6:15 Wolverhampton (AW)
This Class 3 handicap over 6f20y at Wolverhampton on standard going brings together a competitive field of 13. The KTB Fit ratings are tightly bunched at the top, with Knebworth heading the list on 63, closely followed by Dandana and Kind Touch on 60, Artagnan on 59 and Kullazain on 58. Several runners are dropping in class while others step up, and with a strong pace expected the race could prove particularly testing for those racing prominently.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is strong with high confidence, driven by multiple habitual front-runners including Silent Strike, Style King, Saffron Dandy and Alfa Whiteburd. This suggests an early battle for the lead that is likely to test those up with the pace and could cause the race to collapse late. In such a scenario hold-up horses are favoured, and with most of the top KTB-rated runners adopting that patient approach the key question is which of the closers can time their run to best effect off the strong gallop.
The KTB Fit ranking
-
1Knebworth KTB Selection63/100
Knebworth tops the KTB Fit ratings on 63 and is the selection. A 6-year-old with an official rating of 90, he arrives in form having posted figures of 112003 and drops in class here. Usually held up and producing his effort late, he is suited by the likely strong pace which should set things up for his closing style. He has a solid record on standard going with 5 wins from 11 starts and has won at this course from 3 runs. The trainer has a 16% strike rate at Wolverhampton and the jockey a 10% strike rate, though the pair's combined record reads 4/56 with an A/E of 0.53.
-
2Dandana60/100
Dandana is rated just behind on a KTB Fit of 60. The 3-year-old carries an official rating of 89 and has shown consistent form of late with figures of 0-0424. He is usually held up and produces his effort late with high confidence in that run-style, which looks well suited to the anticipated strong pace. The trainer and jockey combination is in excellent form with a 17/52 record, an A/E of 1.23 and positive LSP of +£12.05. While he has limited experience on standard going with one run yielding no win or place and no course form on record, the yard's 21% strike rate at Wolverhampton and the jockey's 23% strike rate here add to his claims.
-
3Kind Touch60/100
Kind Touch shares a KTB Fit of 60. This 3-year-old is rated 86 officially and comes into the race with recent form of -37422, dropping in class. Usually held up with high confidence and producing his effort late, he should be ideally positioned if the strong pace materialises as expected. The trainer has a 14% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 1.41 while the jockey posts 16% with an A/E of 1.1. He is unproven on standard ground having had no runs on it, and has no course form on record, but the combination's overall record of 24/153 with an A/E of 1.02 suggests he remains a serious contender.
-
4Artagnan59/100
Artagnan is next with a KTB Fit of 59. Rated 83 officially, the 4-year-old has recent form figures of -24038 and is usually held up with high confidence, making his late effort. He has shown ability on standard going with 1 win from 3 starts and 3 places, and was placed on his only previous run here when finishing second. The trainer has a 12% strike rate at Wolverhampton with an A/E of 0.93 and the jockey 13% with an A/E of 0.88, their combined record reading 2/23 with an A/E of 1.39. His hold-up style should be favoured by the strong pace likely to unfold.
-
5Kullazain58/100
Kullazain completes the principals on a KTB Fit of 58. A 4-year-old rated 86, his recent form reads 81-376. Usually held up and producing his effort late with medium confidence in that assessment, he will hope the strong pace collapses in the closing stages. He has won at this course from 3 runs and has 1 win from 4 starts on standard going. The trainer's 19% strike rate at Wolverhampton and the jockey's 13% strike rate add interest, though their combined record is 28/126 with an A/E of 1.21 and a small negative LSP.
-
6Regal Envoy57/100
Regal Envoy has a KTB Fit of 57 and an official rating of 89. A 7-year-old dropping in class with recent form of 780520, he is usually held up with medium confidence. He has a strong record on standard going with 3 wins from 8 and has won at this course from 3 runs.
-
7Dark Cloud Rising57/100
Dark Cloud Rising is rated 57 on KTB Fit with an official rating of 90. The 4-year-old is dropping in class and has recent form of 132665. Usually racing prominently with medium confidence, he has 1 win from 3 on standard but has no course form on record.
-
8Purosangue56/100
Purosangue has a KTB Fit of 56 and an official rating of 87. A 5-year-old with recent form of 445899, he is usually held up with high confidence. He has had 1 run on standard with no win or place and has no course form on record.
-
9Silent Strike56/100
Silent Strike is rated 56 on KTB Fit with an official rating of 87. The 3-year-old is dropping in class with recent form of 21200. He tends to make the running or race on the pace with limited evidence and low confidence, and has been placed twice from 3 runs on standard but has no course form.
-
10Style King50/100
Style King has a KTB Fit of 50 and an official rating of 74. A 4-year-old stepping up in class with recent form of 122101, he tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence. He has won twice here from 8 runs and has 4 wins from 17 on standard.
-
11Saffron Dandy49/100
Saffron Dandy is rated 49 on KTB Fit with an official rating of 79. The 3-year-old is stepping up in class and has recent form of 668615. He tends to make the running or race on the pace with medium confidence, has won here from 1 run and has 2 wins from 4 on standard.
-
12Alfa Whiteburd48/100
Alfa Whiteburd has a KTB Fit of 48 and an official rating of 83. A 5-year-old stepping up in class with recent form of 111648, he tends to make the running or race on the pace with high confidence. He has 4 wins from 14 on standard but has shown no win or place from 3 runs here.
-
13Jax Edge47/100
Jax Edge is rated 47 on KTB Fit with an official rating of 76. The 6-year-old is stepping up in class and has recent form of 178236. Usually held up with high confidence, he has 2 wins from 6 on standard and has won here twice from 6 runs.
KTB verdict
Knebworth is the KTB Selection. He tops the Fit ratings, drops in class from an official rating of 90, and his held-up style is well suited to the strong pace that is likely to unfold. With a proven record on standard going and at this course he holds the strongest claims. The main dangers are the other patient runners Dandana, Kind Touch, Artagnan and Kullazain, all of whom are closely matched on the KTB numbers and could capitalise if the leaders overdo it in front.
KTB Selection Knebworth
Morning odds
Best available price per runner, captured 00:03 UTC, 19 Oct. These are a morning snapshot and will have moved — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Morning price | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Knebworth | 11/2 | Bet365 |
| Dandana | 7/1 | William Hill |
| Kind Touch | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Artagnan | 20/1 | William Hill |
| Kullazain | 12/1 | William Hill |
| Regal Envoy | 14/1 | William Hill |
| Dark Cloud Rising | 9/2 | Bet365 |
| Purosangue | 12/1 | William Hill |
| Silent Strike | 9/1 | Bet365 |
| Style King | 8/1 | William Hill |
| Saffron Dandy | 16/1 | 7Bet |
| Alfa Whiteburd | 33/1 | BoyleSports |
| Jax Edge | 9/1 | Bet365 |
This is the narrative read of the 6:15 Wolverhampton (AW). For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Wolverhampton (AW) racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Wolverhampton (AW) results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Wolverhampton (AW) racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Which horse is best suited by the expected strong pace?
Knebworth, Dandana, Kind Touch, Artagnan and Kullazain are all usually held up and produce their effort late, which should be favoured if the pace collapses.
How many front-runners are likely to contest the early lead?
At least four habitual front-runners in Silent Strike, Style King, Saffron Dandy and Alfa Whiteburd are set to ensure a strong pace.
Which horses are dropping in class for this race?
Knebworth, Kind Touch, Regal Envoy, Dark Cloud Rising and Silent Strike are all dropping in class.
Who has the strongest course record at Wolverhampton among the principals?
Knebworth and Kullazain have both won here, while Artagnan has been placed on his only run at the track.
Which trainer and jockey combination holds the best recent strike rate at Wolverhampton?
Simon & Ed Crisford and Oisin Murphy have a 17/52 record with an A/E of 1.23 at the track.
18+. Analysis and entertainment only — no guarantee of profit. KTB race previews are published for interest and are not betting advice. Only ever stake what you can comfortably afford to lose, and set your own limits. Free, confidential help: the National Gambling Helpline on 0808 8020 133 (GamCare.org.uk); in Ireland, the GamblingCare.ie helpline on 1800 936 725. Self-exclude at any time via GAMSTOP.
More from Kickthebookies