What is T Hogan's strike rate?

T Hogan has won 103 of 1,528 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does T Hogan do best at?

Sligo by strike rate: 9 wins from 71 runners (12.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for T Hogan?

John Cullen, with 120 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (7.5%).

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is T Hogan's Fair A/E?

0.95, from 1,527 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

T Hogan

1,528 runners in the lifetime window · 174 individual horses

As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 10 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

103–1,528

Wins / Runs

6.7%

Strike rate

n=1,528

346 (23%)

Placed

0.95

Fair A/E

n=1,527 · 0.75 incl. margin

−458.37

£1 level stake

n=1,528 at SP · −30.0%

£2.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.95). In Group and Graded company the record reads 10% (158 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,528 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 4 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 32.8% when favourite John Cullen: 7.5% from 120 Headgear returns: 8.8% Group/Graded: 9.5% Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Sligo (12.7%, n=71) and Killarney (11.4%, n=88) — all clear of the yard's 6.7% baseline. New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 2.3% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.48). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.52 and −148.25 to a £1 stake over 254 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. John Cullen rides 8% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0.9% over 108 runners, 5.8pts below the baseline. 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot (Oct 2014, £207,856). The stable star of the record: Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) — 15 wins from 96 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.1%−3.6

n=254 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −148.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

2.3%−4.4

n=44 · A/E 0.48 · £1 −10.00

Debutants · first career start

2.9%−3.8

n=105 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −68.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.1%−1.6

n=99 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −20.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

8.8%+2.1

n=34 · A/E 1.81 · £1 +34.00

When favourite

32.8%

n=67 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −5.96

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.2%−1.5

n=618 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −181.54

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.5%+2.8

n=158 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −64.23

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 13.9% vs 6.7% · n=101

With Fran Berry 14.5% vs 6.7% · n=69

Off a break of 180+ days 0.9% vs 6.7% · n=108

At Sligo 12.7% vs 6.7% · n=71

At Killarney 11.4% vs 6.7% · n=88

With Wayne Lordan 11.5% vs 6.7% · n=78

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 921 61 6.6% −268.72

Hurdle 365 23 6.3% −158.90

NH Flat 164 13 7.9% +5.75

Chase 78 6 7.7% −36.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 487 34 7% −144.69

Good 367 19 5.2% −132.48

Heavy 215 16 7.4% −85.52

Good to Soft 168 14 8.3% −4.85

Standard (AW) 142 8 5.6% −80.50

Good to Firm 133 11 8.3% −5.33

Firm 16 1 6.3% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 135 8 5.9% −73.50

Cork 108 8 7.4% −12.02

Curragh 94 5 5.3% −39.92

Limerick 89 5 5.6% −63.75

Killarney 88 10 11.4% −9.78

Leopardstown 86 5 5.8% −3.56

Galway 74 2 2.7% −52.50

Ballinrobe 73 6 8.2% −19.25

Tipperary 72 5 6.9% −46.54

Sligo 71 9 12.7% +24.13

Listowel 58 2 3.4% −34.00

Gowran Park 55 3 5.5% −29.50

Fairyhouse 51 4 7.8% +25.10

Punchestown 47 1 2.1% −30.00

Roscommon 47 4 8.5% −18.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 170 16 9.4% −25.23

Class 5 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 6 3 1 33.3% +18.00

Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 91 28 30.8% 1.26 +0.37

2nd–3rd fav 213 32 15% 1.10 −25.74

4th–6th fav 425 19 4.5% 0.62 −229.00

7th+ in betting 799 24 3% 0.92 −204.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

1m5f – 2m 340 23 6.8% −124.28

1m2f – 1m4f 269 17 6.3% −89.42

2m1f – 2m4f 261 20 7.7% −12.77

6f – 7f 258 20 7.8% −53.79

1m – 1m1f 239 15 6.3% −67.26

2m5f – 3m 110 6 5.5% −69.85

Under 6f 39 1 2.6% −33.00

Over 3m 12 1 8.3% −8.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 235 18 7.7% −66.71

2009 218 17 7.8% −72.92

2010 166 16 9.6% +37.65

2011 140 6 4.3% −79.25

2012 70 6 8.6% −39.50

2013 104 10 9.6% −41.18

2014 64 2 3.1% −32.00

2015 78 5 6.4% −6.42

2016 104 6 5.8% −51.12

2017 60 2 3.3% −18.00

2018 41 2 4.9% −17.50

2019 50 3 6% −40.50

2020 24 1 4.2% +27.00

2021 47 3 6.4% +4.50

2022 24 0 0% −24.00

2023 18 0 0% −18.00

2024 28 2 7.1% −12.75

2025 35 2 5.7% +3.33

2026 22 2 9.1% −11.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 770 46 6% −188.59

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 511 36 7% −27.87

17+ runners 329 11 3.3% −169.25

11-13 runners 302 24 7.9% −72.75

8-10 runners 269 14 5.2% −142.09

5-7 runners 105 13 12.4% −47.89

2-4 runners 12 5 41.7% +1.48

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) 96 15 45 20 Dec 19

Honor Oak (IRE) 65 6 21 6 Nov 19

Kirbybroguelantern (IRE) 50 4 10 29 May 12

Blackwitch Woman (IRE) 45 4 8 11 Nov 11

Coolnagorna Giggs (IRE)then R P Rath 37 3 11 22 Jul 17

Spinning Wings (IRE) 32 4 7 11 Nov 11

Ondamoura (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 31 1 12 26 Oct 16

Nebo (IRE)from Charles Hills 30 3 4 20 Sep 22

Quench The Flame (GB) 29 3 10 11 Aug 14

Share The Treasure (IRE) 28 1 3 7 Oct 26

Frutti Tutti (IRE) 28 3 9 30 May 11

Silver Jaro (FR)from Jonjo O'Neill · then Fergal O'Brien 27 1 7 21 Apr 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 174 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 18 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Charles Hills (2); 42 had their first archived run for this yard.

17 have since run for another yard, most often for E McNamara (2); 43 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

8262877105875

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJohn Cullen

8% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.99

RiderRWSR£1

John Cullen 120 9 7.5% −49.35

Wayne Lordan 78 9 11.5% +23.83

Ben Curtis 78 8 10.3% +8.00

W J Lee 69 7 10.1% −17.12

Fran Berry 69 10 14.5% −10.95

Seamie Heffernan 67 4 6% −29.75

Chris Hayes 47 2 4.3% −11.00

Kate O'Brien 45 2 4.4% −6.00

Emmet McNamara 44 1 2.3% −10.00

Mr A J Hogan 43 1 2.3% −39.75

Ronan Whelan 32 1 3.1% −6.00

Robert Jones 30 1 3.3% −17.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

179

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.12m

Prize money

2005

Best season · 34 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) — Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes (Group 2) Ascot · Oct 2014 · Group 2

£207,856

Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) — Qatar Prix de la Foret (3yo+) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2012 · Group 1

£142,850

Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) — Betfred Sprint Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Haydock · Sep 2013 · Group 1

£141,775

Notable horses

Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) Kirbybroguelantern (IRE) Kalderon (GER) Honor Oak (IRE) Sonnyanjoe (IRE) Rooftop Protest (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Byron (GB) 15.6% · 15–96

Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,248 runs since 2010 (225 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 172.

Zebedee (GB) 8.8% · 6–68

Progeny have won 9% of 7,139 runs since 2014 (435 horses).

Winged Love (IRE) 11.3% · 6–53

Progeny have won 10.9% of 3,965 runs since 2008 (296 horses).

Galileo (IRE) 8% · 4–50

Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,200 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.

Tidaro (USA) 8% · 4–50

Progeny have won 7.3% of 151 runs since 2008 (12 horses).

Intense Focus (USA) 2.2% · 1–46

Progeny have won 8.3% of 3,630 runs since 2013 (218 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.5% from 349. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.5% from 384.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 4 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,602 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,602 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 25 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Jupiter Du Gite (FR)J: Michael Kenneally COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Steeplechase22.5f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 8th 5/1

09 Oct 26 Chepstow Hopeful Hero (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke DragonBet Persian War Novices' Hurdle Race (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 5th 50/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Share The Treasure (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Racing Again 21st October Handicap (Div II)10f · Yielding · 16 ran 16th 12/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Hopeful Hero (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Clonmel Novice Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 6 ran 1st 7/2

19 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Hopeful Hero (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 13 ran 4th 4/1

16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Share The Treasure (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Camida Winning Solution Handicap10f · Yielding · 14 ran 8th 14/1

11 Sep 26 Ballinrobe (IRE) Jupiter Du Gite (FR)J: Alan O'Sullivan Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 100/30F

04 Sep 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Hopeful Hero (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler Séan Daly Memorial Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 2nd 3/1

28 Aug 26 Down Royal (IRE) Hopeful Hero (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Golden Cow Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 4/1

27 Aug 26 Navan (IRE) Share The Treasure (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Racing Next At Navan On Saturday September 5th Handicap14f · Good · 22 ran 9th 20/1

22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Jupiter Du Gite (FR)J: Michael Kenneally Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle22.5f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 11/4F

27 Jul 26 Galway (IRE) Hopeful Hero (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan EASYFIX Iggy Daly Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Good · 20 ran 15th 9/2F

16 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Jupiter Du Gite (FR)J: Michael Kenneally Noel C. Duggan Structural Steel 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 10/1

04 Jul 26 Bellewstown Hopeful Hero (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan Grimme Ireland Maiden Hurdle17f · Good · 16 ran 1st 11/2

09 Jun 26 Sligo Hopeful Hero (IRE)J: Alan O'Sullivan RSS Record Storage Service Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 5/1

03 May 26 Sligo Share The Treasure (IRE)J: Jack Cleary Tote.ie Apprentice Handicap (0-60)14f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 5th 9/1

05 Mar 26 Thurles Jupiter Du Gite (FR)J: Michael Kenneally EASYFIX Equine Handicap Hurdle23f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 6th 9/2

05 Mar 26 Thurles Moulins Clermont (FR)J: Michael Kenneally Duggan Veterinary Supplies Handicap Chase21.5f · Soft · 15 ran PU 12/1

08 Feb 26 Navan Jupiter Du Gite (FR)J: Michael Kenneally Gibney's Of Malahide Handicap Hurdle22f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 7 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 7 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is T Hogan's strike rate?: T Hogan has won 103 of 1,528 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.7% (as at 4 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does T Hogan do best at?: Sligo by strike rate: 9 wins from 71 runners (12.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for T Hogan?: John Cullen, with 120 runners since 2008 — 8% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (7.5%).
Is T Hogan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is T Hogan's Fair A/E?: 0.95, from 1,527 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.