What is Victor Dartnall's strike rate?

Victor Dartnall has won 231 of 1,735 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Victor Dartnall do best at?

Perth by strike rate: 8 wins from 31 runners (25.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Victor Dartnall?

Jack Doyle, with 244 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (13.5%).

What is Victor Dartnall's Fair A/E?

1.09, from 1,733 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Victor Dartnall

1,735 runners in the lifetime window · 194 individual horses

As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner May 2024 90% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

231–1,735

Wins / Runs

13.3%

Strike rate

n=1,735

578 (33%)

Placed

1.09

Fair A/E

n=1,733 · 0.94 incl. margin

−129.22

£1 level stake

n=1,735 at SP · −7.4%

£1.91m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). New recruits from other yards win at 19% first time out (58 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,735 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 11 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Aug–Oct 31.8% when favourite Jack Doyle: 13.5% from 244 New recruits: 19% Claiming riders: 14% Sends off the favourite in 12% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Perth (25.8%, n=31), clear of the yard's 13.3% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (0% over 42 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 19% (n=58, Fair A/E 1.73), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 8.9% (n=45, Fair A/E 1.43). Debutants are the standout value angle: 10.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.18 and +12.10 to a £1 stake over 111 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Jack Doyle rides 14% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (13.5%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the John Smith's Midlands Grand National Handicap Chase at Uttoxeter (Mar 2009, £57,010). The stable star of the record: Seebright (GB) — 9 wins from 19 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Aug–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.6%−2.7

n=472 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −118.64

New recruits · first run for the yard

19%+5.7

n=58 · A/E 1.73 · £1 −4.75

Debutants · first career start

10.8%−2.5

n=111 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +12.10

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.2%−4.1

n=87 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −13.88

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.3%−4.0

n=43 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −21.25

When favourite

31.8%

n=214 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −12.20

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14%+0.7

n=494 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −46.84

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.9%−4.4

n=45 · A/E 1.43 · £1 +13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Cheltenham 0% vs 13.3% · n=42

On last-time-out winners 22.1% vs 13.3% · n=235

At Perth 25.8% vs 13.3% · n=31

At Kempton (AW) 2.8% vs 13.3% · n=36

With horses switching code 7.5% vs 13.3% · n=241

With Mr Edward Glassonbury 20.4% vs 13.3% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 812 107 13.2% −19.73

Chase 591 80 13.5% −134.68

Flat 167 23 13.8% +17.97

NH Flat 165 21 12.7% +7.22

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 470 60 12.8% −76.63

Soft 441 61 13.8% +2.10

Good 437 57 13% −16.49

Heavy 214 28 13.1% −69.44

Standard (AW) 97 11 11.3% +18.00

Good to Firm 74 13 17.6% +2.24

Firm 2 1 50% +11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Exeter 290 41 14.1% −53.79

Chepstow 180 28 15.6% −1.67

Wincanton 152 19 12.5% −9.50

Taunton 136 18 13.2% +61.93

Uttoxeter 97 11 11.3% −38.30

Newton Abbot 89 12 13.5% −30.53

Fontwell 82 16 19.5% +4.82

Kempton 58 6 10.3% +16.50

Newbury 54 7 13% −0.75

Sandown 52 6 11.5% +11.33

Wolverhampton (AW) 43 8 18.6% +39.50

Cheltenham 42 0 0% −42.00

Kempton (AW) 36 1 2.8% −31.50

Perth 31 8 25.8% +2.88

Ffos Las 29 5 17.2% +17.12

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 695 91 13.1% −103.40

Class 3 366 49 13.4% −29.12

Class 5 310 43 13.9% −0.15

Class 6 208 34 16.3% +37.01

Class 2 88 9 10.2% −28.56

Class 1 68 5 7.4% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 260 79 30.4% 1.09 −11.33

2nd–3rd fav 495 82 16.6% 1.03 −55.89

4th–6th fav 547 53 9.7% 1.21 −10.00

7th+ in betting 433 17 3.9% 1.04 −52.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

2m1f – 2m4f 506 70 13.8% −56.18

2m5f – 3m 497 69 13.9% −85.25

1m5f – 2m 469 63 13.4% +48.09

Over 3m 129 12 9.3% −45.25

1m2f – 1m4f 58 6 10.3% −0.25

6f – 7f 42 6 14.3% +5.12

1m – 1m1f 25 5 20% +13.50

Under 6f 9 0 0% −9.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 150 27 18% +32.41

2009 141 21 14.9% −20.35

2010 138 22 15.9% −11.16

2011 169 33 19.5% +56.25

2012 123 16 13% −32.97

2013 127 14 11% −2.84

2014 161 25 15.5% −28.26

2015 104 8 7.7% −45.00

2016 106 13 12.3% −16.25

2017 80 4 5% −24.00

2018 84 11 13.1% −7.25

2019 74 5 6.8% −41.50

2020 51 6 11.8% +4.75

2021 64 6 9.4% −39.00

2022 59 4 6.8% −7.67

2023 77 15 19.5% +76.62

2024 27 1 3.7% −23.00

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 1,131 154 13.6% −36.45

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

8-10 runners 507 69 13.6% −45.85

11-13 runners 454 65 14.3% +10.44

14-16 runners 340 27 7.9% −47.88

5-7 runners 261 49 18.8% −38.73

17+ runners 135 12 8.9% −15.50

2-4 runners 38 9 23.7% +8.30

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

80.9% completed · 1,403 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 591 73.1% 27 21 106 2 3

Hurdle 812 86.6% 22 7 76 0 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Dancing Shadow (IRE) 46 3 22 24 Mar 22

Shammick Boy (IRE) 41 8 14 5 May 16

Ut Majeur Aulmes (FR)from Tim Vaughan 35 4 13 9 Mar 20

River Bray (IRE) 33 5 11 25 Feb 23

Richard's Sundance (IRE)from Mrs S D Williams 33 6 14 3 Apr 14

Henry Hook (IRE)then Mark Gillard 33 4 12 25 Apr 13

Minnie Escape (GB) 29 3 9 18 Apr 22

Moleskin (IRE) 29 2 11 8 May 14

Run To Milan (IRE) 28 4 15 23 Mar 24

Howardian Hills (IRE)from Richard Hannon 28 2 8 13 Dec 20

Exmoor Mist (GB) 27 4 7 18 Mar 19

Midnight Sapphire (GB)then David Pipe 27 4 12 10 Mar 17

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 194 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from R H & Mrs S Alner (3) and Karen George (2); 47 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard; 51 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

121216151014141719151311

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJack Doyle

14% of all rides
13.5% SR · A/E 0.99

RiderRWSR£1

Jack Doyle 244 33 13.5% −31.48

Denis O'Regan 229 35 15.3% −22.52

Alan Johns 107 13 12.1% +36.58

Andrew Glassonbury 96 14 14.6% +25.25

Nick Scholfield 76 7 9.2% −21.88

Christian Williams 69 12 17.4% +4.24

Ciaran Gethings 64 7 10.9% −18.25

James Best 58 6 10.3% −7.87

Mr Edward Glassonbury 54 11 20.4% −5.05

Mr Joshua Guerriero 41 4 9.8% −17.00

Giles Hawkins 41 3 7.3% −23.92

David Prichard 39 8 20.5% +11.25

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

288

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.31m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 33 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Russian Trigger (GB) — John Smith's Midlands Grand National Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Mar 2009 · Listed

£57,010

Exmoor Ranger (IRE) — United House Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Ascot · Oct 2011 · Grade 3

£56,270

Giles Cross (IRE) — Betfred Grand National Trial (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) Haydock · Feb 2012 · Class 1

£42,713

Notable horses

Seebright (GB) Shammick Boy (IRE) Benetwood (IRE) Richard's Sundance (IRE) Exmoor Ranger (IRE) Admiral's Secret (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 14.4% · 13–90

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Craigsteel (GB) 12.6% · 11–87

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,393 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 291. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 6.9% from 763.

Presenting (GB) 12.6% · 11–87

Progeny have won 11% of 20,052 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Oscar (IRE) 21.8% · 17–78

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Getaway (GER) 11.8% · 8–68

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,025 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Milan (GB) 23.4% · 15–64

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,887 runs since 2008 (1,464 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 11 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,029 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,029 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 26 May 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 May 24 Uttoxeter Native Moon (IRE)J: Alan Johns Turf Services Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23.5f · Soft · 4 ran PU 10/3

11 May 24 Haydock Aurigny Mill (FR)J: Alan Johns Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 15.5f · Good · 17 ran PU 33/1

06 May 24 Warwick Pride Of Paris (IRE)J: Alan Johns Welcombe Hills Vineyard Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 25f · Good · 14 ran PU 9/1

05 May 24 Salisbury Arthalot (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Kingsclere Past, Present And Future HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Heavy · 9 ran 7th 20/1

26 Apr 24 Chepstow Aurigny Mill (FR)J: Fergus Gillard Sun Trade Windows Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 17/2

24 Apr 24 Taunton Atjima (IRE)J: Alan Johns Dave Criddle Travel Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)Class 4 · 19f · Good · 9 ran PU 28/1

19 Apr 24 Bath Damia (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram Showcasing Standing At Whitsbury Manor HandicapClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 16/1

17 Apr 24 Kempton (AW) Trevanion (IRE)J: Rhiain Ingram Unibet Zero% Mission Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 13th 28/1

14 Apr 24 Hereford Native Moon (IRE)J: Alan Johns Read Harry Cobden's Blog At PlanetSportBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 3rd 9/1

11 Apr 24 Taunton Pride Of Paris (IRE)J: Alan Johns Stables Business Park Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23f · Soft · 12 ran UR 4/1J

05 Apr 24 Lingfield (AW) Damia (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram East Park Riding For The Disabled HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 18/1

25 Mar 24 Exeter Haldon Hill (IRE)J: Alan Johns Kenn Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Heavy · 5 ran PU 11/1

23 Mar 24 Newbury Run To Milan (IRE)J: Fergus Gillard Visit Irish Store Sales With Itm Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 17/2

16 Mar 24 Kempton Tamarind Bay (IRE)J: Alan Johns Unibet 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 7th 4/1

06 Mar 24 Kempton (AW) Damia (GB)J: Rhiain Ingram Unibet More Extra Place Races HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 10th 12/1

29 Feb 24 Taunton Devon Blue (IRE)J: Alan Johns Free Racing On Monday 11th March Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 17/2

23 Feb 24 Exeter Eye Candy (IRE)J: Miss Heidi Stevens My Pension Expert Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 40/1

18 Feb 24 Kempton (AW) Trevanion (IRE)J: Rhiain Ingram Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 8 ran 5th 50/1

14 Feb 24 Hereford Atjima (IRE)J: Alan Johns Always Gamble Responsibly At Vickers.Bet Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 14 ran PU 22/1

11 Feb 24 Exeter Run To Milan (IRE)J: Alan Johns trustatrader.com Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 2 · 24f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 7/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Victor Dartnall's strike rate?: Victor Dartnall has won 231 of 1,735 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 13.3% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Victor Dartnall do best at?: Perth by strike rate: 8 wins from 31 runners (25.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Victor Dartnall?: Jack Doyle, with 244 runners since 2008 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (13.5%).
What is Victor Dartnall's Fair A/E?: 1.09, from 1,733 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.