David Parkes
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 70 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.74). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 16% (57 rides).
The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (10.5%, n=95), clear of the rider's 6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 15.8% (n=57, Fair A/E 1.01), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.1% (n=92, Fair A/E 0.19). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.55 and −83.75 to a £1 stake over 110 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Jeremy Gask supplied 32% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.7%, A/E 0.62). The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (22.2%, n=45) and off a 31-60-day break (10.3%, n=78). The record read poorly on Good to Firm going — 1.4% over 71 rides, 4.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.26 across 63 rides (1.6% strike, −58.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the rider fired Jan–Mar.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2010→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 552 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 552 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 March 2010 to 6 May 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is David Parkes's strike rate?
- David Parkes has won 33 of 552 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does David Parkes do best at?
- Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 10 wins from 95 rides (10.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does David Parkes ride most for?
- Jeremy Gask, with 176 rides since 2008 — 32% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (5.7%).
- What is David Parkes's Fair A/E?
- 0.74, from 548 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.