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Trainer profile

Peter Crate

536 runners in the lifetime window · 25 individual horses
As at 25 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 10 days ago 100% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
43–536
Wins / Runs
8%
Strike rate
n=536
142 (27%)
Placed
0.81
Fair A/E
n=534 · 0.70 incl. margin
−220.54
£1 level stake
n=536 at SP · −41.1%
£418k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 536 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 25 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 28.1% when favourite Shane Kelly: 7.3% from 248 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (11.9%, n=201), clear of the yard's 8% baseline. It is weakest at Windsor (0% over 42 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 2.9% (n=34, Fair A/E 0.39). Shane Kelly rides 46% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.3%, A/E 0.68). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.9%, n=36). The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 1.7% over 58 runners, 6.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 2: Fair A/E 0.35 across 52 runners (1.9% strike, −37.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. The stable star of the record: Sandfrankskipsgo (GB) — 10 wins from 83 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.1%−2.9
n=59 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −35.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.7%−1.3
n=15 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−8.0
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
4%−4.0
n=25 · A/E 0.44 · £1 −16.50
When favourite
28.1%
n=32 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −2.54
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.9%−5.1
n=34 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −23.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Windsor 0% vs 8% · n=42
At Epsom 0% vs 8% · n=34
In Class 3 1.7% vs 8% · n=58
In Class 2 1.9% vs 8% · n=52
Off a 0-7-day break 13.9% vs 8% · n=36
At Lingfield (AW) 11.9% vs 8% · n=201
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 281 31 11% −51.37
Good to Firm 101 5 5% −66.25
Good 94 6 6.4% −47.25
Good to Soft 29 1 3.4% −24.67
Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 201 24 11.9% −19.62
Kempton (AW) 46 3 6.5% −33.25
Brighton 43 3 7% −30.75
Windsor 42 0 0% −42.00
Sandown 35 3 8.6% −16.17
Epsom 34 0 0% −34.00
Lingfield 24 3 12.5% −1.25
Ascot 23 1 4.3% −8.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 22 1 4.5% −17.00
Goodwood 21 0 0% −21.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 12 3 25% +18.50
Newbury 6 1 16.7% +3.00
Newmarket 6 1 16.7% +2.00
Bath 5 0 0% −5.00
Salisbury 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 167 17 10.2% −64.42
Class 4 136 15 11% −39.37
Class 6 118 8 6.8% −35.25
Class 3 58 1 1.7% −45.00
Class 2 52 1 1.9% −37.00
Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 7 1 1 100% +4.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 42 11 26.2% 1.14 −3.79
2nd–3rd fav 110 12 10.9% 0.66 −48.75
4th–6th fav 218 13 6% 0.70 −109.00
7th+ in betting 166 7 4.2% 1.11 −59.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sandfrankskipsgo (GB)from Brett Johnson 83 10 29 3 Oct 19
Picansort (GB)from Brett Johnson 76 9 30 5 Oct 17
Taajub (IRE)from Brett Johnson 68 6 21 10 Oct 17
Harb (GB)from William Knight · then Tristan Davidson 35 5 11 10 Apr 25
Harry Brown (GB)from David Simcock 34 3 6 15 Oct 26
Lujeanie (GB)from Dean Ivory 33 2 7 1 May 15
Top Offer (GB)from Roger Charlton · then Patrick Morris 28 3 9 30 Sep 15
Elusivity (IRE)from David O'Meara · then Conor Dore 23 0 6 14 Oct 15
Elna Bright (GB)from Brett Johnson 23 1 4 10 Jul 13
Smoothtalkinrascal (IRE)from David O'Meara 22 0 0 16 Aug 16
Sandscreendeliverd (GB)from Jamie Osborne 18 1 6 6 Oct 26
Mercers (GB)then Paddy Butler 15 1 6 23 Oct 17
All 25 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 25 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Brett Johnson (4) and David O'Meara (2); 11 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
121498745887115
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderShane Kelly
46% of all rides
7.3% SR · A/E 0.68
RiderRWSR£1
Shane Kelly 248 18 7.3% −131.50
Tom Queally 49 6 12.2% −0.92
Jimmy Quinn 32 1 3.1% −19.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
43
Archived wins
£418k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 9 wins
Taajub (IRE) — SIS Sprint Handicap Ascot · Jul 2012 · Class 2
£28,013
Elna Bright (GB) — 32Red Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2011 · Class 3
£7,158
Harry Brown (GB) — William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap Lingfield · May 2026 · Class 5
£7,014
Notable horses
Sandfrankskipsgo (GB) Picansort (GB) Taajub (IRE) Harb (GB) Harry Brown (GB) Top Offer (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Piccolo (GB) 11.1% · 20–180
Progeny have won 7.8% of 6,904 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.6% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.5% from 258.
Exceed and Excel (AUS) 8.8% · 6–68
Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,028 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.
Muhaarar (GB) 14.3% · 5–35
Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,791 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Harry Angel (IRE) 8.8% · 3–34
Progeny have won 12.7% of 2,757 runs since 2008 (261 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.4% from 332.
Lujain (USA) 6.1% · 2–33
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.
Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–32
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,552 runs since 2008 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 25 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 536 · newest first

The latest 50 of 536 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 November 2011 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
15 Oct 26 Brighton Harry Brown (GB)J: Pat Dobbs Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 15/2
06 Oct 26 Brighton Sandscreendeliverd (GB)J: Rhys Clutterbuck Download The Matchbook Exchange App Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 5/1
28 Sep 26 Brighton Harry Brown (GB)J: Rob Hornby The Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 3/1F
16 Sep 26 Sandown Harry Brown (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Trainor Stone & Tile Marble Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 22/1
14 Sep 26 Windsor Sandscreendeliverd (GB)J: Tom Queally Neverland Drone Show At Windsor Racecourse Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 17/2
28 Aug 26 Goodwood Sandscreendeliverd (GB)J: Pat Dobbs Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 10/1
22 Aug 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Brown (GB)J: Tom Queally Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 15/8F
14 Aug 26 Epsom Sandscreendeliverd (GB)J: Charles Bishop Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 12/1
30 Jul 26 Epsom Harry Brown (GB)J: Rob Hornby Spillers Spectacular Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 13/2
25 Jul 26 Lingfield Sandscreendeliverd (GB)J: Tom Queally Smith & Western Showdown Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 3/1
09 Jul 26 Epsom Downs Harry Brown (GB)J: Ashley Lewis Robert Dyas HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 16/1
06 Jul 26 Lingfield (AW) Sandscreendeliverd (GB)J: Pat Dobbs Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 6/1
29 Jun 26 Windsor Harry Brown (GB)J: Tom Queally Distro Design HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 13th 6/1
22 Jun 26 Brighton Harry Brown (GB)J: Darragh Keenan Bet Now With fairplaybet.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 2nd 4/1
12 Jun 26 Sandown Sandscreendeliverd (GB)J: Pat Dobbs Chris Barnett Memorial Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 9th 15/2
01 Jun 26 Newbury Harry Brown (GB)J: Rob Hornby Pump Technology Jonathan And Natalie HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 12/1
18 May 26 Windsor Sandscreendeliverd (GB)J: Tom Queally Track Radio On Digital & DAB HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 4/1
09 May 26 Lingfield Harry Brown (GB)J: Hollie Doyle William Hill Price Boosts Every Day HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 9/1
02 May 26 Goodwood Sandscreendeliverd (GB)J: Tom Queally Highclere Castle Gin HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 15/2
30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Harry Brown (GB)J: Tom Queally 13th Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 7/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Peter Crate's strike rate?
Peter Crate has won 43 of 536 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8% (as at 25 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Peter Crate do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 24 wins from 201 runners (11.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Peter Crate?
Shane Kelly, with 248 runners since 2008 — 46% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (7.3%).
Is Peter Crate in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Peter Crate's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 534 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 25 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).