What is P De Chevigny's strike rate?

P De Chevigny has won 56 of 468 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P De Chevigny do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 103 runners (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P De Chevigny?

Axel Baron, with 58 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (10.3%).

Is P De Chevigny in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is P De Chevigny's Fair A/E?

1.27, from 462 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P De Chevigny

468 runners in the lifetime window · 128 individual horses

As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

56–468

Wins / Runs

12%

Strike rate

n=468

148 (32%)

Placed

1.27

Fair A/E

n=462 · 1.04 incl. margin

−14.54

£1 level stake

n=466 at SP · −3.1%

£1.31m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11.8%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.27).

Deterministic profile computed from 468 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 5 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.9% 27.5% when favourite Axel Baron: 10.3% from 58 Sends off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

It is weakest at Chantilly (FR) (3.6% over 56 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 6.5% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.87). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 12.9% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.47 and +27.80 to a £1 stake over 147 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Axel Baron rides 12% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.3%, A/E 0.84). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (16.8%, n=95). The record reads poorly on Standard (AW) going — 7.4% over 162 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Handicap de Deauville at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2025, £39,669).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.9%+0.9

n=147 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +27.80

New recruits · first run for the yard

6.5%−5.5

n=31 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −11.00

Debutants · first career start

7.1%−4.9

n=98 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −18.12

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.2%−3.8

n=61 · A/E 0.93 · £1 +7.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

33.3%+21.3

n=6 · A/E 4.31 · £1 +13.40

When favourite

27.5%

n=40 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −6.80

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.7%−3.3

n=115 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −41.60

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.9%−1.1

n=46 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −26.70

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 24.4% vs 12% · n=45

At Chantilly (FR) 3.6% vs 12% · n=56

With C&D winners 20.5% vs 12% · n=39

On Standard (AW) going 7.4% vs 12% · n=162

With debutants 7.1% vs 12% · n=98

Off a 15-30-day break 16.8% vs 12% · n=95

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 467 56 12% −13.54

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 162 12 7.4% −33.00

Soft 116 19 16.4% +40.70

Good to Soft 95 11 11.6% −36.04

Good 54 7 13% +1.60

Heavy 41 7 17.1% +12.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville 149 15 10.1% −11.70

Saint-Cloud (FR) 103 14 13.6% +9.26

Longchamp (FR) 68 9 13.2% +10.80

Chantilly (FR) 56 2 3.6% −33.90

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 21 3 14.3% −3.70

Clairefontaine (FR) 8 1 12.5% −4.00

Le Lion-D'Angers 7 1 14.3% −4.70

Dieppe (FR) 7 0 0% −7.00

Craon (FR) 6 1 16.7% −2.20

Nantes (FR) 6 1 16.7% −3.20

Le Mans (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Angers (FR) 5 1 20% +14.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 5 3 60% +11.40

Fontainebleau (FR) 4 4 100% +31.40

Vichy (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 48 5 10.4% −28.70

Class 3 10 2 20% +3.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 42 12 28.6% 1.19 −5.00

2nd–3rd fav 96 19 19.8% 1.31 −1.84

4th–6th fav 152 16 10.5% 1.33 +10.80

7th+ in betting 176 8 4.5% 1.21 −18.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Jazz Melodie (FR) 19 2 9 6 Mar 20

Montussan (FR) 18 2 6 14 Jun 23

Morisot (FR)from S Wattel 15 1 6 27 Oct 24

Ma Philosophie (FR) 15 3 8 11 Apr 17

Star Of The Night (FR) 14 2 5 19 Mar 26

Chica De Ciudad (IRE) 13 4 8 10 Oct 26

Wedgewood Pearl (FR) 12 2 5 19 Oct 26

Contentious Soul (FR) 12 2 5 15 May 26

Al Khamsin (FR)then Mme Helene Mennessier Martinez 12 1 5 26 Apr 23

Gentiana Bella (FR) 12 2 3 17 Nov 21

Haviassor (FR)from Nicolas Le Roch 11 2 5 13 Oct 26

Bel Et Bien (FR) 11 4 9 13 Nov 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 128 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive; 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for A Baron (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 7

Only 7 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1302111101113161012148

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderAxel Baron

12% of all rides
10.3% SR · A/E 0.84

RiderRWSR£1

Axel Baron 58 6 10.3% −23.10

Tony Piccone 49 5 10.2% −24.80

A Molins 48 7 14.6% +35.40

Fabien Lefebvre 43 5 11.6% +9.00

Mlle Marie Velon 41 4 9.8% −2.10

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.31m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 15 wins

Contentious Soul (FR) — Grand Handicap de Deauville (Handicap) (3yo+) (Straight Course) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2025

£39,669

Looking At Me (FR) — Prix de la Fontaine Carpeaux (Handicap) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Moyenne Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2024

£23,043

Mormona (FR) — Prix Denisy () (3yo+) (Turf) Fontainebleau (FR) · Nov 2023 · Listed

£23,009

Notable horses

Chica De Ciudad (IRE) Bel Et Bien (FR) Ma Philosophie (FR) Jazz Melodie (FR) Montussan (FR) Star Of The Night (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

City Light (FR) 20% · 8–40

Progeny have won 13.5% of 982 runs since 2023 (160 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 17.5% from 326. Weakest on Soft going: 10.3% from 223. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.7% from 181.

Soul City (IRE) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 5.5% of 456 runs since 2015 (62 horses).

Hunter's Light (IRE) 25% · 6–24

Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,343 runs since 2019 (153 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.2% from 169. Weakest on Heavy going: 6.7% from 165. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 14.2% from 211. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 133.

Dabirsim (FR) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,160 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 256. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.8% from 145.

Toronado (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,895 runs since 2018 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 199. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.3% from 144.

Iffraaj (GB) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,988 runs since 2010 (1,092 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 468 · newest first

The latest 50 of 468 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 June 2012 to 2 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Nov 26 Nantes (FR) Blanquette (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix Alexandre Roussel8f · Heavy · 14 ran 3rd 10/1

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Nabab ' K (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Claude Munet - Grand Prix D'angersClass 1 · 15f · Soft · 6 ran 4th 100/30

31 Oct 26 Angers (FR) Ellyra (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix La Koumia10f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 18/1

30 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Harmony In Blue (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix De Saint-loyer-des-champs7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 15/2

30 Oct 26 Lyon Parilly (FR) Trabuco (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De Lacroix-lavalClass 3 · 12f · Very Soft · 9 ran 1st 8/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) The Snark (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Marcel CoutardClass 4 · 7f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 16/1

28 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Under The Lights (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Du Salon Du Cheval D'angers (Prix D'yvre-l'eveque)8f · Heavy · 14 ran 11th 28/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Quiet Sea (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De La Foret D'eawy9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 11th 25/1

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Wedgewood Pearl (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De La Foret De Lyons9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 16th 40/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Trabuco (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De Bolivar12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 9/1

13 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Haviassor (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De Bolivar12f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 1st 15/2

10 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Chica De Ciudad (IRE)J: Axel Baron Prix De CoyeClass 1 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 20/1

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Harmony In Blue (FR)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix Reine Berengere7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 10/1

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Rougegarde (FR)J: Axel Baron Prix De La Chapelle-Saint-AubinClass 3 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 10th 22/1

05 Oct 26 Le Mans (FR) Ellyra (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix D'allonnes9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 22/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Karismatik (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Juge Tp (Prix Volney)8f · Very Soft · 12 ran 7th 9/1

24 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Blanquette (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix De Vignemont8f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 12/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Ellyra (FR)J: Mme Ambre Molins Prix Brantome8f · Good · 13 ran 11th 15/2

18 Sep 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Harmony In Blue (FR)J: Cristian Demuro Prix Fast Fox6f · Good · 12 ran 4th 7/2

15 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Haviassor (FR)J: Theo Bachelot Prix Des Bords De L'oise14f · Soft · 16 ran 13th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P De Chevigny's strike rate?: P De Chevigny has won 56 of 468 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P De Chevigny do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 14 wins from 103 runners (13.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P De Chevigny?: Axel Baron, with 58 runners since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (10.3%).
Is P De Chevigny in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 7 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P De Chevigny's Fair A/E?: 1.27, from 462 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.