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Jockey profile

Danny Mullins

6,975 rides in the lifetime window · 2,999 individual horses
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
In form — 3 winners last 14 days Last ride 5 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it
658–6,975
Wins / Runs
9.4%
Strike rate
n=6,975
1,874 (27%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=6,975 · 0.82 incl. margin
−1,798.40
£1 level stake
n=6,975 at SP · −25.8%
£16.8m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 370 times a season, winning on 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 15% (720 rides). The rider is in form now — 3 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 6,975 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance 32.1% when favourite W P Mullins: 15.4% from 1,220 LTO winners: 15.4% Rides the favourite in 8% of races
The read

It is weakest at Wexford (0% over 57 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.4% (n=720, Fair A/E 1.02). Right now the rider is firing: 3 winners from 16 rides in the last 14 days (18.8%, 9.4pts above the 9.4% baseline). W P Mullins supplies 17% of the rides and beats the rider's average (15.4% vs 9.4%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 120 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle at Cheltenham (Mar 2022, £182,878). The standout partner of the record: Presenting Mahler (IRE) — 5 wins from 47 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.6%−1.8
n=3,001 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −1,013.55
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
15.4%+6.0
n=720 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −56.16
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
8.7%−0.7
n=1,414 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −353.72
When favourite
32.1%
n=585 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −88.18
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.2%−2.2
n=893 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −321.14
Big fields · 14+ runners
7%−2.4
n=3,466 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −1,139.54
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
10.5%+1.1
n=1,138 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −148.09

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Richard John O'Brien 21.6% vs 9.4% · n=37
With W P Mullins 15.4% vs 9.4% · n=1,220
With debutants 1.9% vs 9.4% · n=207
On last-time-out winners 15.4% vs 9.4% · n=720
At Wexford 0% vs 9.4% · n=57
With James Daniel Dullea 18.6% vs 9.4% · n=59
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 4,176 373 8.9% −1,181.72
Chase 1,769 210 11.9% −222.38
Flat 1,003 74 7.4% −393.30
NH Flat 27 1 3.7% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 2,556 226 8.8% −739.99
Good 1,822 192 10.5% −199.14
Heavy 1,187 133 11.2% −321.02
Good to Soft 887 75 8.5% −247.82
Good to Firm 281 20 7.1% −141.91
Standard (AW) 227 10 4.4% −147.02
Firm 15 2 13.3% −1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Punchestown 621 56 9% −157.69
Fairyhouse 523 59 11.3% −102.74
Leopardstown 353 31 8.8% −108.82
Cork 348 33 9.5% −66.88
Tramore 340 43 12.6% −82.08
Limerick 328 46 14% −81.92
Galway 321 27 8.4% −95.37
Gowran Park 316 27 8.5% −81.36
Clonmel 307 32 10.4% −87.54
Navan 302 21 7% −164.70
Thurles 266 16 6% −174.64
Ballinrobe 241 33 13.7% +140.28
Killarney 233 23 9.9% −59.86
Naas 225 22 9.8% −109.64
Listowel 212 22 10.4% −10.64

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1,151 123 10.7% −122.09
Class 4 27 2 7.4% −16.50
Class 2 24 0 0% −24.00
Class 5 22 3 13.6% −0.38
Class 3 13 3 23.1% +48.00
Class 6 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 684 206 30.1% 1.07 −100.18
2nd–3rd fav 1,441 214 14.9% 0.98 −282.12
4th–6th fav 2,045 160 7.8% 1.08 −215.60
7th+ in betting 2,805 78 2.8% 0.89 −1,200.50
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.1% completed · 5,945 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 1,769 82.1% 80 21 208 4 3
Hurdle 4,176 90.7% 93 11 260 14 12
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Presenting Mahler (IRE) 47 5 12 25 Sep 20
Battling Boru (IRE) 33 4 10 25 Oct 15
Draycott Place (IRE) 27 3 8 5 Oct 18
Marlay Park (IRE) 27 2 11 18 Jan 13
Shantou Sisu (IRE) 25 4 9 6 Oct 23
Tongie (IRE) 24 2 6 19 Jan 21
Agusta Gold (IRE) 23 4 15 6 Aug 22
Bitview Colin (IRE) 23 4 10 4 Jun 22
Dark Outsider (IRE) 21 5 11 7 Oct 19
Kylecrue (IRE) 20 4 8 8 Dec 18
Cluan Dara (IRE) 19 2 4 25 May 23
Kilcarry Bridge (IRE) 19 3 7 20 Jul 18
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 2,999 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form
3 from 16 18.8% · +9.4pts vs baseline
Last 14 days18.8%
Lifetime base9.4%
Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
129691011991110810
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardW P Mullins
17% of all rides
15.4% SR · A/E 1.10
TrainerRWSR£1
W P Mullins 1,220 188 15.4% −167.84
Ms Margaret Mullins 578 69 11.9% −86.54
Anthony Mullins 540 50 9.3% −141.41
John Patrick Ryan 534 53 9.9% −84.78
John Joseph Hanlon 221 20 9% −53.68
Thomas Mullins 195 17 8.7% −16.35
P A Fahy 192 13 6.8% −84.45
W J Lanigan 128 15 11.7% +53.75
R Donohoe 77 8 10.4% −32.17
J P Flavin 65 3 4.6% −35.75
Paul Hennessy 61 3 4.9% −9.80
James Daniel Dullea 59 11 18.6% +19.75
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
658
Archived wins
120
Pattern / graded wins
£16.8m
Prize money
2024
Best season · 55 wins
Flooring Porter (IRE) — Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2022 · Grade 1
£182,878
Tornado Flyer (IRE) — Ladbrokes King George Vi Chase (Grade 1) (gbb Race) Kempton · Dec 2021 · Grade 1
£143,045
Flooring Porter (IRE) — Paddy Power Stayers' Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Mar 2021 · Grade 1
£135,048
Notable horses
Presenting Mahler (IRE) Dark Outsider (IRE) Rock And Roll Kid (IRE) Clarach (IRE) Down In Neworleans (IRE) Stormy Ireland (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 13.4% · 21–157
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,902 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Beneficial (GB) 8.5% · 13–153
Progeny have won 10.4% of 17,047 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 13.2% · 20–151
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,544 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Flemensfirth (USA) 14.1% · 20–142
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,297 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Milan (GB) 9.2% · 12–131
Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,893 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).
Shantou (USA) 9.6% · 11–114
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,849 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 6,975 · newest first

The latest 50 of 6,975 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 May 2008 to 10 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Garrison Gold (IRE)T: Ms Margaret Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle17f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran RO 3/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Spanish John (IRE)T: P A Fahy Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 14th 9/1
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Ophelia Hall (IRE)T: Ms Margaret Mullins Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle18.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 3rd 5/2
09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Moorish Castle (IRE)T: P A Fahy Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 10th 9/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Bertutea (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Into Kildare Beginners Steeplechase16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran F 22/1
08 Nov 26 Naas (IRE) Daboya (IRE)T: R Donohoe Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 20f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 14th 11/1
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) A Snow White Park (IRE)T: Ms Margaret Mullins Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 4/5F
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Figero (IRE)T: Thomas Mullins GAIN Equine Nutrition Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 8th 16/1
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Morris From Mayo (IRE)T: R Donohoe PRL Group Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 8th 250/1
07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Build A Bridge (IRE)T: Rory Anthony Devine Gerry Comerford Drilling Beginners Steeplechase20f · Good · 10 ran 1st 6/4F
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Kappa Jy Pyke (FR)T: W. P. Mullins Clonmel Oil Steeplechase (Grade 2)Class 1 · 21f · Good To Yielding · 3 ran 1st 2/9F
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) A Snow White Park (IRE)T: Ms Margaret Mullins T.A. Morris Memorial Irish EBF Mares Steeplechase (Listed)Class 1 · 21f · Good To Yielding · 4 ran 1st 8/11F
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) The Cobblers Wife (IRE)T: Anthony Mullins Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (0-100)20f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 9/4F
04 Nov 26 Wexford (IRE) Zara's Dream (IRE)T: W. P. Mullins Racing Tv Free Trial For A Month Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 2nd 100/30
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Ballinaboola Jet (IRE)T: R Donohoe William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 14th 16/1
03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Kazbek (IRE)T: Peter Fahey William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 15th 100/30
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Crypto Crash (GB)T: David Kenneth Budds Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 1st 16/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Streamhill (IRE)T: Padraig Butler Paddy Power 'Did You Watch The Breeders Cup At All?' Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 19 ran 7th 12/1
01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Pinkarizon (IRE)T: Padraig Butler Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran PU 25/1
31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Antrim Coast (IRE)T: Rory Anthony Devine Start Your Racing TV Free Trial Now Handicap Steeplechase24f · Good · 12 ran 10th 7/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 6 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 1) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 3 runs (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 1) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Danny Mullins's strike rate?
Danny Mullins has won 658 of 6,975 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Danny Mullins do best at?
Limerick by strike rate: 46 wins from 328 rides (14%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Danny Mullins ride most for?
W P Mullins, with 1,220 rides since 2008 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 188 (15.4%).
Is Danny Mullins in form?
In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 3 winners, a strike rate of 18.8%. That is above the baseline of 9.4% since 2008.
What is Danny Mullins's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 6,975 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).