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Trainer profile

Ralph J Smith

650 runners in the lifetime window · 86 individual horses
As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2024 92% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
33–650
Wins / Runs
5.1%
Strike rate
n=650
128 (20%)
Placed
0.74
Fair A/E
n=648 · 0.63 incl. margin
−349.42
£1 level stake
n=650 at SP · −53.8%
£197k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). New recruits from other yards win at 9% first time out (54 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 650 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 3 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Aug Fresh horses: 5.4% New recruits: 9.3% Claiming riders: 5.6%
The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (13%, n=46), clear of the yard's 5.1% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 9.3% (n=54, Fair A/E 1.67), but debutants struggle at 0% (n=31, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.6% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −98.00 to a £1 stake over 249 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (10.7%, n=56) and on Good to Firm going (8.7%, n=103). The stable star of the record: Victor's Bet (SPA) — 5 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.4%+0.3
n=148 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −38.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.3%+4.2
n=54 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +8.12
Debutants · first career start
0%−5.1
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
7.7%+2.6
n=26 · A/E 1.74 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−5.1
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
17.4%
n=23 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −12.92
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.6%+0.5
n=249 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −98.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At Brighton 13% vs 5.1% · n=46
Off a 0-7-day break 10.7% vs 5.1% · n=56
With debutants 0% vs 5.1% · n=31
With C&D winners 9.1% vs 5.1% · n=77
With new recruits 9.3% vs 5.1% · n=54
On Good to Firm going 8.7% vs 5.1% · n=103
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 599 31 5.2% −316.04
Hurdle 41 2 4.9% −23.38
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 386 16 4.1% −221.30
Good to Firm 103 9 8.7% −40.00
Good 86 2 2.3% −62.00
Good to Soft 41 2 4.9% −16.00
Soft 22 2 9.1% −9.00
Firm 8 2 25% +2.88
Heavy 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW) 165 9 5.5% −60.50
Kempton (AW) 137 3 2.2% −98.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 51 4 7.8% −29.80
Brighton 46 6 13% −10.12
Lingfield 26 0 0% −26.00
Southwell (AW) 19 0 0% −19.00
Windsor 19 1 5.3% −2.00
Sandown 18 1 5.6% −14.00
Salisbury 17 3 17.6% +3.00
Newbury 13 1 7.7% +8.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00
Bath 12 1 8.3% −3.50
Epsom 12 0 0% −12.00
Wincanton 10 1 10% −7.38
Folkestone 9 1 11.1% −6.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 341 17 5% −169.62
Class 5 212 10 4.7% −114.62
Class 4 58 5 8.6% −36.18
Class 7 20 1 5% −10.00
Class 3 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 26 5 19.2% 0.74 −12.42
2nd–3rd fav 91 8 8.8% 0.57 −49.50
4th–6th fav 195 16 8.2% 1.15 −28.50
7th+ in betting 338 4 1.2% 0.41 −259.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Two In The Pink (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 41 2 14 22 Feb 17
Victor's Bet (SPA) 33 5 6 9 Oct 18
Goodbye Cash (IRE)from David Evans 25 2 7 12 Jul 11
Who's That Chick (IRE) 24 5 13 4 Oct 14
Holyfield Warrior (IRE)from Sheena West · then Michael Attwater 23 1 8 9 Apr 11
Croix Rouge (USA) 21 0 4 23 Aug 12
Expensive Problem (GB)from Ralph Beckett 21 3 5 7 Jan 11
London Grammar (IRE)from John Quinn 20 1 1 15 Feb 19
Rooknrasbryripple (GB)from Mick Channon 20 0 4 8 Aug 13
Liberal Lady (GB)from Hughie Morrison · then Robert Johnson 18 1 6 10 Apr 13
Wattaboutsteve (GB) 16 0 5 5 May 17
Sinchiroka (FR)from Ed Vaughan 16 2 5 7 Jun 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 86 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 40 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Fergal O'Brien (4) and Mick Channon (4); 20 had their first archived run for this yard.

22 have since run for another yard, most often for Fergal O'Brien (2) and Joe Tickle (2); 38 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
823687762323
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJamie Goldstein
8% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 0.91
RiderRWSR£1
Jamie Goldstein 49 4 8.2% −20.12
Ryan Tate 35 2 5.7% −20.50
Kieren Fox 34 2 5.9% +7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
33
Archived wins
£197k
Prize money
2014
Best season · 8 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Victor's Bet (SPA) — Goodwood Amateur Rider Challenge Handicap (In Memory Of The Late Gay Kindersley) Goodwood · Aug 2014 · Class 5
£6,239
Jewelled (GB) — 32Red.com Fillies' Handicap (AWT) Lingfield (AW) · Jun 2014 · Class 4
£5,175
Palace Boy (GER) — Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Jan 2024 · Class 4
£4,972
Notable horses
Victor's Bet (SPA) Who's That Chick (IRE) Expensive Problem (GB) Two In The Pink (IRE) Goodbye Cash (IRE) Sinchiroka (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Clodovil (IRE) 4.9% · 2–41
Progeny have won 9.7% of 6,513 runs since 2008 (415 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 13.5% from 155.
Leadership (GB) 15.2% · 5–33
Progeny have won 8.7% of 92 runs since 2009 (8 horses).
Danetime (IRE) 8% · 2–25
Progeny have won 11.1% of 2,846 runs since 2008 (149 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.3% from 218.
Footstepsinthesand (GB) 20.8% · 5–24
Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,804 runs since 2009 (937 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.
Princely Heir (IRE) 4.3% · 1–23
Progeny have won 6.7% of 420 runs since 2008 (23 horses).
Moss Vale (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,012 runs since 2011 (145 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 655 · newest first

The latest 50 of 655 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 July 2006 to 17 July 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Jul 24 Uttoxeter Record Art (FR)J: Caoilin Quinn Uttoxeter Racecourse Caravan And Motorhome Site Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 20f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/1
12 Jul 24 Chepstow The Bear Of Saints (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Hi-Tech Event Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 2nd 12/1
10 Jul 24 Ffos Las Seeking Charles (FR)J: Taylor Fisher TrustMark Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 28/1
10 Jul 24 Ffos Las Kingwood Queen (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Vickers Bet HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 5th 5/1
06 Jul 24 Nottingham Northfield Lake (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Lesley Matthews Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good · 13 ran 4th 15/2
04 Jul 24 Newbury Ravenswell (FR)J: John Fahy Future Bound At The Billington Foundation HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 8th 15/2
02 Jul 24 Stratford Art Approval (FR)J: Sean Houlihan Saige Composite Products Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 2nd 8/1
01 Jul 24 Worcester Record Art (FR)J: Caoilin Quinn Country Racenight Worcester Racecourse 18th July Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 1st 14/1
01 Jul 24 Pontefract Harlington (FR)J: Miss Leanne Ferguson 22nd Wilfred Underwood Memorial Amateur Jockeys' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 8th 40/1
27 Jun 24 Leicester Ravenswell (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Watch On Racing Tv HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 6 ran UR 9/4
24 Jun 24 Bath Kingston Sunflower (FR)J: David Probert AK Bets Big Prices Big Limits HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Firm · 12 ran 2nd 9/2
24 Jun 24 Bath The Bear Of Saints (FR)J: Taylor Fisher AK Bets Home Of Free Bets Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5.5f · Firm · 8 ran 4th 66/1
24 Jun 24 Bath Kingwood Queen (FR)J: Taylor Fisher Download The AK Bets App HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Firm · 6 ran 1st 15/2
24 Jun 24 Chepstow Cosmos Artist (GB)J: Edward Greatrex Chappy Hour At Yeeehaaa.Bet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 5th 25/1
23 Jun 24 Ffos Las Northfield Lake (FR)J: George Rooke dragonbet.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 4th 4/1
14 Jun 24 Sandown Northfield Lake (FR)J: George Rooke Stuart Robert Alan Williams Memorial HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 3rd 8/1
13 Jun 24 Newbury Harlington (FR)J: George Rooke 100/1 Football Comes Home At BetVictor HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 40/1
11 Jun 24 Salisbury Kingwood Queen (FR)J: Rob Hornby Radcliffe & Co Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 3rd 25/1
04 Jun 24 Leicester Harlington (FR)J: Tom Marquand See Blue Live At LeicesterRaces 15th June HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 11/4F
01 Jun 24 Worcester Art Approval (FR)J: Sean Houlihan Give Us A Cheer Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ralph J Smith's strike rate?
Ralph J Smith has won 33 of 650 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ralph J Smith do best at?
Brighton by strike rate: 6 wins from 46 runners (13%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Ralph J Smith's Fair A/E?
0.74, from 648 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 3 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).