Race Preview

6:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Tuesday 15 September 2026 ·12 runners KTB Selection: Not That Guy · 52/100

This Class 4 novice stakes over 6f20y at Wolverhampton on standard going features a field of 12, many of whom bring limited experience or modest form. The KTB Fit scores are tightly bunched at the top, with Not That Guy heading the numbers on 52, closely followed by Ennoble and Oddjob on 49. Lightly raced types and debutants sit alongside more exposed runners, creating a race where progression and suitability to the surface will be key.

How the race shapes up

The pace shape is muddling and tactical with medium confidence, as there is no obvious front-runner. Several runners prefer to be held up and produce their effort late, while a couple are more prominent and will race handily on or close to the lead. This setup should favour those ridden close to the pace, and the key question is which horse can best navigate the tactical nature of the contest and find the right position without getting caught wide or out of rhythm.

The KTB Fit ranking

  1. 1Not That Guy KTB Selection52/100

    Form 52- · Hugo Palmer · Oisin Murphy

    Not That Guy showed fair promise when finishing fifth on debut and then improved to take second at this trip on his latest start. Lightly raced with only two runs in the book, any assessment must be cautious but there are clear signs of ability. The Hugo Palmer yard has a solid 19% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a big sample of 418 runs, while Oisin Murphy brings a 22% strike rate at the track from 624 rides. He is held up and usually produces his effort late, though that evidence is limited with low confidence. The colt is unproven on standard going and has no course form on record.

  2. 2Ennoble49/100

    Form 36-U54 · Antony Brittain · Cam Hardie

    Ennoble is a modest performer who has shown only fair form at best in recent starts and has failed to land a blow at this trip in three attempts. First-time headgear is now applied in a bid to spark improvement, though he must overcome a wide draw in stall 12. He is usually held up and produces his effort late with medium confidence. The Antony Brittain yard has a solid 10% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a huge sample of 848 runs, and Cam Hardie has a 7% strike rate at the track from 1273 rides. He has had one run on standard going without winning or placing and has no course form on record.

  3. 3Oddjob49/100

    Form 45 · Ed Walker · George Downing

    Oddjob has shown only modest form in two starts so far, finishing fourth on his most recent outing here at Wolverhampton. He has no win or place on this track from one run and remains unproven at the trip. The colt is held up and usually produces his effort late with medium confidence. Trainer Ed Walker has a solid 17% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 352 runs, though the jockey has an 8% strike rate at the track from 448 rides. He has had two runs on standard going without winning or placing.

  4. 4Blazing Gaden48/100

    Form 94 · D. J. Jeffreys · Dougie Costello

    Blazing Gaden arrives off the back of two modest efforts this year and has yet to win or place in nine starts. He has been beaten on both previous attempts at this trip and showed no spark in two runs on standard going. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he is drawn in stall 3. The trainer holds a 6% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 16 runs while the jockey is making his first ride at the track. Overall this is a modest profile.

  5. 5Flag Of Nations46/100

    William Muir & Chris Grassick · Lewis Edmunds

    Flag Of Nations is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the form picture is blank. The yard have a solid 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a big sample of 148 runs which gives some encouragement. By Starspangledbanner, who has an 11% overall win rate from 8216 runners, the pedigree will need to be strong to make this a viable proposition on debut. Lewis Edmunds takes the ride from stall 2. The overall picture remains tentative for this unraced type.

  6. 6Beautiful Rumour46/100

    Form 94 · Scott Dixon · Kieran O'Neill

    Beautiful Rumour has shown little in two starts so far, finishing ninth and fourth over 5f. She steps up to 6f today which is an unknown for her, and the trainer's modest 7% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a huge sample of 1085 runs adds little encouragement. She has had two runs on standard going without winning or placing.

  7. 7Coilltedudeisback45/100

    Form 03 · Adam Kirby · Charles Bishop

    Coilltedudeisback has shown very little in two starts to date, finishing third of three on debut and then tenth here last time. The yard's modest 5% strike rate at Wolverhampton offers no encouragement from stall 10. Usually races handily on or close to the lead with limited evidence, this remains a very tentative profile.

  8. 8Iron Dome44/100

    Form 4 · Clive Cox · Cieren Fallon

    Iron Dome showed fair pace on debut when finishing fourth over this trip on turf. The move to the all-weather surface asks a fresh question while the wide draw in stall 9 is far from ideal. Trainer Clive Cox has a solid 15% strike rate from 628 runs at Wolverhampton.

  9. 9Inkberrow44/100

    Simon & Ed Crisford · Harry Davies

    Inkberrow is a newcomer from the Simon and Ed Crisford yard which has a solid 21 percent strike rate at Wolverhampton from 236 runs. The horse brings a useful pedigree by Kodi Bear, who has a 10% overall win rate from 3845 runners, that gives some encouragement on debut though the overall picture remains tentative given the complete lack of racecourse data.

  10. 10Red Melody42/100

    Lisa Williamson · Ben Ffrench Davis(5)

    Red Melody is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the assessment relies entirely on limited pedigree and sales information. By Masar, who has an 11% overall win rate from 1161 runners, the yard has a modest 3% strike-rate at Wolverhampton from a large sample of 804 runs. Connections are unproven at this level.

  11. 11Sir Chops42/100

    Steph Hollinshead · Luke Catton(3)

    Sir Chops is a debutant with no racecourse experience so far. The yard's modest record here at Wolverhampton, with a 3% strike rate from 237 runs, offers little encouragement on first starts. By Eqtidaar, who has an 8% overall win rate from 421 runners, pedigree and sales background will need to be strong to overcome the trainer's low strike-rate on the all-weather.

  12. 12Dusk Damsel39/100

    Form 205942 · J. S. Moore · Millie Wonnacott(5)

    Dusk Damsel is a limited filly who has shown just ordinary form in nine runs and looks no better than modest on her best efforts. She has been competitive on this surface without winning, placed two of eight on standard, and is dropping back to a trip where she has placed once before though her latest efforts suggest she is vulnerable again. Usually races handily on or close to the lead with medium confidence, the trainer's modest 9% strike rate at Wolverhampton from 933 runs is backed by a large sample while the 5 lb claimer helps a little on the weights.

KTB verdict

Not That Guy is the KTB Selection. He showed fair promise when fifth on debut and then improved to finish second at this trip on his latest start, and the Hugo Palmer yard has a solid 19% strike rate at Wolverhampton from a big sample. Lightly raced with scope for further progress, he is taken to come out on top in a muddling tactical affair. The main dangers are Ennoble, who now tries first-time headgear from a wide draw, and Oddjob, who has already shown modest form on this track. Blazing Gaden and the debutant Flag Of Nations are next in the KTB Fit order but face stiffer tasks.

KTB Selection Not That Guy

Questions about this race

Which horse is stepping up in trip from recent 5f runs?

Beautiful Rumour steps up to 6f today which is an unknown for her after finishing ninth and fourth over 5f.

Who is the only runner with course form at Wolverhampton?

Oddjob has course form, having finished fourth here on his most recent outing, while Coilltedudeisback was tenth here and Dusk Damsel has three runs here.

Which runners are making their racecourse debut?

Flag Of Nations, Inkberrow, Red Melody and Sir Chops are all newcomers with no racecourse experience.

How many runners prefer to be held up?

Not That Guy, Ennoble, Oddjob and Blazing Gaden are all usually held up and produce their effort late.

Who is the only prominent runner with medium-confidence run-style data?

Dusk Damsel usually races handily on or close to the lead with medium confidence.

18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.

More from Kickthebookies