What is N Paysan's strike rate?

N Paysan has won 38 of 523 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does N Paysan do best at?

Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 56 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for N Paysan?

T Bachelot, with 56 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (17.9%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is N Paysan's Fair A/E?

0.89, from 508 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

N Paysan

523 runners in the lifetime window · 158 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 6 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

38–523

Wins / Runs

7.3%

Strike rate

n=523

123 (24%)

Placed

0.89

Fair A/E

n=508 · 0.79 incl. margin

−92.50

£1 level stake

n=511 at SP · −18.1%

£1.02m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 523 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.5% T Bachelot: 17.9% from 56 New recruits: 7.9%

The read

A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=74, Fair A/E 0.20). T Bachelot rides 11% of the entries and beats the yard's average (17.9% vs 7.3%, A/E 1.84) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (13.3%, n=60) and off a 15-30-day break (12%, n=108). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 2.8% over 107 runners, 4.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m1f – 2m4f: Fair A/E 0.43 across 106 runners (2.8% strike, −76.40 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Alain et Gilles de Goulaine at Auteuil (FR) (Sep 2021, £38,170). The stable star of the record: Aslan Senora (FR) — 5 wins from 10 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.5%+0.2

n=227 · A/E 1.01 · £1 +26.10

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.9%+0.6

n=63 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +2.20

Debutants · first career start

3.2%−4.1

n=95 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −67.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

1.4%−5.9

n=74 · A/E 0.20 · £1 −51.90

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.1%+3.8

n=9 · A/E 2.06 · £1 −3.10

When favourite

14.8%

n=27 · A/E 0.53 · £1 −11.70

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.5%−2.8

n=67 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −43.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5%−2.3

n=60 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −28.20

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With T Bachelot 17.9% vs 7.3% · n=56

With first-time headgear 1.4% vs 7.3% · n=74

Over 1m5f – 2m 13.3% vs 7.3% · n=60

Off a 15-30-day break 12% vs 7.3% · n=108

On Heavy going 2.8% vs 7.3% · n=107

Over 2m1f – 2m4f 2.8% vs 7.3% · n=106

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 359 32 8.9% +11.20

Chase 75 3 4% −45.50

Hurdle 72 2 2.8% −52.80

NH Flat 17 1 5.9% −5.40

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 184 12 6.5% −41.90

Heavy 107 3 2.8% −70.20

Standard (AW) 91 10 11% +1.30

Good to Soft 79 8 10.1% +32.20

Good 62 5 8.1% −13.90

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Saint-Cloud (FR) 124 10 8.1% −3.30

Auteuil (FR) 76 3 3.9% −47.80

Chantilly (FR) 56 7 12.5% +12.70

Deauville (FR) 55 3 5.5% −31.40

Longchamp (FR) 50 4 8% +12.80

Compiegne (FR) 29 2 6.9% −14.50

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 20 0 0% −20.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 20 2 10% +7.90

Craon (FR) 13 1 7.7% −5.30

Dieppe (FR) 11 0 0% −10.00

Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 9 2 22.2% +2.30

Nantes (FR) 7 0 0% −6.00

Angers (FR) 7 1 14.3% +2.00

Saint-Malo (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 5 1 20% +1.10

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 60 3 5% −28.20

Class 4 17 2 11.8% −4.50

Class 3 13 1 7.7% +2.00

Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 29 4 13.8% 0.50 −13.70

2nd–3rd fav 75 12 16% 1.05 +8.20

4th–6th fav 160 11 6.9% 0.80 −23.80

7th+ in betting 247 10 4% 1.08 −63.20

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Il Decamerone (FR)from P Leblanc · then O Anaya 21 4 11 2 Jun 22

Chelsea Du Ninian (FR) 15 2 7 15 Mar 26

Sir George (FR)from F Vermeulen 15 0 1 26 Apr 24

Rose Abella (GB)from Rod Collet 15 3 4 4 Nov 21

Becquathunder (FR)from D Windrif 11 3 4 31 Oct 26

Don't Watch Me Cry (FR) 10 0 2 20 Oct 26

Fleur De Sel (FR)from F Foucher 10 1 1 10 Sep 26

Aslan Senora (FR)from F-X Belvisi 10 5 6 7 Sep 26

J'Ai La Cote (FR) 10 0 2 25 Oct 25

Montepertuso (FR)from P Lenogue 10 0 1 21 Feb 23

Andouins (FR) 9 1 4 31 Oct 26

Casino Des Bois (FR) 9 1 1 24 Dec 21

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 158 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 29 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from L Gadbin (3) and D Windrif (2); 31 had their first archived run for this yard.

4 have since run for another yard; 56 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 6

Only 6 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

22056989549214

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderT Bachelot

11% of all rides
17.9% SR · A/E 1.84

RiderRWSR£1

T Bachelot 56 10 17.9% +59.20

Cyrille Stefan 48 6 12.5% +49.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.02m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 8 wins

Becquathunder (FR) — Prix Alain et Gilles de Goulaine (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Sep 2021 · Listed

£38,170

Il Decamerone (FR) — Grand Prix des Provinces-Prix Andre Baboin () (3yo+) (Turf) Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) · Oct 2021 · Listed

£23,214

Becquathunder (FR) — Prix de Castets (Hurdle) (Handicap) (4yo) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Apr 2021

£22,500

Notable horses

Aslan Senora (FR) Il Decamerone (FR) Rose Abella (GB) Becquathunder (FR) Chelsea Du Ninian (FR) American Saint (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Born To Sea (IRE) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,289 runs since 2016 (311 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 970. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 867. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.

George Vancouver (USA) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,177 runs since 2017 (132 horses). Weakest on Good going: 2.4% from 124.

Nidor (FR) 5% · 1–20

Progeny have won 11.7% of 317 runs since 2011 (49 horses).

Dariyan (FR) 0% · 0–18

Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,131 runs since 2020 (141 horses).

Galiway (GB) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 11.6% of 1,748 runs since 2019 (288 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.4% from 267. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 397. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19.7% from 234. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.5% from 487.

Royal Applause (GB) 20% · 3–15

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 523 · newest first

The latest 50 of 523 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 May 2015 to 31 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Maitrise Du Risque (FR)J: Antoine Subias Prix Yves Priouzeau14.5f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 8/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Becquathunder (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Handicap De La MaineClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 3/1F

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Serpentar (FR)J: Antoine Subias Handicap De La MaineClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 20/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Andouins (FR)J: Thomas Blanchouin Handicap De La MaineClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 9/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Libela Des Bambous (FR)J: Antoine Subias Prix Adolphe Besnard16f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 12/1

26 Oct 26 Toulouse (FR) La Charmette (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix De La Cote Pavee10f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/4

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Don't Watch Me Cry (FR)J: Antoine Subias Prix Du Commandant Bacque12f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 12/1

20 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Guapak (FR)J: Antoine Subias Prix Philippe Du Vivier12f · Soft · 16 ran 9th 17/2

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Andouins (FR)J: Eddy Hardouin Prix Des Erables15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 10/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Becquathunder (FR)J: Malone Favriaux Prix Des Erables15.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 12/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Maestranzo (FR)J: Raphael Mayeur Prix De Distre17.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 2nd 9/1

14 Oct 26 Nantes (FR) Zen Dream (FR)J: Raphael Mayeur Prix Des Conscrits17.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 8th 10/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Winterberry (FR)J: Fabrice Veron Prix Roger Simon13.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 7/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Libela Des Bambous (FR)J: Antoine Subias Prix Roger Simon13.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Walschan (FR)J: Pierre Remoue Prix Blanpain De Saint-mars17f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 2nd 20/1

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Pomme Rose (FR)J: Clement Guitraud Prix Jack Barbe18f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 10/1

08 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) La Charmette (FR)J: Guillaume Trolley De Prevaux Prix De Rocquencourt10f · Soft · 15 ran 4th 20/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Seabiscuit Du Rheu (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Pierre ValentinClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 8th 4/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Guapak (FR)J: Antoine Subias Prix Pierre ValentinClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 16/1

28 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Flamingway (FR)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix Spie (Prix Claude De Langle)Class 2 · 15f · Very Soft · 7 ran 6th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is N Paysan's strike rate?: N Paysan has won 38 of 523 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does N Paysan do best at?: Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 7 wins from 56 runners (12.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for N Paysan?: T Bachelot, with 56 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (17.9%).
Is N Paysan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 6 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is N Paysan's Fair A/E?: 0.89, from 508 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.