3:05 Ayr
The 3:05 at Ayr is a Listed sprint for fillies over an extended five furlongs on soft ground. A field of 14 contains several useful performers with solid course records at the Scottish venue, though the KTB Fit ratings suggest a fairly tight contest at the top with the selection carrying a 65 rating. Recent form is mixed across the principals and the step up in trip for several runners adds an extra layer of intrigue on this surface.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners in the line-up the pace shape is likely to be strong and the early fractions could prove testing. Luna A Inbhir Nis, Catching The Moon, La Brodeuse, Lady Youmzain, Focaccia and Shes Got A Brother all tend to race prominently or make the running, which raises the possibility of the pace collapsing in the final furlong. That scenario would play into the hands of hold-up performers such as Heavenly Heather, Beautiful Diamond, Lam Yai, Novamay, Fluorescence, Nariko, Brazilian Rose and Rogue Attraction, making the ability to produce a late effort the key question posed by the race.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Heavenly Heather KTB Selection65/100
Heavenly Heather arrives with a KTB Fit rating of 65 and is the selection. A useful performer, she has been consistent enough without winning of late, finishing second on her penultimate start before a lesser effort last time. She steps up from five furlongs having already won twice at today's trip, though her only previous run on soft ground brought no joy. The five-year-old is held up and usually produces her effort late. Trainer Tracy Waggott has an 8% strike rate at Ayr from 36 runs while jockey Connor Beasley has a 10% strike rate at the track from 540 rides; both have solid records here.
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2Luna A Inbhir Nis62/100
Luna A Inbhir Nis is rated 62 on KTB Fit and is a leading contender. A useful performer with a solid record at Ayr including a win from three starts, she has won six times over today's trip. She showed no win or place from three previous runs on soft ground last time out. The four-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace. Trainer Katie Scott has an 8% strike rate at Ayr from 227 runs while jockey Jason Hart has a 13% strike rate at the track from 564 rides.
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3Beautiful Diamond60/100
Beautiful Diamond carries a KTB Fit rating of 60. A useful performer, she has won three of her four starts at Ayr and also has solid placed form on soft ground with one win from six attempts. She steps up from five furlongs having already won at this trip in the past though her recent form has been a shade patchy. The five-year-old is usually held up and produces her effort late. Trainer K. R. Burke has a 13% strike rate at Ayr from 614 runs while jockey Pierre-Louis Jamin has a 5% strike rate at the track from 22 rides.
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4Catching The Moon60/100
Catching The Moon is rated 60 on KTB Fit. A useful performer who won on his only previous visit to Ayr, he has scored twice at today's trip. Dropping back from six furlongs having looked below form on his last two starts in stronger company, the three-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace. Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey has a 14% strike rate at Ayr from 22 runs while jockey Oisin Orr has an 8% strike rate at the track from 183 rides.
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5La Brodeuse56/100
La Brodeuse is rated 56 on KTB Fit. A useful performer who has been consistent this year with form figures of 7-2433, she drops back to 5.5f having been placed at the trip before and holds a solid record on soft ground with one win and two places from three starts. The four-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace. Trainer Kevin Ryan has a 10% strike rate at Ayr from 859 runs while jockey Kevin Stott has a 14% strike rate at the track from 264 rides.
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6Lady Youmzain55/100
Lady Youmzain is rated 55 on KTB Fit. A useful performer who has won twice from four starts and showed smart form when third in a Listed race last time, she steps up to 5½f for the first time today having won at the trip before while her sole run on soft ground produced a win. The three-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace. Trainer Kevin Ryan and jockey Tom Eaves both have below-average strike rates at Ayr.
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7Focaccia55/100
Focaccia is rated 55 on KTB Fit. A fair performer who has shown inconsistent form this year with a string of placed efforts but no win since last season, the step up to 5½f looks a positive as she has already won at the trip though she remains unproven on soft ground. The three-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace. Trainer J A Stack and jockey Saffie Osborne both have solid records at Ayr.
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8Lam Yai54/100
Lam Yai is rated 54 on KTB Fit. A useful performer who has placed on both starts at Ayr and handles soft ground well with a win and a placing from two runs, she drops back to her winning trip today having last run over 6f. The three-year-old is usually held up and produces her effort late. Trainer K. R. Burke and jockey Sam James both have solid if unspectacular records at the track.
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9Novamay52/100
Novamay is rated 52 on KTB Fit. A useful performer who has won both starts at Ayr and also landed her only soft-ground run, she has won five times over today's trip from 19 starts overall though she steps back up from 5f today having been in and out of form this year. The four-year-old is usually held up and produces her effort late. Trainer Michael Dods has an 11% strike rate at Ayr from 1257 runs while jockey Rhys Elliott has a 6% strike rate at the track from 99 rides.
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10Fluorescence50/100
Fluorescence is rated 50 on KTB Fit. A useful performer who has won four times from 13 starts and arrives in decent nick after a recent success, he has already won over today's trip though steps up from 5f today while his only run on soft ground was unplaced. The four-year-old is usually held up and produces his effort late. The yard's modest record at Ayr is a slight negative but jockey Daniel Tudhope's solid 15% strike rate here helps balance the picture.
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11Nariko49/100
Nariko is rated 49 on KTB Fit. A fair performer who has won twice on soft ground from five attempts and also has a solid record at today's trip, dropping back from 6f should suit but the yard's modest record at Ayr and this horse's poor run here last time both count against. The five-year-old is usually held up and produces her effort late. A high draw in a big field adds another negative.
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12Brazilian Rose47/100
Brazilian Rose is rated 47 on KTB Fit. A useful performer who has been generally out of form this year with a string of modest efforts, she drops back to a trip she has won at before but her only attempt on soft ground was poor. The five-year-old is usually held up and produces her effort late. Trainer Rebecca Menzies and jockey Kaiya Fraser both have modest records at Ayr.
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13Shes Got A Brother47/100
Shes Got A Brother is rated 47 on KTB Fit. A fair performer who has won twice at this trip but has been below form on her last three starts, she ran respectably when fifth on her only previous visit to Ayr yet the wide draw in stall 10 is far from ideal on soft ground. The three-year-old tends to make the running or race on the pace. Trainer Michael & David Easterby and jockey Joanna Mason both hold solid records at the track.
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14Rogue Attraction41/100
Rogue Attraction is rated 41 on KTB Fit. A fair 3-year-old who showed useful form when winning twice this year before a solid second at York last time, he has already won twice at today's trip yet drops back from 6f on ground he has failed to handle in his only soft outing. First-time headgear is an unknown on a track where he finished 14th on his sole visit. The colt is usually held up and produces his effort late.
KTB verdict
Heavenly Heather is the KTB Selection. A useful performer who has been consistent enough without winning lately, she steps up from five furlongs having already won twice at this trip and is ideally suited by the strong pace that is likely to unfold given her hold-up run style. The selection can capitalise if the leaders go too hard early. Beautiful Diamond and Luna A Inbhir Nis head the dangers with strong course records at Ayr, while Catching The Moon and La Brodeuse also have claims if the race shape plays out as expected.
KTB Selection Heavenly Heather
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:09 UTC, 18 Sep. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Heavenly Heather | 6/1 | 7Bet |
| Luna A Inbhir Nis | 6/1 | 7Bet |
| Beautiful Diamond | 13/8 | 7Bet |
| Catching The Moon | 22/1 | William Hill |
| La Brodeuse | 10/1 | William Hill |
| Lady Youmzain | 10/1 | 7Bet |
| Focaccia | 35/1 | 7Bet |
| Lam Yai | 28/1 | William Hill |
| Novamay | 33/1 | Dragon Bet |
| Fluorescence | 7/1 | William Hill |
| Nariko | 70/1 | 7Bet |
| Brazilian Rose | 100/1 | 7Bet |
| Shes Got A Brother | 70/1 | 7Bet |
| Rogue Attraction | 28/1 | William Hill |
This is the narrative read of the 3:05 Ayr. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Ayr racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Ayr results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is best suited by the likely strong pace?
Heavenly Heather, who is held up and usually produces her effort late, is favoured by a strong pace that could collapse.
How many wins has Beautiful Diamond recorded at Ayr?
Beautiful Diamond has won three of her four starts at Ayr.
Which runners tend to make the running or race prominently?
Luna A Inbhir Nis, Catching The Moon, La Brodeuse, Lady Youmzain, Focaccia and Shes Got A Brother all tend to make the running or race on the pace.
Which horse steps up in class from a recent win?
Fluorescence arrives in decent nick after a recent success while stepping up in class.
What is the KTB Fit rating of the selection?
Heavenly Heather has a KTB Fit rating of 65.
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