4:50 Leopardstown
A 12-runner Flat contest over 0m7f0y at Leopardstown (4:50), on Good going. KTB has scored every runner; the preview below reads the race off those numbers.
How the race shapes up
Not enough run-style evidence across the field to read the pace with confidence.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Vale Dos Pinheiros KTB Selection50/100
Vale Dos Pinheiros is a newcomer with no racecourse experience. The yard has a solid 9% strike rate at Leopardstown from 67 runs and an above-average A/E of 1.44, while the jockey is operating at a modest 4% from 160 rides here. With data confidence low everything else rests on the undisclosed sales and pedigree background.
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2Drive On There49/100
Drive On There is a newcomer from a yard that operates at a 25% strike rate at Leopardstown. The pedigree and sales background are the main clues here given the complete lack of racecourse form. W. J. Lee has an 8% strike rate at the track from a large sample of rides.
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3Walnut Cove48/100
Walnut Cove is a newcomer from the Aidan O'Brien yard which has a 20% strike rate from 2999 runs at Leopardstown. The booking of Paddy Harnett who has a 10% strike rate from 63 rides at the track adds some confidence. With no racecourse form and low data confidence the colt's chance will rest on his pedigree and sales background.
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4First Watch47/100
Placed third on debut over this trip at the course. The small sample means the form is hard to weigh up accurately and going suitability remains unknown. Trainer and jockey both have solid long-term records at Leopardstown.
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5Sinanli45/100
Sinanli is a newcomer with no racecourse experience so the assessment rests on pedigree and connections. The trainer has a modest 9% strike-rate at Leopardstown from a large sample while jockey Ben Coen sits at 7% from nearly 400 rides here. Data confidence is low given the complete lack of form.
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6Accumulation45/100
Accumulation is a newcomer from the Aidan O'Brien yard.
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7Maathoor45/100
First time headgear is applied for this debutant from a powerful yard that has a solid 10% strike rate at Leopardstown.
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8Imposing44/100
Imposing showed little on debut when finishing ninth over a mile.
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9Critical Reason44/100
Critical Reason showed little on debut when finishing ninth of 12 over this trip at the Curragh.
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10Ciarrai Oir43/100
Ciarrai Oir is a newcomer with no racecourse form to go on.
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11Cosmonaut41/100
Cosmonaut is a newcomer with no racecourse experience.
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12Smart Aleck41/100
Smart Aleck is a newcomer with very little known about his ability on the track.
KTB verdict
KTB's top-rated runner is Vale Dos Pinheiros on a Fit Score of 50/100. On our numbers the main dangers are Drive On There and Walnut Cove.
KTB Selection Vale Dos Pinheiros
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:22 UTC, 17 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Vale Dos Pinheiros | 50/1 | BetTom |
| Drive On There | 2/1 | BetTom |
| Walnut Cove | 14/1 | BetTom |
| First Watch | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Sinanli | 12/1 | Bet365 |
| Accumulation | 9/4 | Bet365 |
| Maathoor | 12/1 | BetTom |
| Imposing | 14/1 | BetTom |
| Critical Reason | 6/1 | Bet365 |
| Ciarrai Oir | 100/1 | Bet Victor |
| Cosmonaut | 66/1 | William Hill |
| Smart Aleck | 33/1 | BetTom |
This is the narrative read of the 4:50 Leopardstown. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Leopardstown racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Leopardstown results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Leopardstown racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which runner does KTB rate highest in the 4:50 at Leopardstown?
Vale Dos Pinheiros tops the KTB Fit ranking for this race on a score of 50/100.
How many runners are in this race?
12 runners are declared (non-runners excluded).
What is the going for the 4:50 at Leopardstown?
The going is described as Good.
What distance is this race run over?
It is run over 0m7f0y.
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