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Trainer profile

Noam Chevalier

82 runners in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses
As at 9 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 27 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2019→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–82
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=82
14 (17%)
Placed
0.80
Fair A/E
n=79 · 0.66 incl. margin
−44.10
£1 level stake
n=79 at SP · −55.8%
£178k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.9%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.9%+3.0
n=38 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −20.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
18.2%+13.3
n=11 · A/E 3.83 · £1 +2.10
Debutants · first career start
4.5%−0.4
n=22 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −3.10
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.9
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
50%
n=2 · A/E 1.97 · £1 +1.90
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−4.9
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
33.3%+28.4
n=6 · A/E 4.78 · £1 +15.80

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 1.9% vs 4.9% · n=53
In Hurdle races 2.2% vs 4.9% · n=45
This filter uses derived form angles computed for 97.9% of the archive so far (as at 9 Nov 2026); the sample will grow as sequencing completes.
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 45 1 2.2% −38.80
Flat 28 1 3.6% −18.10
Chase 9 2 22.2% +12.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 37 2 5.4% −14.20
Heavy 23 1 4.3% −17.80
Standard (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00
Good 6 1 16.7% +2.90
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR) 29 0 0% −29.00
Compiegne (FR) 13 1 7.7% −7.80
Deauville (FR) 9 0 0% −9.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00
Chantilly (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 3 2 66.7% +18.80
Chateaubriant (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00
Craon (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Malo (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Longchamp (FR) 2 1 50% +5.90
Angers (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontainebleau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Argentan (FR) 1 0 0% —
Clairefontaine (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00
Pau (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 6 2 33.3% +15.80
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 1 50% 1.97 +1.90
2nd–3rd fav 12 2 16.7% 1.14 +1.10
4th–6th fav 22 0 0% 0.00 −22.00
7th+ in betting 43 1 2.3% 0.83 −25.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Saglyacat (FR) 10 0 2 18 Sep 21
Mister Cara (FR) 9 0 1 15 Oct 22
Full Court Press (IRE)from P Leblanc 8 1 2 28 Mar 21
Irun Lord (FR) 7 0 2 19 Sep 26
Demon De Fleur (FR) 5 2 3 7 Sep 25
Jumper Dete (FR) 5 0 1 8 Mar 25
Baronne Du Brizais (FR) 4 0 0 8 May 25
Zen Light (FR)from A Chaille-Chaille 4 1 2 19 Sep 24
Calme Olympien (FR)then Tim Vaughan 3 0 0 24 Oct 24
Athena Du Brizais (FR) 2 0 0 1 Aug 26
Ti'Punch Des Iles (FR)from Augustin Adeline De Boisbrunet 2 0 0 13 Apr 26
Caf'Conc (FR)then Mme O Ellart 2 0 0 10 Apr 23
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from A Chaille-Chaille (2); 22 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 26 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00004300000110
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Stephane Paillard 13 0 0% −13.00
Ludovic Boisseau 7 1 14.3% +0.90
Simon Evin 5 1 20% +12.90
Florent Bayle 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilian Dubourg 3 0 0% −3.00
Christopher Riou 3 0 0% −2.00
Christopher Grosbois 3 0 0% −3.00
Alexandre Roussel 3 0 0% −3.00
Romain Julliot 3 1 33.3% +0.90
Mr Thibaud Mace 2 0 0% −1.00
Gauvain Faivre-Picon 2 0 0% −2.00
Alain De Chitray 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2019→
4
Archived wins
2
Pattern / graded wins
£178k
Prize money
2023
Best season · 1 win
Demon De Fleur (FR) — Grand Steeple Alain du Breil - Prix Kauto Star (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) · May 2021 · Listed
£26,116
Demon De Fleur (FR) — Grand Steeple Alain du Breil - Prix de l'Asselco (Chase) (Listed Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) · May 2022 · Listed
£24,580
Zen Light (FR) — Prix de la Hague (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf) Compiegne (FR) · Nov 2023
£10,584
Notable horses
Demon De Fleur (FR) Full Court Press (IRE) Zen Light (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Hurricane Cat (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,139 runs since 2010 (145 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 15.3% from 124. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 7.3% from 372. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.4% from 156. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 266.
Ballingarry (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 10.4% of 2,432 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.4% from 125.
Frozen Power (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,887 runs since 2015 (132 horses).
Lauro (GER) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.5% of 549 runs since 2014 (88 horses). Strongest on Good going: 16% from 150. Weakest on Soft going: 5.6% from 196. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.5% from 172. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 221.
Castle Du Berlais (FR) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 12.9% of 519 runs since 2022 (106 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 17% from 165.
Ange Gabriel (FR) 40% · 2–5
Progeny have won 11.3% of 239 runs since 2008 (43 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 9 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 82 · newest first

The latest 50 of 82 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 March 2019 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Ivresse Lady (FR)J: Mme Margot Romary Prix Blanpain De Saint-mars17f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 25/1
19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) Irun Lord (FR)J: Axel Lepage Px Anjou Bleu Communaute-la Verzee (Chmpt Paris Turf Des App. & Jj.)18f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 12/1
28 Aug 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Irun Lord (FR)J: Arthur Duvacher Prix Mahe De La Bourdonnais (Prix Carcaradec)19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 3rd 7/1
13 Aug 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Irun Lord (FR)J: Anthony Renard Osarus - Prix Jehan-yves Jallot18.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 4/1
01 Aug 26 Saint-Malo (FR) Athena Du Brizais (FR)J: Christopher Riou Prix Pierre-louis De MaupertuisClass 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 9 ran PU 16/1
21 Jul 26 Chateaubriant (FR) Irun Lord (FR)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix Quart De VinClass 3 · 19f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 28/1
21 Jul 26 Chateaubriant (FR) Athena Du Brizais (FR)J: Mme Loeiza Hayeres Fouchard Prix De ChantillyClass 3 · 17.5f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 13/8F
21 Jul 26 Chateaubriant (FR) Glory Land (FR)J: Mr Paul Lotout Prix De ChantillyClass 3 · 17.5f · Soft · 10 ran 3rd 100/30
13 Apr 26 Auteuil (FR) Ti'Punch Des Iles (FR)J: Kylian Geffroy Prix du Barry (Claiming Chase) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 25/1
13 Dec 25 Deauville (FR) Lauper (IRE)J: Hugo Lebouc Prix du Chalet Mozin (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 15 ran 9th 31/1
28 Nov 25 Compiegne (FR) Ti'Punch Des Iles (FR)J: Gauvain Faivre-Picon Prix Hamilton (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 6 ran 3rd 67/10
29 Oct 25 Auteuil (FR) Louciadelabarriere (FR)J: Matthieu Chailloleau Prix la Fregate (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 6 ran 4th 22/1
07 Sep 25 Craon (FR) Demon De Fleur (FR)J: Stephane Paillard Prix Super U - Grand Cross (Listed Cross Country Chase) (5yo+) (Turf)30f · Very Soft · 9 ran 3rd 21/1
08 May 25 Auteuil (FR) Baronne Du Brizais (FR)J: Kilian Dubourg Prix Arthur Veil-Picard (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 7th 36/1
08 Mar 25 Auteuil (FR) Jumper Dete (FR)J: Alexis Gautron Prix Lilium (Hurdle) (Handicap) (6yo+) (Turf)19.5f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 68/1
24 Oct 24 Auteuil (FR) Calme Olympien (FR)J: Stephane Paillard Prix Petit Fontaine (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 11 ran 7th 14/1
02 Oct 24 Auteuil (FR) Calme Olympien (FR)J: Stephane Paillard Prix Marittimo (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo+) (Turf)18f · Heavy · 12 ran 4th 11/1
19 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Zen Light (FR)J: Thomas Beaurain Prix Recruit II (Chase) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran 7th 66/10
10 Sep 24 Auteuil (FR) Calme Olympien (FR)J: Stephane Paillard Prix Achille-Fould (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo+ Unraced Over Obstacles) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran 4th 25/1
13 Mar 24 Compiegne (FR) Zen Light (FR)J: Tom Bourguigneau Prix Rabastens (Hurdle) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Turf)19f · Heavy · 9 ran F 47/10

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Noam Chevalier's strike rate?
Noam Chevalier has won 4 of 82 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Noam Chevalier's Fair A/E?
0.80, from 79 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 9 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).