What is Shane Crimin's strike rate?

Shane Crimin has won 21 of 438 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shane Crimin do best at?

Fairyhouse by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 rides (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shane Crimin ride most for?

Oliver McKiernan, with 132 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (7.6%).

What is Shane Crimin's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 438 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shane Crimin

438 rides in the lifetime window · 188 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Feb 2019 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

21–438

Wins / Runs

4.8%

Strike rate

n=438

63 (14%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=438 · 0.72 incl. margin

−179.75

£1 level stake

n=438 at SP · −41.0%

£275k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).

Deterministic profile computed from 438 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Oliver McKiernan: 7.6% from 132 Claiming: 5.2%

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.2% (n=83, Fair A/E 0.29). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −180.00 to a £1 stake over 264 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Oliver McKiernan supplied 30% of the rides and edges the rider's average (7.6% vs 4.8%, A/E 1.29) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (15.4%, n=39). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 42 rides, 4.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.20 across 113 rides (0.9% strike, −87.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3.7%−1.1

n=188 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −35.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

15%+10.2

n=20 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +3.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

1.2%−3.6

n=83 · A/E 0.29 · £1 −77.00

When favourite

20%

n=5 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −1.25

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.2%+0.4

n=402 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −143.75

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.7%−2.1

n=264 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −180.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.8

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 15.4% vs 4.8% · n=39

With horses switching code 0% vs 4.8% · n=75

Over 1m5f – 2m 0.9% vs 4.8% · n=113

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 4.8% · n=42

With C&D winners 9.1% vs 4.8% · n=33

With Oliver McKiernan 7.6% vs 4.8% · n=132

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 300 14 4.7% −153.25

Chase 114 7 6.1% −2.50

NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 164 8 4.9% −58.00

Heavy 115 7 6.1% −44.75

Good 102 5 4.9% −33.00

Good to Firm 28 1 3.6% −15.00

Good to Soft 25 0 0% −25.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 36 1 2.8% −28.50

Navan 35 2 5.7% +33.00

Fairyhouse 31 2 6.5% −17.00

Clonmel 30 1 3.3% −25.00

Leopardstown 29 1 3.4% −21.50

Cork 27 1 3.7% −1.00

Limerick 27 1 3.7% −12.00

Down Royal 25 1 4% −12.00

Naas 23 0 0% −23.00

Wexford 22 4 18.2% +5.50

Ballinrobe 19 1 5.3% +2.00

Thurles 19 0 0% −19.00

Gowran Park 14 3 21.4% +11.75

Kilbeggan 13 0 0% −13.00

Killarney 11 0 0% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 15 0 0% −15.00

Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 9 3 33.3% 1.68 +8.25

2nd–3rd fav 37 5 13.5% 1.11 −5.00

4th–6th fav 94 6 6.4% 0.85 −43.00

7th+ in betting 298 7 2.3% 0.76 −140.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.4% completed · 414 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 114 69.3% 11 9 13 1 1

Hurdle 300 86% 8 5 28 1 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Happy New Year (IRE) 23 2 7 19 Nov 14

Any Bets (IRE) 18 2 3 5 Oct 13

Whatuthink (IRE) 12 0 0 6 Aug 15

Whodoyouthink (IRE) 12 1 1 2 Nov 14

Springfield Grey (IRE) 9 1 4 28 Aug 16

Follow The Sign (IRE) 9 2 3 21 Mar 15

Best Value (IRE) 8 1 5 10 Jun 16

Personal Shopper (GB) 8 0 2 22 Apr 15

Royalor (FR) 8 0 0 8 Feb 14

Happy Tobe Here (IRE) 8 0 0 6 Sep 13

Millyrembrandt (IRE) 7 0 0 22 Jun 15

Brian The Warrior (IRE) 7 0 0 13 Jun 14

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 188 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

2770658343103

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardOliver McKiernan

30% of all rides
7.6% SR · A/E 1.29

TrainerRWSR£1

Oliver McKiernan 132 10 7.6% −57.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→

Archived wins

£275k

Prize money

2012

Best season · 7 wins

Any Bets (IRE) — Kevin Broderick Memorial Handicap Chase Listowel · Jun 2012

£15,925

Spider Web (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-123) Leopardstown · Dec 2017

£11,396

Follow The Sign (IRE) — Live Music After Racing Handicap Hurdle Gowran Park · Feb 2015

£11,040

Notable horses

Happy New Year (IRE) Any Bets (IRE) Follow The Sign (IRE) The Bold Beckey (IRE) Changing Times (IRE) Whodoyouthink (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Beneficial (GB) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,046 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,288 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

Presenting (GB) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Court Cave (IRE) 4% · 1–25

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,956 runs since 2008 (553 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Milan (GB) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,876 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–15

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 438 · newest first

The latest 50 of 438 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 April 2010 to 24 February 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

24 Feb 19 Naas Saint Irini (IRE)T: E D Delany Paddy Rewards Club Handicap Hurdle (80-116)16f · Good · 12 ran 7th 25/1

20 Feb 19 Punchestown Longtimesincejaspr (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Coral Bet 5 Get 20 In Free Bets Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 2nd 8/1

09 Feb 19 Naas Our Big Red (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Cavan Developments Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)16f · Good · 25 ran 10th 100/1

26 Jan 19 Fairyhouse My Forever Friend (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran PU 33/1

19 Jan 19 Navan Bothar Dubh (GB)T: Declan Queally Free Racecourse WiFi Now At Navan Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Yielding · 20 ran 2nd 6/1

12 Jan 19 Fairyhouse (IRE) Lilly Banner (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Book Easter Festival Tickets Online At fairyhouse.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 12 ran 8th 100/1

06 Jan 19 Naas Iknowwhereiamnow (IRE)T: J P Dempsey Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good · 19 ran 7th 16/1

28 Dec 18 Leopardstown Bothar Dubh (GB)T: Declan Queally Irish Daily Star Christmas Handicap Hurdle (80-116)20f · Good To Yielding · 23 ran 11th 12/1

27 Dec 18 Leopardstown Carol's Return (GB)T: William Durkan Paddy Power 'Only 363 Days Till Christmas' 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 28 ran F 100/1

26 Dec 18 Down Royal Bracka Lily (IRE)T: Noel C Kelly Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16.5f · Yielding · 17 ran 2nd 25/1

26 Dec 18 Down Royal Oscar Light (IRE)T: Noel C Kelly I.N.H. Stallion Owners EBF Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding · 19 ran 11th 40/1

30 Jan 18 Punchestown Tremendous (IRE)T: Liam Lennon Toals.com Bookmakers Money Back If Second To The SP Favourite Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 21 ran UR 100/1

27 Jan 18 Fairyhouse Zagnzig (IRE)T: H Smyth Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Heavy · 11 ran 5th 16/1

07 Jan 18 Naas Dundeedy Lad (FR)T: Robert Tyner Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran F 14/1

29 Dec 17 Leopardstown Spider Web (IRE)T: Thomas Mullins Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-123)21f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 1st 13/2J

28 Dec 17 Leopardstown Colms Dream (IRE)T: Karl Thornton Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier)24f · Soft · 29 ran 21st 25/1

26 Dec 17 Down Royal Zagnzig (IRE)T: H Smyth Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)16f · Heavy · 17 ran 7th 7/1

26 Dec 17 Down Royal Amybell (GB)T: S Wilson Silks Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 14 ran 7th 50/1

26 Dec 17 Down Royal Alices Man (IRE)T: John Patrick Ryan Adam & Ann Armstrong Memorial Handicap Chase (0-102)19.5f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 22/1

05 Mar 17 Leopardstown Moss Grove (IRE)T: Robert Tyner Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Chase21.5f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran PU 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Shane Crimin's strike rate?: Shane Crimin has won 21 of 438 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Crimin do best at?: Fairyhouse by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 rides (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane Crimin ride most for?: Oliver McKiernan, with 132 rides since 2008 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (7.6%).
What is Shane Crimin's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 438 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.