3:07 Listowel
The 3:07 Listowel is a Listed handicap hurdle over two miles on yielding ground, featuring a competitive field of fourteen four-year-olds. Several hold high-class form with wins or placed efforts at the trip, yet the KTB Fit scores separate them modestly at the top end, with Beauvallon heading the numbers on 67. Connections and course records add further layers, while the overall profile points to a race where class, trip proficiency and ground suitability will be tested in a strongly-run contest.
How the race shapes up
With two or more habitual front-runners present the pace shape is strongly positive, suggesting an honest gallop that is likely to test those up with the pace and could lead to late-race collapses. Several principals, including the selection, Adrienne, Hopes Are High, Combs, Mino Des Mottes and others, are habitual hold-up types who will be looking to conserve energy early and strike from off the pace. The key question is whether the strong pace will create enough late openings for the hold-up brigade or if one of the prominent runners can dictate and hold on.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Beauvallon KTB Selection67/100
Beauvallon is a high-class performer who has won twice at this trip from four attempts and showed useful form when second on his most recent start. He handles yielding ground, having won his only start on it, and the yard have a solid 19% strike rate at Listowel from a large sample. First run at the track today but that is neutral given his overall profile and connections. Paul Townend takes the ride for Willie Mullins, whose trainer-jockey combination shows 31% strike rate. Usually held up and produces its effort late, he is ideally suited to the anticipated strong pace that could collapse late. Recent form figures read 511-25 and he carries the KTB Selection tag.
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2Adrienne60/100
Adrienne is a high-class performer with a solid record that includes two wins over today's trip. She steps up from 1m1f for this first run at Listowel while the trainer's 7% strike rate from 54 runs here is modest. Has won on yielding ground and brings high data confidence from ratings and race history. Darragh O'Keeffe rides for T M Walsh, whose trainer-jockey figures read 9%. Usually held up and produces its effort late with high confidence, she will relish the strong pace that is forecast. Recent form figures read 20341-.
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3Hopes Are High60/100
Hopes Are High is a high-class performer with a strong recent record and clear course connections. He won on his only previous visit to Listowel and has two wins from four starts at this trip. The yard has a solid 13% strike rate here while the jockey also knows the track, though the horse has yet to show his best on yielding ground. Philip Byrnes partners for William Durkan, whose trainer-jockey record stands at 21%. Usually held up and produces its effort late, he is well positioned to benefit if the strong pace tells late on. Recent form figures read 1312-3 and he has course-and-distance winning form.
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4Ben Hur59/100
Ben Hur is a high-class performer who arrives off the back of solid placed efforts and has the ratings to be competitive at this level. He steps up in trip to 2m having already won at the distance, while his placed effort on yielding ground shows he handles the surface. Trainer records a 10% strike rate at Listowel from 330 runs. Donagh Meyler rides for Noel Meade, whose trainer-jockey figures read 9%. Typically settles in midfield, which may leave him with a bit to do if the race develops strongly up front. Recent form figures read 215-.
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5Combs59/100
Combs is a smart performer who arrives in form after a recent win and has shown consistent ability across eleven runs. He has already won over this trip and handles yielding ground, recording one victory and two placings from four starts on it. The yard posts a 13% strike rate at Listowel from a large sample. Danny Gilligan takes the mount for Gordon Elliott, whose trainer-jockey record stands at 13%. Usually held up and produces its effort late with high confidence, he looks ideally suited to the expected strong pace. Recent form figures read 3469-1.
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6Kai Lung58/100
Kai Lung is a high-class performer from a top yard who has shown strong form this season including a placed effort last time out. He steps up in trip today having won over this distance before though his two runs on yielding ground have produced no win or place. Trainer records a solid 19% strike rate at Listowel from a large sample. Tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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7Ole Ole57/100
Ole Ole is a high-class performer with strong recent form including two seconds and a win from five runs. He drops back to 2m having been placed without winning at the trip and looks suited by the yielding ground with one win from two starts on it. Trainer has a 10% strike rate from 212 runs at Listowel. Usually held up and produces its effort late.
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8Game Point56/100
Game Point is a smart performer with a solid recent record of 32331 and plenty of placed efforts at this trip. He drops back from 2m1f having been competitive on yielding ground once before, though still no win at the distance. Trainer has a respectable 12% strike rate at Listowel from 26 runs. Tends to make the running or race on the pace.
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9Mino Des Mottes54/100
Mino Des Mottes is a high-class performer with a strong recent record of 02-122 that includes two wins. He drops back to 2m today having been placed without winning at the trip before, while he has shown he can be competitive on yielding ground. Trainer Gordon Elliott has a 13% strike rate from 328 runs at Listowel and Jack Kennedy takes the ride. Usually held up and produces its effort late.
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10It's Bobsled Time49/100
It's Bobsled Time is a smart performer who showed useful form when winning a maiden at this track last year before a fall. Dropping back from 2m4f to 2m asks a fresh question and the yard's modest 9% strike-rate at Listowel is another negative. Lightly-raced profile means the going remains an unknown. Usually held up and produces its effort late.
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11Rare Times49/100
Rare Times is a useful performer who arrives in decent form after a win last time out. He drops back to 2m having been placed without winning at the trip before, which looks a sensible move though the shorter distance does pose a fresh question. Trainer records a modest 8% strike rate from 53 runs at Listowel. Usually races handily, on or close to the lead.
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12Berto Ramirez47/100
Berto Ramirez is a smart performer who has shown useful form this year but has been below par on his last two starts. He steps up in trip today having failed to trouble the judge in three previous tries at 2m while his record on yielding ground is modest from just two runs. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 24 runs at Listowel. Usually held up and produces its effort late.
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13O'Grady Cracker47/100
O'Grady Cracker is a smart performer who showed his best when winning twice in the spring. He drops back from 2m2½f to a trip he has tried once without success, while the lightly-raced profile means the yielding ground remains an unknown. Trainer's modest 4% strike rate at Listowel from a big sample adds a negative. Usually held up and produces its effort late.
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14Royal Belief41/100
Royal Belief is a smart performer who won a handicap over this trip earlier in the season and arrives here off the back of a break. Only modest effort when fifth on his sole visit to Listowel and the yard's poor 3% strike-rate at the track is another negative. Trainer is 3% from 38 runs here while jockey is unproven at the course. Usually held up and produces its effort late.
KTB verdict
Beauvallon stands out as the KTB Selection. A high-class performer with two wins at this trip from four attempts, he showed useful form when second last time, handles yielding ground having won on it, and benefits from the powerful Mullins-Townend combination that holds a 19% strike rate at Listowel. His hold-up style is perfectly suited to the strong pace that is likely to unfold and could collapse late. Main dangers include Adrienne, who brings high-class form and two wins at the trip, Hopes Are High with his course win and strong recent record, and the in-form Combs who also likes to come from off the pace.
KTB Selection Beauvallon
This is the narrative read of the 3:07 Listowel. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Listowel racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Listowel results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has course winning form at Listowel?
Hopes Are High won here on his only previous visit to Listowel.
How many of the principals are habitual hold-up types?
Four of the five principals – Beauvallon, Adrienne, Hopes Are High and Combs – are usually held up and produce their effort late.
Which trainer has the strongest strike rate at Listowel among those represented?
W. P. Mullins has a 19% strike rate at Listowel from 765 runs.
Which runner is stepping up in trip from 1m1f?
Adrienne steps up from 1m1f for this first run at Listowel.
Which horse has a 0% strike rate for its trainer at Listowel?
Berto Ramirez has a 0% strike rate for its trainer at Listowel from 24 runs.
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