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Trainer profile

P M Lynch

77 runners in the lifetime window · 19 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 47 days ago 97% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
4–77
Wins / Runs
5.2%
Strike rate
n=77
12 (16%)
Placed
1.18
Fair A/E
n=77 · 0.89 incl. margin
−27.00
£1 level stake
n=77 at SP · −35.1%
£32,672
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 8.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−5.2
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
20%+14.8
n=5 · A/E 3.16 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.2
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
11.1%+5.9
n=9 · A/E 2.67 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 2.69 · £1 +4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.7%+3.5
n=46 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +4.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 8.7% vs 5.2% · n=46
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 55 3 5.5% −9.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00
Chase 9 1 11.1% −5.00
Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 24 1 4.2% −3.00
Heavy 24 2 8.3% +1.00
Soft 19 1 5.3% −15.00
Good to Firm 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 10 0 0% −10.00
Cork 7 0 0% −7.00
Kilbeggan 7 0 0% −7.00
Clonmel 7 1 14.3% −3.00
Ballinrobe 7 1 14.3% −3.00
Listowel 5 0 0% −5.00
Thurles 5 1 20% +16.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00
Killarney 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00
Tramore 3 0 0% −3.00
Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 2.25 +3.00
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 14 0 0% 0.00 −14.00
7th+ in betting 54 2 3.7% 1.63 −12.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.3% completed · 64 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 9 55.6% 2 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 55 85.5% 2 0 5 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Moving On (IRE)from Mrs Marian Flavin 19 2 8 25 Jun 13
Easy View (IRE)from Anthony Moloney 10 0 0 27 Sep 09
Indian Air (IRE) 7 0 0 30 Nov 18
Jodies Miss (IRE)then Andrew Lynch 7 0 2 14 Mar 16
Freedom Square (IRE)from Desmond McDonogh · then J R Barry 5 1 1 2 Oct 15
Kinilty (IRE) 4 0 0 11 Jan 15
Jimaida (IRE)then Anthony Moloney 4 0 0 29 Aug 13
The Cub Wood (IRE)from Martin Brassil · then Michael F Brassil 3 0 0 13 Apr 09
Castle Darby (IRE) 2 0 0 1 Aug 22
Ourbrightbluerose (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Sep 14
Dolmen Village (IRE) 2 0 0 15 Mar 14
Ciantowin (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Jul 13
All 19 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 19 horses listed, 6 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Denis Quinn (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael F Brassil (2); 12 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
2001100017002000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
A P Heskin 18 1 5.6% −14.00
Mr P J O'Neill 5 0 0% −5.00
Phillip Enright 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr G O'Loughlin 5 0 0% −5.00
Michael Darcy 3 0 0% −3.00
Paddy Kennedy 3 0 0% −3.00
Ben Dalton 3 1 33.3% +18.00
Donal McInerney 2 0 0% −2.00
M P Fogarty 2 0 0% −2.00
Ambrose McCurtin 2 0 0% −2.00
J R Barry 2 0 0% −2.00
Mark Enright 2 1 50% +2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
5
Archived wins
£47,492
Prize money
2013
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Boolakraken (IRE) — Listowel Printing Works Maiden Hurdle Listowel · Sep 2005
£10,020
Freedom Square (IRE) — Dining Packages At www.gowranpark.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Gowran Park · Oct 2015
£5,520
Gallant Oscar (IRE) — Slievenamon Beginners Chase Clonmel · Mar 2013
£5,520
Notable horses
Moving On (IRE) Freedom Square (IRE) Boolakraken (IRE) Gallant Oscar (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Shahrastani (USA) 10.5% · 2–19
Progeny have won 5.4% of 392 runs since 2008 (47 horses).
Moscow Society (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,521 runs since 2008 (255 horses).
Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,878 runs since 2014 (788 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Winged Love (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).
Lawman (FR) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,428 runs since 2011 (730 horses).
Humbel (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 7.1% of 562 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest on Good going: 10.7% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 110. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.8% from 131.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 129 · newest first

The latest 50 of 129 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 February 2005 to 20 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Stary Notions (IRE)J: Mr R Sugrue Kinisla Farm & Home Store (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 13 ran 13th 150/1
01 Aug 22 Cork Castle Darby (IRE)J: Robbie Geoghegan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 13th 200/1
15 Jul 22 Kilbeggan Castle Darby (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle15f · Good · 14 ran 12th 50/1
30 Nov 18 Limerick Indian Air (IRE)J: Ambrose McCurtin Book Online At www.limerickraces.ie Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 13th 100/1
22 Nov 18 Thurles Indian Air (IRE)J: A E Lynch Sportsmens Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 9th 50/1
28 Oct 18 Galway Indian Air (IRE)J: Roger Loughran Miriam Hand 'Play In Pink Fundraiser' Hurdle24f · Yielding · 6 ran 5th 100/1
01 Oct 18 Roscommon Indian Air (IRE)J: Kevin Brouder Peggy Guerin Memorial Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 11th 100/1
15 Sep 18 Listowel Indian Air (IRE)J: Kevin Brouder Gas Networks Ireland Novice Hurdle16f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 100/1
09 Sep 18 Listowel Indian Air (IRE)J: Donal McInerney Charleville Cheese Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 12 ran PU 150/1
19 Aug 18 Tramore Indian Air (IRE)J: Mr P J O'Neill Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race16f · Good · 15 ran 15th 66/1
14 Mar 16 Cork Jodies Miss (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Money Back On Fallers At Coral.ie (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Soft To Heavy · 10 ran 7th 8/1
06 Mar 16 Naas Jodies Miss (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Panoramic Restaurant At Naas Maiden Hurdle24f · Soft To Heavy · 7 ran 4th 14/1
17 Feb 16 Punchestown Jodies Miss (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Festival Any Day Flexi Ticket Mares Maiden Hurdle22f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 5/2
30 Jan 16 Fairyhouse Jodies Miss (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Coolmore N.h. Sires Mares Novice Hurdle (grade 3)18f · Heavy · 7 ran 5th 50/1
20 Jan 16 Fairyhouse Jodies Miss (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Online Discounts At fairyhouse.ie Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 2nd 16/1
27 Dec 15 Limerick Jodies Miss (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Roches Feeds Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Heavy · 16 ran 5th 14/1
02 Oct 15 Gowran Park Freedom Square (IRE)J: Ger Fox Dining Packages At www.gowranpark.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 20 ran 1st 20/1
21 Aug 15 Kilbeggan Freedom Square (IRE)J: A E Lynch Mullingar.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good · 11 ran 8th 20/1
08 Aug 15 Kilbeggan Freedom Square (IRE)J: M P Fogarty Joe Cooney Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)19.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 14th 25/1
30 May 15 Tramore Freedom Square (IRE)J: M P Fogarty Graun Hill Suite - Perfect For Parties Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 16 ran 6th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is P M Lynch's strike rate?
P M Lynch has won 4 of 77 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is P M Lynch's Fair A/E?
1.18, from 77 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).