What is Nick Gifford's strike rate?

Nick Gifford has won 202 of 1,980 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Nick Gifford do best at?

Fakenham by strike rate: 8 wins from 49 runners (16.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Nick Gifford?

James Davies, with 438 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (11.2%).

Is Nick Gifford in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Nick Gifford's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 1,977 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Nick Gifford

1,980 runners in the lifetime window · 209 individual horses

As at 10 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 2 days ago 94% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

202–1,980

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=1,980

572 (29%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=1,977 · 0.84 incl. margin

−542.38

£1 level stake

n=1,980 at SP · −27.4%

£2.12m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 100 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,980 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 10 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov 29.9% when favourite James Davies: 11.2% from 438 Sends off the favourite in 7% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newbury (0% over 84 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 2.6% (n=77, Fair A/E 0.40). The market has consistently overbet a horse in first-time headgear: 6% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −47.50 to a £1 stake over 100 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. James Davies rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.2%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 6 (19.4%, n=98). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.6% over 124 runners, 8.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.48 across 67 runners (3% strike, −32.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Stan James Christmas Hurdle at Kempton (Dec 2007, £62,722). The stable star of the record: Fairway Freddy (IRE) — 7 wins from 40 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.4%−1.8

n=500 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −229.23

New recruits · first run for the yard

8%−2.2

n=50 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −32.50

Debutants · first career start

7.8%−2.4

n=129 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −7.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6%−4.2

n=100 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −47.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9%−1.2

n=67 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −15.25

When favourite

29.9%

n=147 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −34.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10%−0.2

n=359 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −122.23

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

2.6%−7.6

n=77 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −61.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newbury 0% vs 10.2% · n=84

On last-time-out winners 18.4% vs 10.2% · n=207

In Class 6 19.4% vs 10.2% · n=98

In Class 1 1.6% vs 10.2% · n=124

In Group / Graded races 2.6% vs 10.2% · n=77

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 3% vs 10.2% · n=67

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 949 66 7% −472.01

Chase 690 101 14.6% −30.23

NH Flat 222 30 13.5% +7.61

Flat 119 5 4.2% −47.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 655 75 11.5% −76.87

Good to Soft 495 39 7.9% −196.80

Soft 471 46 9.8% −172.89

Heavy 163 25 15.3% −23.93

Good to Firm 99 12 12.1% −14.89

Standard (AW) 97 5 5.2% −57.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 319 39 12.2% −65.39

Plumpton 292 35 12% −94.59

Kempton 126 7 5.6% −89.38

Sandown 102 11 10.8% −21.63

Huntingdon 97 10 10.3% −50.30

Ascot 97 8 8.2% −1.75

Newbury 84 0 0% −84.00

Lingfield 81 11 13.6% +1.58

Towcester 68 7 10.3% −31.12

Cheltenham 67 4 6% −25.50

Warwick 67 9 13.4% +35.00

Lingfield (AW) 58 5 8.6% −18.00

Chepstow 51 5 9.8% −13.21

Fakenham 49 8 16.3% −0.15

Wincanton 47 6 12.8% −15.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 807 78 9.7% −266.31

Class 5 462 51 11% −81.50

Class 3 342 38 11.1% −99.80

Class 2 145 14 9.7% +0.20

Class 1 124 2 1.6% −108.50

Class 6 98 19 19.4% +15.53

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 184 49 26.6% 0.89 −51.25

2nd–3rd fav 467 80 17.1% 1.03 −69.13

4th–6th fav 682 57 8.4% 1.06 −81.00

7th+ in betting 647 16 2.5% 0.77 −341.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 693 76 11% −153.41

1m5f – 2m 640 64 10% −207.09

2m5f – 3m 421 44 10.5% −94.04

Over 3m 147 15 10.2% −56.84

1m2f – 1m4f 67 2 3% −32.00

1m – 1m1f 10 1 10% +3.00

6f – 7f 2 0 0% −2.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 166 27 16.3% +17.54

2009 158 17 10.8% −58.09

2010 149 14 9.4% −50.55

2011 119 16 13.4% −42.59

2012 110 7 6.4% −69.34

2013 125 12 9.6% +10.33

2014 88 8 9.1% −25.62

2015 73 8 11% −10.20

2016 65 6 9.2% −16.14

2017 107 8 7.5% −45.00

2018 120 10 8.3% −61.61

2019 95 10 10.5% +3.00

2020 62 7 11.3% −12.25

2021 134 10 7.5% −87.55

2022 93 7 7.5% +9.50

2023 90 9 10% −39.67

2024 77 9 11.7% −12.30

2025 94 12 12.8% −25.42

2026 55 5 9.1% −26.42

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,137 119 10.5% −240.58

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 642 70 10.9% −146.59

5-7 runners 450 73 16.2% −10.40

11-13 runners 433 31 7.2% −164.08

14-16 runners 269 13 4.8% −128.42

17+ runners 121 4 3.3% −69.00

2-4 runners 65 11 16.9% −23.89

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80% completed · 1,639 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 690 74.6% 31 15 125 2 2

Hurdle 949 84% 25 8 114 2 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tullamore Dew (IRE)then Micky Hammond 43 4 20 13 Dec 14

Fairway Freddy (IRE) 40 7 12 12 May 24

The Mighty Don (IRE) 38 4 12 13 Nov 22

Brown Bear (IRE) 33 5 11 22 Oct 19

Theo's Charm (IRE) 32 4 17 14 Mar 20

Fairy Rath (IRE)from Paul Cashman 31 5 12 17 Feb 17

Didtheyleaveuoutto (IRE)then Ben Haslam 30 5 9 25 Nov 22

Christopher Wren (USA)from John Best 30 5 11 12 Feb 15

Northern Poet (IRE) 29 7 14 4 May 26

Pascha Bere (FR)from A De Royer-Dupre 29 3 14 23 Nov 12

Belargus (FR)from P Bary 28 3 9 1 Jun 25

Party Royal (GB)from John Butler 28 2 9 29 Apr 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 209 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 12 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 16 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Amanda Perrett (2); 44 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for Georgie Howell (2) and Gordon Elliott (2); 46 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

912811118981113137

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Davies

22% of all rides
11.2% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

James Davies 438 49 11.2% −58.56

Liam Treadwell 364 45 12.4% −111.72

Tom Cannon 227 25 11% −54.01

Leighton Aspell 164 15 9.1% −28.50

Tabitha Worsley 118 11 9.3% −42.00

Jay Pemberton 101 12 11.9% −16.88

Mr David Dunsdon 57 5 8.8% −26.50

Niall Houlihan 41 3 7.3% −25.30

A P McCoy 38 4 10.5% −28.61

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

241

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.67m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 27 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Straw Bear (USA) — Stan James Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) Kempton · Dec 2007 · Class 1

£62,722

Straw Bear (USA) — Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) Newcastle · Nov 2006 · Grade 1

£45,072

Straw Bear (USA) — Bathwick Tyres Kingwell Hurdle (Grade 2) Wincanton · Feb 2007 · Class 1

£39,914

Notable horses

Fairway Freddy (IRE) Northern Poet (IRE) Aworkinprogress (IRE) Straw Bear (USA) Brown Bear (IRE) Fairy Rath (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 11.8% · 11–93

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Yeats (IRE) 16.5% · 13–79

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,854 runs since 2013 (709 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.

Kalanisi (IRE) 4.9% · 3–61

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,752 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 12.1% · 7–58

Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,157 runs since 2015 (317 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 10.7% from 384.

Dushyantor (USA) 14.3% · 7–49

Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,917 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 139.

King's Best (USA) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 10 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,309 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,309 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 8 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Nov 26 Sandown Gone Country (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Oddschecker Bet Builder Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 4/1

06 Nov 26 Fontwell Koenigsstern (IRE)J: Tom Cannon OPC Home Guard Remembrance Handicap Steeple Chase (Fontwell Chase Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 2nd 4/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Hello Fortune (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 5th 3/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Touquet (FR)J: Tom Cannon Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 8th 11/2

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Soldier Poet (IRE)J: Tom Cannon John Marshall 80th Birthday Celebration Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 10th 12/1

03 Nov 26 Lingfield Our Amigo (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley John Marshall 80th Birthday Celebration Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 5th 13/2

02 Nov 26 Plumpton Low Expectations (IRE)J: Tom Cannon Final Fence Open 30th November Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

21 Oct 26 Fontwell Graeme The Grey (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 100/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Eliza Dolittle (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley SIS Handicap Hurdle Race (For The Josh Gifford Memorial Trophy)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 8/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Gone Country (IRE)J: Tom Cannon SIS Handicap Hurdle Race (For The Josh Gifford Memorial Trophy)Class 5 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 7/4F

20 May 26 Warwick Grand Sabre (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Logicor Grand Neighsional Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 25.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 10/1

14 May 26 Fontwell Gone Country (IRE)J: James Davies Southern Cranes And Access Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 6/1

06 May 26 Fontwell Drumheller (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley KSR Lighting Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 11 ran PU 20/1

04 May 26 Fakenham Eliza Dolittle (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley Break Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 12/1

04 May 26 Fakenham Northern Poet (IRE)J: James Davies Chestnut Group Norfolk National Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 29f · Good · 10 ran PU 18/1

24 Apr 26 Fontwell Approaching Storm (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley V2 Radio Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 11/1

19 Apr 26 Plumpton Northern Poet (IRE)J: James Davies Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 18/1

08 Apr 26 Fontwell Graeme The Grey (GB)J: Tabitha Worsley Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 50/1

05 Apr 26 Plumpton Eliza Dolittle (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley BetGoodwin Master Trainer Chris Gordon Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 6/1

05 Apr 26 Plumpton Approaching Storm (IRE)J: Tabitha Worsley BetGoodwin Free Bet Nose Losers Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Good · 5 ran 5th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 3 Nov 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 6 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Nick Gifford's strike rate?: Nick Gifford has won 202 of 1,980 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 10 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nick Gifford do best at?: Fakenham by strike rate: 8 wins from 49 runners (16.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Nick Gifford?: James Davies, with 438 runners since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (11.2%).
Is Nick Gifford in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Nick Gifford's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 1,977 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.