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Trainer profile

Nigel Dunger

84 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2023 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
5–84
Wins / Runs
6%
Strike rate
n=84
20 (24%)
Placed
0.78
Fair A/E
n=84 · 0.66 incl. margin
+36.33
£1 level stake
n=84 at SP · +43.3%
£36,517
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 6.8%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.2%−1.8
n=24 · A/E 0.82 · £1 +2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.0
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
When favourite
0%
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.8%+0.8
n=44 · A/E 0.69 · £1 +59.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 12.1% vs 6% · n=33
Off a 15-30-day break 12.1% vs 6% · n=33
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 9.8% vs 6% · n=41
In Class 5 2.6% vs 6% · n=39
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 69 5 7.2% +51.33
NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00
Chase 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 33 4 12.1% +20.33
Good to Soft 17 1 5.9% +50.00
Good 16 0 0% −16.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Firm 3 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Fontwell 31 2 6.5% −16.67
Lingfield 9 0 0% −9.00
Plumpton 8 0 0% −8.00
Folkestone 5 0 0% −5.00
Kempton 4 0 0% −4.00
Huntingdon 4 2 50% +89.00
Fakenham 4 1 25% +9.00
Towcester 3 0 0% −3.00
Sandown 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 2 0 0% −2.00
Kempton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Chepstow 2 0 0% −2.00
Newbury 1 0 0% −1.00
Newton Abbot 1 0 0% −1.00
Exeter 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 39 1 2.6% −29.00
Class 4 24 4 16.7% +86.33
Class 6 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 3 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 16 1 6.3% 0.35 −11.67
4th–6th fav 22 1 4.5% 0.67 −12.00
7th+ in betting 42 3 7.1% 2.67 +64.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
82.9% completed · 70 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1 0% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 69 84.1% 1 2 8 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Hier Encore (FR)from David Menuisier 33 2 9 6 Feb 23
Snow Patrol (GB)from Luke Dace 18 0 5 15 Jan 13
Another Miracle (GB)then Donald McCain 7 1 2 5 Apr 10
Pride Of Pemberley (IRE)from Jamie Snowden 6 1 2 7 Mar 23
Another Dimension (IRE)then Rose Dobbin 5 1 1 6 Mar 11
Rich Maid (IRE) 4 0 1 16 Aug 12
Jacqueline Hyde (GB) 2 0 0 24 May 13
Baroque Star (IRE)then Chris Gordon 2 0 0 14 Apr 09
Cleric (GB) 2 0 0 25 Jun 08
That's Exactly (IRE)from Neil Mulholland 1 0 0 11 Dec 18
Hit The Headlines (IRE)from Luke Dace 1 0 0 30 Jan 18
Norwood Lane (GB)from Peter Hedger 1 0 0 9 Sep 12
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Luke Dace (2); 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
8829000·00006
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Charlie Wallis 17 2 11.8% +76.00
Colin Bolger 12 0 0% −12.00
Robert Dunne 11 1 9.1% +2.00
Rex Dingle 5 0 0% −5.00
Harry Teal 5 2 40% +9.33
Leighton Aspell 3 0 0% −3.00
Luca Morgan 3 0 0% −3.00
Luke Scott 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr R G Henderson 2 0 0% −2.00
Mattie Batchelor 2 0 0% −2.00
Beau Morgan 1 0 0% −1.00
Daniel Sansom 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£36,517
Prize money
2021
Best season · 1 win
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Pride Of Pemberley (IRE) — Happy New Year Handicap Hurdle Fakenham · Jan 2021 · Class 4
£5,198
Hier Encore (FR) — bet365 Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Fontwell · Mar 2019 · Class 4
£4,094
Hier Encore (FR) — Southern Cranes And Access Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Fontwell · Dec 2018 · Class 5
£3,119
Notable horses
Hier Encore (FR) Another Miracle (GB) Pride Of Pemberley (IRE) Another Dimension (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kentucky Dynamite (USA) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,067 runs since 2011 (112 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.8% from 277. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.4% from 145.
Linamix (FR) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,571 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 156. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.4% from 129. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.8% from 418. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.3% from 113.
Flemensfirth (USA) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,285 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Nikos (GB) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 12.9% of 628 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17.7% from 130. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 147.
Overbury (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Bach (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 244.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 95 · newest first

The latest 50 of 95 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 7 March 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
07 Mar 23 Sandown Pride Of Pemberley (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Team Forces Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 12 ran PU 80/1
06 Feb 23 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Beau Morgan Cazoo 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditionals And Amateurs)Class 5 · 21.5f · Good · 13 ran 7th 33/1
06 Dec 22 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Conor Ring John And Maryanne Birch Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 13 ran 9th 20/1
19 Oct 22 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: James Best Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 50/1
26 Dec 21 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Ben Ffrench Davis Free Replays On attheraces.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 25/1
07 Dec 21 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Luke Scott John And Maryanne Birch Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 11 ran 9th 16/1
31 Oct 21 Lingfield Hier Encore (FR)J: Luke Scott Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 10th 20/1
16 Apr 21 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Ben Godfrey bestbettingsites.co.uk Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 6th 11/1
20 Mar 21 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Tabitha Worsley Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 12/1
13 Jan 21 Plumpton Pride Of Pemberley (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Download The tote App Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 9/4F
04 Jan 21 Fakenham Pride Of Pemberley (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Happy New Year Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 10 ran 1st 12/1
04 Jan 21 Fakenham Hier Encore (FR)J: Rex Dingle Fakenham Racecourse Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 20f · Soft · 7 ran PU 18/1
08 Dec 20 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Luca Morgan John And Maryanne Birch Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 9 ran 7th 7/1
05 Dec 20 Sandown Pride Of Pemberley (IRE)J: Robert Dunne My Oddsboost On Betfair 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Heavy · 4 ran 3rd 28/1
16 Nov 20 Plumpton Pride Of Pemberley (IRE)J: Rex Dingle Happy 27th Birthday Alex Hinds Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 9/2
15 Nov 20 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Niall Houlihan Paddy Power Salmon Spray Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 5/1
21 Oct 20 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Luca Morgan Racehorse Welfare A Priority At Hotsr Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 10/1
21 Oct 20 Fontwell Pride Of Pemberley (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Heart Of The South Supports Fontwell Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)Class 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 50/1
02 Oct 20 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Luca Morgan Watch Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 5 · 19f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 4/1
14 Mar 20 Fontwell Hier Encore (FR)J: Jack Tudor Visit attheraces.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nigel Dunger's strike rate?
Nigel Dunger has won 5 of 84 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nigel Dunger do best at?
Fontwell by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 runners (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Nigel Dunger's Fair A/E?
0.78, from 84 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).