3:20 Killarney
The 3:20 at Killarney is a 2m6f180y Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle run on good ground with a field of 14. The KTB Fit ratings point to a competitive but somewhat open-looking race, with Inchidaly Copper heading the numbers on 71 and a cluster of others closely behind. Course form and trainer/jockey records at the track will be key factors given the steadily-run, tactical nature of the contest.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape lacks an obvious leader and is rated with medium confidence, pointing to a steadily-run, tactical affair in which being handy should pay. With the vast majority of the field having a held-up run style, the race is likely to develop into a test of timing from off the pace. The key question will be which horse can produce its effort at the right time in a race where the pace may not be strong enough to suit pronounced closers.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Inchidaly Copper KTB Selection71/100
Inchidaly Copper is a useful performer with solid course connections, having won two of his four starts here at Killarney. He steps up in trip today having won once from five attempts at this distance, though his recent form of 83P07 suggests he is not at his peak right now. The trainer has a 22% strike rate from nine runs at the track while the jockey is operating at 25% from eight rides. He has a 1-10 record on good ground with four placings and is the KTB Selection. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will need the steadily-run race to unfold favourably given the lack of an obvious leader. His course wins give him a clear edge in this field.
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2James The Brave68/100
James The Brave is a useful performer who won on his only previous visit to Killarney. He has a solid recent record and steps up in trip today having failed to win in three previous attempts at this distance. The trainer has a 14% strike rate from seven runs here while the jockey matches that figure from 22 rides. With a placed effort from his one run on good ground he should handle the conditions. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he will be looking to come from off the pace in what is expected to be a tactical contest. His course success makes him a major player once more.
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3King's Son54/100
King's Son is a fair performer who has been consistent enough without winning, placing on good ground and showing steady form in recent starts. The step up in trip is an unknown at this stage. Trainer has a strong 40% strike rate at Killarney though the jockey is still seeking his first win from 29 rides here. He has an official rating of 89 and recent form figures of -36675. Usually held up and producing his effort late with high confidence, he will need the race to develop in his favour given the steadily-run shape. His consistency keeps him in the mix despite the trip question.
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4Good World52/100
Good World is a useful performer on his day but has been out of form for most of this year and the recent 047 figures offer little encouragement. He drops back from 3m1f to a trip he has tried twice without success, while the first-time visit to Killarney adds another unknown. Trainer holds an 8% strike rate here from 74 runs and the 5lb claimer is still seeking his first winner at the track from 13 rides. With an OR of 100 he has the highest rating in the field but needs to rediscover his best. Usually held up, he will be produced late in a race that lacks an obvious leader.
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5Mane Attraction50/100
Mane Attraction is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings and race history. The yard has a solid 20% strike rate at Killarney from 25 runs while the jockey is operating at a 7% strike rate from 304 rides here. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 2m0½f and with only four career starts the going remains an unknown. Recent form reads /8060- and he carries an OR of 82. Usually held up with medium confidence, he will need to improve on what he has shown so far to feature at the business end of this steadily-run affair.
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6It's Not His Fault50/100
It's Not His Fault is a useful sort on the balance of his ratings and placed efforts yet has been well below that level on his last two starts. He drops back from 3m to a trip he has tried once without success while the yard and jockey both operate at a modest strike rate here. The small overall sample makes the going an unknown.
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7Ballyminnion Boy48/100
Ballyminnion Boy is a fair performer who has struggled since a promising start, finishing no better than sixth on his last four starts. Trainer and jockey both have solid records at Killarney and the yard has enough course experience to suggest they know what is required here. Trip looks a fair question having failed to land a blow in one previous attempt at this distance.
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8Tedworth47/100
Tedworth is a fair performer who has been consistent enough in recent starts without threatening to win. He has shown little at this track in two runs and has failed to place in 13 attempts on good ground or five at this trip. The trainer holds a modest record here while the jockey is also operating below par at Killarney.
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9Coolboy Christy47/100
Coolboy Christy is a useful performer who has been largely consistent without winning lately. Steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question while the yard's modest 6% strike rate at Killarney offers little encouragement. Jockey has too few rides here to draw any firm conclusions and the horse has never been to this track before.
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10Political Stance46/100
Political Stance is a fair sort who has shown ability on his day but has been well below form in both starts this year. He steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 2m1f and the first-time headgear is another unknown. The trainer holds a solid 13% strike rate at Killarney from a large sample while the jockey operates at 4% here.
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11Prophetess Miriam45/100
Prophetess Miriam is a fair mare who has struggled since a promising fourth on debut, finishing down the field in her last four starts including when eighth here over a similar trip. She steps up in distance today for a yard with a modest 9% strike rate at Killarney from 68 runs and a jockey operating at the same level from 57 rides. Course form is limited to that one run and the small overall sample makes going preferences hard to pin down.
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12Monntie45/100
Monntie is a useful performer who has shown steady form this year without winning. Steps up in trip today for the first time which asks a fresh question of him while he has never placed on good ground in six tries. The yard's modest 5% strike rate at Killarney and the jockey's 0% from 17 rides here add to the negatives.
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13Lakewood Rose43/100
Lakewood Rose is a useful mare who has shown some ability but has been out of form on her last two completed starts. She has no win or place from three runs on good ground and was well held when tried at this trip previously. The step back up in distance today asks a fresh question while both trainer and jockey have only tiny samples at Killarney.
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14Blackwater Soldier39/100
Blackwater Soldier is a fair performer on the balance of his ratings and race history. He has shown very little in four starts since a long absence and was well held when last seen at this track. The first-time headgear is an unknown and the trip remains a question mark after one unconvincing try.
KTB verdict
Inchidaly Copper is the KTB Selection. He brings the strongest course record to the race, having won two of four starts at Killarney, and the trainer and jockey both hold excellent strike rates at the track. Although his recent form is modest, the steadily-run pace shape should suit his usual held-up style if he can time his run effectively. James The Brave, successful on his sole previous visit here, is the most obvious danger, while King's Son and Good World cannot be entirely dismissed on their best days despite respective trip and form concerns.
KTB Selection Inchidaly Copper
This is the narrative read of the 3:20 Killarney. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Killarney racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Killarney results & records page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse has the strongest course record at Killarney?
Inchidaly Copper has won two of his four starts here.
How is the race expected to be run given the pace shape?
It lacks a leader and is likely to be a steadily-run, tactical affair where being handy pays.
Which trainer has the best strike rate at the track among those represented?
Seamus Neville has a 40% strike rate at Killarney from five runs.
Which runners are making their first visit to Killarney?
Good World, Mane Attraction, It's Not His Fault, Ballyminnion Boy, Coolboy Christy, Political Stance, Monntie and Blackwater Soldier have no course form on record.
Who steps up most markedly in trip?
Mane Attraction steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 2m0½f.
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