements Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 16 ran 8th 16/1
11 Dec 16 Punchestown Ceol Agus Ol (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Follow Us On Facebook And Twitter Handicap Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 14th 33/1
17 Jul 16 Tipperary Ballyfore Cross (IRE)J: Mark Enright Follow tipperaryraces On Twitter Beginners Chase20f · Good · 16 ran 7th 66/1
05 Jun 16 Kilbeggan Ballyfore Cross (IRE)J: Brian Hayes Kilbeggan Handicap Hurdle (80-102)24.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 25/1
26 May 16 Tipperary Ballyfore Cross (IRE)J: Mark Enright TipperaryRaces.ie Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Good · 18 ran 12th 25/1
24 Mar 16 Thurles Ad Idem (GB)J: Rachael Blackmore Devil's Bit Handicap Chase16.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 12/1
06 Mar 16 Naas Ad Idem (GB)J: Rachael Blackmore Woodlands 100 Club Leinster National Handicap Chase (grade B)24f · Heavy · 12 ran 7th 16/1
27 Feb 16 Navan Ad Idem (GB)J: Brian Hayes Newgrange Veterans Handicap Chase24f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran UR 8/1
24 Jan 16 Leopardstown Ad Idem (GB)J: Brian Hayes 'colours Bar' Handicap Chase (0-123)21f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 20/1
28 Dec 15 Limerick Ad Idem (GB)J: Brian Hayes Guinness Veterans Handicap Chase22f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 7/1
06 Dec 15 Punchestown Ad Idem (GB)J: Brian Hayes 3 For 2 Festival Tickets At punchestown.com Handicap Chase22f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 14/1
14 Nov 15 Punchestown Ad Idem (GB)J: Brian Hayes Festival 3 For 2 Ticket Offer Handicap Chase (0-140)22f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 8/1
26 Oct 15 Galway Ceol Agus Ol (IRE)J: Brian Hayes John Mulholland Bookmakers Handicap Hurdle21.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 10th 10/1
26 Oct 15 Galway Ad Idem (GB)J: Brian Hayes Ennis Lifts Handicap Chase22.5f · Yielding · 7 ran 4th 9/1
11 Oct 15 Limerick Ceol Agus Ol (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Anglo Handicap Hurdle22f · Yielding · 12 ran 4th 14/1
19 Sep 15 Listowel Ad Idem (GB)J: Brian Hayes Beasley Engineering Limited Handicap Chase24f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran F 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mrs Pauline Gavin's strike rate?
Mrs Pauline Gavin has won 14 of 219 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mrs Pauline Gavin's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 219 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 29 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).