What is P & J Brandt's strike rate?

P & J Brandt has won 133 of 1,108 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does P & J Brandt do best at?

Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 35 wins from 204 runners (17.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for P & J Brandt?

Maxime Guyon, with 445 runners since 2008 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 75 (16.9%).

Is P & J Brandt in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is P & J Brandt's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 1,106 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

P & J Brandt

1,108 runners in the lifetime window · 227 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

133–1,108

Wins / Runs

12%

Strike rate

n=1,108

365 (33%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=1,106 · 0.92 incl. margin

−18.85

£1 level stake

n=1,107 at SP · −1.7%

£3.83m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.10). New recruits from other yards win at 19% first time out (73 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,108 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Sep Fresh horses: 14.6% 32.1% when favourite Maxime Guyon: 16.9% from 445 New recruits: 19.2% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 19.2% (n=73, Fair A/E 1.78), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 4.4% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.80). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 14.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.44 and +104.35 to a £1 stake over 240 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 6.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −64.52 to a £1 stake over 140 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Maxime Guyon rides 40% of the entries and edges the yard's average (16.9% vs 12%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (17.3%, n=249). 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix de Sandringham at Chantilly (FR) (Jun 2020, £48,885). The stable star of the record: Clavus (FR) — 8 wins from 27 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

14.6%+2.6

n=240 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +104.35

New recruits · first run for the yard

19.2%+7.2

n=73 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +16.00

Debutants · first career start

9%−3.0

n=156 · A/E 1.03 · £1 +53.05

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.9%−3.1

n=112 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −31.65

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.5%−1.5

n=19 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +2.70

When favourite

32.1%

n=134 · A/E 1.24 · £1 +6.87

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

4.4%−7.6

n=45 · A/E 0.80 · £1 +23.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.4%−5.6

n=140 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −64.52

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Mickael Barzalona 21.7% vs 12% · n=60

With Ioritz Mendizabal 2.7% vs 12% · n=37

On last-time-out winners 18.8% vs 12% · n=128

With new recruits 19.2% vs 12% · n=73

With Maxime Guyon 16.9% vs 12% · n=445

On Good to Soft going 17.3% vs 12% · n=249

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 447 45 10.1% −59.35

Good to Soft 249 43 17.3% +65.73

Soft 219 23 10.5% +34.94

Good 114 13 11.4% −46.97

Heavy 74 9 12.2% −8.20

Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly 342 30 8.8% −82.02

Deauville (AW) 314 37 11.8% −6.06

Saint-Cloud 204 35 17.2% +58.60

Longchamp (FR) 188 24 12.8% +48.50

Clairefontaine (FR) 15 1 6.7% −8.80

Compiegne (FR) 14 0 0% −14.00

Fontainebleau 6 0 0% −6.00

Lyon Parilly (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Dieppe (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Vichy (FR) 3 2 66.7% +4.88

Lyon-La Soie (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 2 1 50% +0.30

Chateaubriant (FR) 2 2 100% +0.50

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 2 1 50% +0.25

Ascot 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 143 9 6.3% −67.52

Class 2 15 4 26.7% −0.05

Class 3 5 4 80% +5.99

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 145 46 31.7% 1.24 +10.47

2nd–3rd fav 286 46 16.1% 1.06 −24.52

4th–6th fav 361 25 6.9% 0.88 −97.20

7th+ in betting 315 16 5.1% 1.37 +92.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

In Paradise (FR)then J Planque 32 2 12 13 Jun 24

Clavus (FR) 27 8 13 25 Oct 26

Cassius (FR) 26 4 8 18 Sep 26

Lev (GB) 26 1 6 5 Jun 25

Calas (FR) 24 5 14 25 Oct 26

Tiego The First (FR) 20 3 7 3 Nov 26

My Fancy (FR) 20 3 10 2 Dec 25

Bourdain (FR)from Mme Pia Brandt 18 3 5 18 Mar 23

Chess (FR) 17 4 7 15 Sep 26

Zeloro (FR) 16 4 9 7 Nov 26

Layla (FR)from Mme Pia Brandt 15 3 6 16 Oct 22

Green Curry (IRE)from Mme Pia Brandt · then B Goudot 15 1 2 15 Apr 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 227 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mme Pia Brandt (7); 48 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for F Vermeulen (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 9

Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

15915912181215148810

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMaxime Guyon

40% of all rides
16.9% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

Maxime Guyon 445 75 16.9% +33.17

Cristian Demuro 82 9 11% +3.50

Mickael Barzalona 60 13 21.7% +6.30

Gregory Benoist 52 4 7.7% +33.90

Aurelien Lemaitre 46 3 6.5% +10.80

Theo Bachelot 40 2 5% −30.60

Ioritz Mendizabal 37 1 2.7% −15.10

Tony Piccone 34 2 5.9% −20.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→

133

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.83m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 30 wins

Miss Extra (FR) — Prix de Sandringham (3yo Fillies) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · Jun 2020 · Group 2

£48,885

Aminaco (IRE) — Super Handicap De La Rentree Longchamp (FR) · Sep 2026

£47,999

Policy Of Truth (FR) — Prix de Fontainebleau (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Apr 2021 · Group 3

£35,714

Notable horses

Clavus (FR) Calas (FR) Cassius (FR) Chess (FR) Zeloro (FR) Tiego The First (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 16% · 15–94

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,242 runs since 2014 (1,110 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 961.

Dabirsim (FR) 4.8% · 2–42

Progeny have won 7.4% of 4,175 runs since 2017 (448 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 258. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 209. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 2.7% from 146.

Reliable Man (GB) 9.8% · 4–41

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,219 runs since 2017 (146 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.8% from 105. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 103.

Mastercraftsman (IRE) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 10.6% of 11,644 runs since 2013 (842 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.7% from 329.

Blue Point (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 13.9% of 3,456 runs since 2023 (419 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.4% from 212.

Toronado (IRE) 14.7% · 5–34

Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,926 runs since 2018 (417 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 200. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 15.3% from 144.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,108 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,108 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 June 2020 to 9 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Nov 26 Chantilly (FR) Street Show (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De La Petite Singerie8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 9/1

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Cosy Bear (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Vulcain12.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 11/4F

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Don't Shut Me Down (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Sagaro15.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 17/2

08 Nov 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Take Me On (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Tantieme8f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 5/1

07 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Zeloro (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De L'operation EpsomClass 2 · 9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 13/8F

03 Nov 26 Deauville (FR) Tiego The First (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Vodkato9.5f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 3/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Stratovulcano (GB)J: Thomas Trullier Prix Du Pays De Caux9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 8/1

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Amie Amour (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Pays De Bray9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 1st 7/2

31 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Snejinskha (FR)J: Thomas Trullier Prix La Bamba6.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 7/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Mister Charmes (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Route Des PrincesClass 2 · 8f · Standard · 16 ran 9th 9/1

26 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Cosy Bear (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Grand Prix Du NordClass 1 · 10f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 13/2

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Clavus (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix Perth (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 22/1

25 Oct 26 Saint-Cloud (FR) Calas (FR)J: Pierre-Charles Boudot Prix Perth (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 25/1

23 Oct 26 Lyon-La Soie (FR) Warholm (IRE)J: Giovanni Sias Prix Des Juniors12f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 11/10F

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Tiego The First (FR)J: Mickael Barzalona Prix De La Foret De Lyons9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 4th 7/2

19 Oct 26 Deauville (FR) Zeloro (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix De La Foret De Lyons9.5f · Standard · 16 ran 2nd 2/1F

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Aminaco (IRE)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix Du Conseil De Paris (Group 2)11f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 28/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Don't Shut Me Down (FR)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Rieussec15.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 6th 6/1

18 Oct 26 Longchamp (FR) Double Bid (IRE)J: Antoine Hamelin Prix De Belleville9f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 9th 25/1

15 Oct 26 Chantilly (FR) Amie Amour (IRE)J: Maxime Guyon Prix Du Chene Du Coup De Foudre9f · Standard · 15 ran 2nd 5/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P & J Brandt's strike rate?: P & J Brandt has won 133 of 1,108 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P & J Brandt do best at?: Saint-Cloud by strike rate: 35 wins from 204 runners (17.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P & J Brandt?: Maxime Guyon, with 445 runners since 2008 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 75 (16.9%).
Is P & J Brandt in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is P & J Brandt's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 1,106 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.