Horse profile
American Bay (GB)
by New Bay (GB) out of All I Need (IRE) (Peintre Celebre)
30 runs · 16 courses · from Jul 2023
As at 4 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Thirsk & Redcar
Headgear returns LTO
Last run 16 Oct 2026 · 13th of 14
Last raced off OR 70
KTB Profile
American Bay is 2 from 30 with both wins at Class 5 level, one at Thirsk under 6f on good to firm in Jun 2025 and one at Redcar over 6f-7f on good to firm in Sep 2024. Both came on turf where he is 2 from 23 while he is 0 from 7 on all-weather. He usually races held up. His last run, at Haydock in Oct 2026, was 13 of 14 off an official rating of 70, 13lb below his highest ever mark, and headgear returned.
Based on 30 archived runs · run-style from 23 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 4 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically prominent
All wins on turf
Wins on good or faster
All wins at Class 5
OR ↓ 13lb off peak
- 2–30Wins / Runs
- 6.7%Strike rate
- 9 (30%)Placed
- −15.70£1 level staken=30 at SP
- 0.46Fair A/E n=30 · 0.39 incl. margin
- 83Highest OR
- 22dBetween runs (median)longest 186 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating70↓ 13lb off peak
70
70–83
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 101
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 11 | 103A | 88 | 3 runs · 103 / 95 |
| Good to Firm | 9 | 123A | 101 | 3 runs · 123 / 101 |
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 113A | 101 | 3 runs · 113 / 109 |
| Heavy | 2 | 71A | 62.5 | 2 runs · 71 / 62.5 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 15 | 115C | 88 | 1 run · — |
| Under 6f | 14 | 123A | 101 | 10 runs · 123 / 98 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 30 figures from 30 runs · as at 24 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 23 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 13 (57%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 5 (22%) · 0 wins
- Held up 3 (13%) · 0 wins
- Led 2 (9%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,995 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 587 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | 2 from 9 |
| Good | 996 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 11 |
| Good to Soft | 471 | 70 | 14.9% | +0.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Soft | 629 | 81 | 12.9% | −1.4 | — |
| Heavy | 183 | 27 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,121 | 161 | 14.4% | +0.1 | 0 from 7 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | 1 from 14 |
| 6f – 7f | 1,185 | 183 | 15.4% | +1.1 | 1 from 15 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,283 | 165 | 12.9% | −1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,094 | 165 | 15.1% | +0.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 272 | 40 | 14.7% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 54 | 7 | 13% | −1.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
All I Need (IRE) (Peintre Celebre)
2 siblings in the archive, 0 winners.
Family form: Westender (GB) finished 2nd of 16 at Leicester, 26 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Westender (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Mazikeen (FR) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| Good to Firm | 9 | 2 | 22% | +5.30 |
| Standard (AW) | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 18 | 0 | 0% | −18.00 |
| Class 5 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +7.30 |
| Class 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thirsk | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.00 |
| Haydock | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newbury | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Redcar | 2 | 1 | 50% | −0.70 |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 15 | 1 | 7% | −13.70 |
| Under 6f | 14 | 1 | 7% | −1.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Nolan | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Jason Hart | 3 | 1 | 33% | +10.00 |
| David Probert | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Tom Eaves | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Callan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aiden Brookes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Winn | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Barry McHugh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Joe Fanning | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Finley Marsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Rodriguez | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.30 |
| Pat Dobbs | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Trevor Whelan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Callum Shepherd | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 28 | 2 | 7% | −13.70 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 0 | 0% | −11.00 |
| 2025 | 9 | 1 | 11% | +4.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −4.70 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 11 runs | ||||||||||
| 16 Oct 26+27d | Haydock | Shape Engineering Handicap Stakes Mid-pack early - drifted left under pressure 2f out - out of the contest and finished 13th | 13/14 | 6 | 9-4 | 70 | 54C | 58C | Tom Eaves | 50/1 |
| 19 Sep 26+15d | Newcastle (AW) | Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap Stakes Held up in the pack - driven with over 2f out - dropped away inside final furlong | 7/10 | 1¾ | 9-6 | 72 | 85A | 71A | David Nolan | 7/1 |
| 04 Sep 26+22d | Haydock | Aesterius At Bearstone Stud Handicap Stakes Settled with the main group - squeezed for space approaching final furlong - dropped away close home to finish 9th | 9/11 | 2½ | 9-4 | 72 | 71A | 49A | David Nolan | 11/2 |
| 13 Aug 26+12d | Beverley | Connexin Super Fast Sprint Handicap Stakes Held a forward position early - drifted left approaching the final furlong - lost ground rapidly close home - finished seventh beaten 4½ lengths | 7/10 | nk | 9-8 | 74 | 101B | 78A | Jason Hart | 7/4F |
| 01 Aug 26+21d | Thirsk | Jordan Foy Memorial Handicap Stakes Settled in the pack - urged to third approaching 2f out then drifted left under pressure inside the final furlong - held for pace late finishing 5th | 5/12 | 1 | 9-7 | 76 | 103A | 85A | Jack Callan | 100/30 |
| 11 Jul 26+21d | York | John Smith's Sprint Handicap Well placed early - came under the whip 2f out and lost touch with the pace | 13/19 | hd | 9-5 | 76 | 96C | 79A | Jason Hart | 17/2 |
| 20 Jun 26+20d | Redcar | Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Handicap Settled in the pack early - urged forward two out - found renewed energy to close late - moved into second close home - held on for the runner-up spot | 2/9 | 1¼ | 8-4 | 76 | 95A | 102A | Aiden Brookes | 11/1 |
| 31 May 26+29d | Thirsk | Sky Bet Club Handicap Held up at back - urged into effort before halfway - stayed on late finish without threatening leaders | 7/17 | 1 | 9-1 | 77 | 91C | 87A | Mark Winn | 12/1 |
| 02 May 26+39d | Thirsk | Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Handy early with the pack - faded and drifted right approaching final furlong - responded and closed late but squeezed for space - stayed on to finish fifth | 5/10 | ½ | 8-11 | 78 | 123A | 90A | Barry McHugh | 12/1 |
| 24 Mar 26+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap Sat close up early - pushed into command approaching final furlong then drifted left - pressed late as rival closed - caught right on the line | 2/6 | shd | 9-7 | 77 | 109A | 88B | Billy Loughnane | 2/1F |
| 09 Mar 26+167d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap Sat behind front pack - driven forward with a furlong left and pressed for the runner-up spot - narrowly missed out close home to finish third | 3/7 | hd | 9-6 | 77 | 113A | 82A | Billy Loughnane | 9/2 |
| 2025 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 23 Sep 25+46d | Southwell (AW) | Golf And Gallop Handicap (Div 2) Sat close to front group early - pushed along with two furlongs left - unable to close final furlong - finished sixth | 6/9 | ¾ | 9-4 | 77 | 101A | 81A | David Nolan | 11/1 |
| 08 Aug 25+13d | Thirsk | New William Hill, Market Place, Thirsk Handicap Sat close to front pack early - pushed to the front inside final furlong - caught right on the line | 2/10 | hd | 10-0 | 75 | 110B | 98A | David Nolan | 7/2 |
| 26 Jul 25+21d | York | Sky Bet 'Jump Jockeys' Nunthorpe' Handicap Settled towards the back through middle stages - improved into contention inside final two furlongs - effort ebbed away close home to finish seventh | 7/19 | nk | 11-8 | 76 | 69C | 98A | Sam Twiston-Davies | 28/1 |
| 05 Jul 25+18d | Haydock | Eachway Extra At bet365 Handicap Tracked pace-setter early - drifted left under pressure inside final 2f - bumped soon after - dropped away late | 11/15 | 4¾ | 9-5 | 76 | 88C | 65A | Paul Mulrennan | 11/1 |
| 17 Jun 25+38d | Thirsk | Download The New BresBet App Handicap Sat close to the pace early - drifted left approaching the furlong marker before being pushed out to challenge - got up close home to win | 1/7 | 9-7 | 73 | 104A | 97A | Jason Hart | 12/1 | |
| 10 May 25+10d | Haydock | Pertemps Handicap Sent to the front early - challenged for command and pushed along with 2f remaining where overtaken - weakened approaching the final furlong to finish 8th | 8/12 | 3½ | 9-4 | 75 | 83C | 72A | Joe Fanning | 28/1 |
| 30 Apr 25+13d | Pontefract | Tuffa Boots Supports The NHC Handicap Tracked leading group early - urged forward with 2f left - dropped away inside final furlong - eventually finished sixth | 6/7 | 5½ | 9-8 | 77 | 88A | 58A | David Nolan | 18/1 |
| 17 Apr 25+24d | Ripon | Armstrong Memorial Handicap Sat close to the front early - asked for effort with over 2f remaining and quickly lost fluency - faded through the closing stages to finish 13th | 13/13 | 4¼ | 9-2 | 78 | 70C | 48C | David Nolan | 13/2 |
| 24 Mar 25+163d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Weekly 5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap Sat close to the front group early - pressed for effort a furlong out - kept going without extra gear late - finished 6th beaten 3.5 lengths | 6/9 | ½ | 9-3 | 79 | 99A | 83A | David Nolan | 28/1 |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 12 Oct 24+25d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Betfair Exchange Beacons Handicap (Div 2) Restrained at the back - progress wide in the straight and stayed on - never able to threaten for a place | 5/9 | nk | 9-11 | 80 | 102A | 86A | Finley Marsh | 9/4 |
| 17 Sep 24+19d | Redcar | Watch RacingTV Free For 31 Days Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Set the pace from the start - drifted right on the move approaching 2f out then drifted left once well ahead in the final furlong - won without any real pressure | 1/8 | 9-7 | 80 | 64A | 97A | Callum Rodriguez | 30/100F | |
| 29 Aug 24+69d | Newbury | Play The BetVictor Predictor Now Handicap Settled just off the pace early - made progress with a furlong left and pushed along once in space - dropped into 4th close home beaten 2.5 lengths | 4/16 | 1½ | 9-10 | 81 | 115C | 96A | Pat Dobbs | 8/1 |
| 21 Jun 24+42d | Goodwood | Degen Distillery X Jaspercool Handicap | 5/7 | 1½ | 9-7 | 82 | 82B | 79A | Trevor Whelan | 3/1F |
| 10 May 24+21d | Ascot | Peroni Nastro Azzurro 0.0% Style Handicap | 4/5 | nk | 8-10 | 83 | 68C | 77B | Callum Shepherd | 2/1J |
| 19 Apr 24+186d | Newbury | Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises Handicap (Str) | 4/8 | 1¾ | 8-13 | 83 | 114A | 88A | David Probert | 9/2 |
| 2023 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 16 Oct 23+37d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) | 2/11 | nk | 9-7 | 81 | 97A | 89A | Kevin Stott | 15/8F |
| 09 Sep 23+30d | Ascot | ROR Horses For Courses British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/9 | 4¾ | 9-4 | — | 76A | 91A | Daniel Muscutt | 10/3 |
| 10 Aug 23+19d | Salisbury | Rumble Inthejungle Standing At Norman Court Stud British EBF Novice Stakes (Div 2) | 2/9 | nse | 9-2 | — | 90A | 99A | David Probert | 22/1 |
| 22 Jul 23 | Newbury | bet365 EBF Novice Stakes (Div 1) | 9/10 | 3½ | 9-2 | — | 68A | 64A | David Probert | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has American Bay won?
- American Bay (GB) won 2 of 30 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 6.7%. Placed 9 times in total (30% of starts).
- Who trains American Bay?
- American Bay (GB) is trained by Paul Midgley, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 16 October 2026.
- Who is American Bay's sire?
- American Bay (GB) is by New Bay (GB) out of All I Need (IRE), whose sire is Peintre Celebre.
- What going does American Bay prefer?
- American Bay (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 2 wins from 9 starts (22.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is American Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 70, from the run on 16 October 2026. The highest on record is 83.
- What is American Bay's sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 3,995 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are American Bay's siblings?
- Out of All I Need (IRE), American Bay (GB) has 2 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Nov 2026.