12:50 Sligo
The 12:50 at Sligo is a Fillies Maiden Hurdle over 2m1f158y on good to yielding ground, featuring a field of 17 largely unexposed or modest performers. With no standout standout in the official ratings and a spread of lightly-raced types making their hurdling debuts or returning from the Flat, the KTB Fit scores point to a race where experience and yard strength could prove decisive. Ronnie's Rascal heads the KTB rankings on the back of consistent placed form and the yard's strong record at the track.
How the race shapes up
The pace shape is muddling and tactical with medium confidence, as there is no obvious front-runner in the field. Several runners prefer to race prominently or in mid-division, which should see the race develop with a steady gallop and those positioned close to the pace holding an advantage. The key question is which horse can produce the strongest finishing effort in what is likely to be a steadily-run affair where positioning through the muddling early stages will be vital.
The KTB Fit ranking
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1Ronnie's Rascal KTB Selection64/100
Ronnie's Rascal is a useful performer who has shown consistent form this year with placed efforts on his last three starts. He drops back in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance on two of his three attempts. The yard have a 32% strike rate at Sligo from 234 runs which is above their 21% at other tracks while Brian Hayes has a 12% strike rate here from 92 rides in line with his record elsewhere. Rated 104, he has the best recent form in the field with figures of 6-4233 and has been competitive on good to yielding ground. Typically settling in midfield, he should be well placed to take advantage of the tactical pace. As the KTB Selection he brings the strongest combination of ability and yard support to this maiden.
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2Look At You57/100
Look At You showed fair promise when third on debut over 2m. He steps up in trip today which asks a fresh question, while the dam has produced just two other runners without a win between them. The trainer holds a 6% strike rate at Sligo from 18 runs and data confidence remains low given the small sample. With only one run to his name he remains lightly raced and unproven on good to yielding ground. He typically settles in midfield though the evidence is limited. Overall he rates as an interesting but unexposed contender in a race that may suit his run style given the muddling pace.
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3Cala Gracioneta56/100
Cala Gracioneta has shown only modest form in two recent runs after a lengthy break and now drops back in trip to one she has never tried. The yard records a 12% strike rate at Sligo from 43 runs, in line with their overall figure. Going form is limited to a single start on this surface with no win or place. Usually held up and producing her effort late, she should be suited by the tactical nature of the race if the pace collapses. The combination of the trainer-jockey partnership with a 9% strike rate together and the return to a shorter trip makes her one to monitor though her form remains modest.
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4Mystic Rose52/100
Mystic Rose has shown little in three starts this year and was well beaten on her only previous run at Sligo. The yard has a 20% strike rate at the track from 10 runs. She remains a modest performer on this ground and trip. Settling typically in midfield, she has some course experience though it was unplaced. With two runs on good to yielding ground without placing she brings limited appeal though the yard's record at Sligo offers a slight positive in an open-looking maiden.
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5River Moy52/100
River Moy has shown only modest form in four starts on the Flat with a best effort of fourth here over 2m. She now steps up markedly in trip for her first run over hurdles which asks a fresh question of her. The trainer's 4% strike rate at Sligo is in line with his overall record. Half-sister to Crying Lightning who won once from four runs, she has some pedigree pointers though the dam's record is mixed. Typically racing in midfield she could be suited by the muddling pace but her lack of hurdling experience and unproven stamina make this a significant step up.
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6Reponse Finale51/100
Reponse Finale has run 26 times without winning or placing and steps up markedly in trip today from 1m2f, so it is being asked a fresh question. The yard records a 13% strike rate at Sligo from 153 runs, in line with their overall figure. On good to yielding ground it has failed to place in four starts. Usually held up, the tactical pace may suit though the overall profile remains modest.
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7Real Lark50/100
Real Lark has shown little in two starts so far and remains very lightly raced with only low-confidence data available. The yard records an 11% strike rate at Sligo from 288 runs which is above their 6% at other tracks. She steps up markedly in trip today as a fresh question while her family has produced winners including half-sister Corran Cross. Racing typically in midfield, she is one of several with very limited form.
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8Meenvee50/100
Meenvee is a debutant with very limited information available. The dam has produced just one previous runner that failed to win, so the pedigree offers no real clues. Trainer John Patrick Ryan has an 11% strike rate at Sligo from 288 runs, which sits above his 6% at other tracks. By Mahler she represents a yard that does well at the venue but this is a big ask on debut.
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9Baby Pearl48/100
Baby Pearl has shown promise with a second on her most recent start after a modest debut. The step up in trip today asks a fresh question of this lightly-raced filly. Trainer Henry de Bromhead has an 11% strike rate at Sligo from 36 runs, in line with his record elsewhere. Typically settling in midfield she could be well positioned in a tactical race though the ground remains unproven.
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10Pat's Prodigies47/100
Pat's Prodigies has only one career run so the form picture is extremely thin. The yard records a 6% strike rate at Sligo from 255 runs which sits in line with their overall 5% across 9,530 runs elsewhere. Stepping up markedly in trip today asks a fresh question of a horse whose dam has produced just one winner from five foals to race. Usually held up, the lack of experience is a major concern.
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11Railwayview Lady47/100
Railwayview Lady has shown some ability in nine starts but steps up markedly in trip today having last run over 1m4f. The move to 2m1¾f is a fresh question and she remains unproven on good to yielding ground. Trainer Gavin Cromwell has a 13 percent strike rate at Sligo from 153 runs in line with his record elsewhere while this is Keith Donoghue's first ride at the track. Usually held up she may need the race to fall apart late.
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12Faerie Tales46/100
Faerie Tales is a fair four-year-old with consistent placed form at a lower level and an official rating of 86. The yard has a 23% strike rate at Sligo from 13 runs. Stepping up in trip for the first time today asks a fresh question while the going remains unknown from a small sample. Usually racing prominently she could be advantaged by the muddling pace though overall form is modest for this level.
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13Casheldale Lass44/100
Casheldale Lass has shown little in two starts this year and was well held on her only previous run here. The yard has a 0% strike rate from 19 runs at Sligo while the trip is a step up from her recent 1m2f efforts and she has failed to place in one previous attempt at it. The going also produced no joy on her sole try. Racing prominently she may go forward but the overall profile is limited.
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14Ragstoriches43/100
Lightly raced after just one run this season so any assessment has to be tentative. The yard records an 8% strike rate at Sligo from 126 runs which sits in line with their 6% elsewhere. Steps up markedly in trip today which remains an open question. Usually held up with limited evidence, she is another with plenty to prove in a competitive maiden.
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15Idomything42/100
Idomything has shown little in 21 starts and was beaten a long way on its only previous run on good-to-yielding ground. The yard records a 3% strike rate at Sligo from 77 runs, in line with its 4% elsewhere. Stepping up markedly in trip for the first time today asks a fresh question of a horse that remains largely unexposed. Typically held up she is hard to fancy on what she has shown so far.
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16Everin Dream41/100
Everin Dream has only one career run behind her so the form is impossible to weigh up with any confidence. She steps up markedly in trip today which asks a fresh question, while the going remains unknown given the tiny sample. The family has produced winners but that is the only real pointer available from a very light profile. Usually held up she adds to the depth of unexposed types.
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17Gratitudeforgrace41/100
Gratitudeforgrace has shown little in four starts so far with form figures of 0769 and remains a maiden. The trip is a fresh question today after racing over 2m last time. Gordon Elliott has a 16% strike rate at Sligo from 286 runs in line with his record elsewhere while the small sample on this going means suitability stays unknown. Typically settling in midfield she is one of the yard's lesser lights here.
KTB verdict
Ronnie's Rascal stands out as the KTB Selection in a race where the muddling pace should play to his strengths. His consistent placed efforts this year, official rating of 104 and the powerful Mullins yard's 32% strike rate at Sligo give him a clear edge over rivals who are mostly modestly performing or stepping into the unknown. Look At You and Cala Gracioneta are the most likely dangers if they can build on their limited form, while the likes of Baby Pearl and Faerie Tales add further depth in what remains an open Fillies Maiden Hurdle.
KTB Selection Ronnie's Rascal
Early prices
The best price per runner across the bookmakers we track, each as first seen (UK time). Every runner had a price by 1:35am, 23 Oct. Prices move — see the live racecard for current prices.
| Runner | Early price | Bookmaker, time |
|---|---|---|
| Ronnie's Rascal | 15/8 | BetTom, 1:02am |
| Look At You | 10/1 | Bet Victor, 1:02am |
| Cala Gracioneta | 9/1 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Mystic Rose | 16/1 | BetTom, 1:02am |
| River Moy | 40/1 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Reponse Finale | 14/1 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Real Lark | 50/1 | BetTom, 1:02am |
| Meenvee | 28/1 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Baby Pearl | 10/3 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Pat's Prodigies | 50/1 | BetTom, 1:02am |
| Railwayview Lady | 7/2 | BetTom, 1:02am |
| Faerie Tales | 28/1 | BetTom, 1:02am |
| Casheldale Lass | 10/1 | Bet Victor, 1:02am |
| Ragstoriches | 100/1 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Idomything | 66/1 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Everin Dream | 100/1 | Bet365, 1:02am |
| Gratitudeforgrace | 28/1 | BetTom, 1:02am |
This is the narrative read of the 12:50 Sligo. For the live card — runner-by-runner stats, the full Fit Score breakdown and current odds — see the Sligo racecard. Every result we hold for the track is on the Sligo results & records page. How favourites, trainers, jockeys and the draw have fared here over the last five years is on the Sligo racecourse statistics page. New here? How KTB works explains the Fit Score and why we publish both.
Questions about this race
Why is Ronnie's Rascal the KTB Selection?
Ronnie's Rascal is a useful performer who has shown consistent form this year with placed efforts on his last three starts. He drops back in trip today having been placed without winning at this distance on two of his three attempts. The yard have a 32% strike rate at Sligo from 234 runs which is above their 21% at other tracks.
How does the pace shape influence the race?
The pace shape is muddling and tactical with no obvious front-runner. It should suit those ridden close to the pace with several runners settling in mid-division or prominently. The key question is which horse can produce the strongest finishing effort in what is likely to be a steadily-run affair.
Which runners are stepping up markedly in trip?
Look At You, Reponse Finale, Real Lark, Pat's Prodigies, Railwayview Lady, Casheldale Lass, Ragstoriches, Idomything, Everin Dream and Gratitudeforgrace are all stepping up markedly in trip which asks a fresh question of each.
What is the yard record of the trainer of the selection at Sligo?
The yard have a 32% strike rate at Sligo from 234 runs which is above their 21% at other tracks.
Which horses have course form at Sligo?
Mystic Rose has one run at Sligo when 12th with no win or place. River Moy has one run at Sligo when 4th with no win or place. Casheldale Lass has one run at Sligo when 8th with no win or place.
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