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Trainer profile

Ryan Chapman

84 runners in the lifetime window · 30 individual horses
As at 30 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 17 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
2–84
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=84
4 (5%)
Placed
0.65
Fair A/E
n=84 · 0.55 incl. margin
−46.00
£1 level stake
n=84 at SP · −54.8%
£27,218
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
10%
KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 3.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.4
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.4
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.4
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.7%+1.3
n=54 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −16.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 5.1% vs 2.4% · n=39
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.4% · n=50
On Good going 0% vs 2.4% · n=40
In Class 4 0% vs 2.4% · n=33
In Hurdle races 2% vs 2.4% · n=50 · A/E 0.74
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 50 1 2% −24.00
Chase 27 1 3.7% −15.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 40 0 0% −40.00
Good to Soft 20 1 5% −8.00
Soft 12 0 0% −12.00
Good to Firm 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Heavy 3 0 0% −3.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 26 1 3.8% +0.00
Exeter 23 0 0% −23.00
Taunton 11 1 9.1% +1.00
Wincanton 5 0 0% −5.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Worcester 3 0 0% −3.00
Hereford 3 0 0% −3.00
Stratford 2 0 0% −2.00
Plumpton 1 0 0% −1.00
Cheltenham 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton 1 0 0% −1.00
Leicester 1 0 0% −1.00
Lingfield 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 39 2 5.1% −1.00
Class 4 33 0 0% −33.00
Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00
Class 6 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 22 1 4.5% 0.80 −10.00
7th+ in betting 55 1 1.8% 1.00 −29.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
76.6% completed · 77 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 27 74.1% 1 0 6 0 0
Hurdle 50 78% 1 1 9 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Blue Ribbon (GB)from Dr Richard Newland 12 0 1 28 May 25
Comeragh Lad (IRE)from John E Kiely 10 0 0 20 May 22
Son Of Hypnos (IRE)from Kevin Michael Smith 8 1 1 13 Oct 26
Forrard Away (IRE)from J T R Dreaper 5 0 0 31 Jan 24
Peruvien Bleu (FR)from Jane Williams 5 0 0 22 Jun 21
Share A Moment (IRE)from Michael Hourigan 4 0 0 21 Oct 25
Reliable Richie (IRE)from P J Colville 4 0 0 29 Apr 15
Leading Knight (IRE)from Ben Pauling 3 1 1 30 Dec 22
The Right Profile (IRE) 3 0 0 21 Mar 21
Ruaraidh Hugh (IRE)from Julia Brooke 3 0 0 30 Dec 18
Changing The Guard (GB)from Barry Brennan 3 0 0 2 Aug 18
Porth Mear (GB) 2 0 0 23 Apr 26
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Ben Pauling (2); 10 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00000002500014
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Sean Houlihan 15 0 0% −15.00
David Noonan 14 0 0% −14.00
Jack Stenhouse 13 1 7.7% +13.00
Rex Dingle 9 0 0% −9.00
Beau Morgan 8 1 12.5% +4.00
Michael Heard 3 0 0% −3.00
David Bass 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr Peter Summers 3 0 0% −3.00
Mr Darren Edwards 3 0 0% −3.00
David Prichard 2 0 0% −2.00
James Best 2 0 0% −2.00
Niall Houlihan 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→
2
Archived wins
£27,218
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Leading Knight (IRE) — Claire Hitch 50th Birthday Handicap Chase Taunton · Dec 2022 · Class 5
£4,629
Son Of Hypnos (IRE) — Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle Race Newton Abbot · Aug 2026 · Class 5
£4,489
Notable horses
Son Of Hypnos (IRE) Leading Knight (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sayif (IRE) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 9.7% of 829 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.7% from 299. Weakest on Good to Soft going: 5.9% from 101.
Morozov (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.8% of 2,314 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 434.
Morpheus (GB) 12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.
Califet (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,793 runs since 2008 (399 horses).
Fuisse (FR) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.5% of 1,115 runs since 2008 (122 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5% from 119.
Leading Light (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 8.2% of 2,204 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 241.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 30 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 86 · newest first

The latest 50 of 86 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 9 May 2006 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Oct 26 Hereford Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Jack Stenhouse Betting.Bet Free Bets Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 19.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 15/2
18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Jack Stenhouse Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Finale Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 6th 5/1
22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Jack Stenhouse Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 1st 25/1
19 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Jack Stenhouse Brendon Soper Memorial Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 28/1
11 Jun 26 Worcester Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Jack Stenhouse Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 7th 5/1
23 Apr 26 Warwick Porth Mear (GB)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Molly Ollys Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 8th 250/1
23 Apr 26 Warwick Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Molly Ollys Charity Partner Of The Year Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 9 ran 7th 33/1
07 Apr 26 Exeter Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Visit Irish Bloodstock Sales With ITM Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 33/1
17 Mar 26 Exeter Porth Mear (GB)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Oddschecker Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 200/1
17 Mar 26 Exeter Son Of Hypnos (IRE)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Oddschecker Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 150/1
21 Oct 25 Exeter Share A Moment (IRE)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Download The PricedUp App Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 8/1
21 Aug 25 Newton Abbot Share A Moment (IRE)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse Royal Air Force Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 10 ran 10th 14/1
04 Jun 25 Newton Abbot Share A Moment (IRE)J: Mr Jack Stenhouse newtonabbotracing.com Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 40/1
28 May 25 Newton Abbot Blue Ribbon (GB)J: David Noonan Happy Birthday Lucia Stevens Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 4th 12/1
14 May 25 Newton Abbot Onomatotia (GB)J: David Noonan St. Austell Brewery Mares' Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 7th 125/1
07 May 25 Newton Abbot Blue Ribbon (GB)J: James Best Racing To School Reaches 250,000 Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 9/1
07 May 25 Newton Abbot The Flaming Galah (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Happy 60th Birthday John Garton Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17f · Good · 10 ran PU 125/1
23 Apr 25 Taunton The Flaming Galah (GB)J: Sean Houlihan Royal Ascot Lunch Saturday 21st June Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 4th 40/1
02 Apr 25 Exeter Blue Ribbon (GB)J: David Noonan Haldon Gold Cup Returns In November Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19f · Good · 8 ran 4th 11/1
10 Mar 25 Taunton Blue Ribbon (GB)J: Sean Houlihan DragonBet Born From The Betting Ring Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16f · Good · 8 ran 6th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ryan Chapman's strike rate?
Ryan Chapman has won 2 of 84 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 30 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Ryan Chapman's Fair A/E?
0.65, from 84 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 30 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).