No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 50 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.29).
Deterministic profile computed from 142 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
The read
Claiming rides have been a poor signal at 7.8% (n=102, Fair A/E 0.96). The market has also underrated the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 1.29 across 50 rides (14% strike, +5.60 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 3% over 33 rides, 9pts below the baseline.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
10.7%−1.3
n=84 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +56.38
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
30.8%+18.8
n=13 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −4.47
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
20%+8.0
n=20 · A/E 3.59 · £1 +113.00
When favourite
55.6%
n=9 · A/E 1.65 · £1 +1.65
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
7.8%−4.2
n=102 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −4.14
Big fields · 14+ runners
13.3%+1.3
n=30 · A/E 2.66 · £1 +78.50
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Over 1m – 1m1f3% vs 12% · n=33
When claiming7.8% vs 12% · n=102
On Standard (AW) going8.2% vs 12% · n=49
On Good to Firm going14.9% vs 12% · n=47
Off a 8-14-day break14.3% vs 12% · n=49
In Class 514% vs 12% · n=50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)4948.2%−8.52
Good to Firm47714.9%+90.17
Good23417.4%+20.50
Good to Soft12216.7%−4.12
Firm500%−5.00
Soft500%−5.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)15320%+23.38
Lingfield (AW)1100%−11.00
Chelmsford (AW)800%−8.00
Wolverhampton (AW)8112.5%−5.90
Leicester800%−8.00
Southwell (AW)700%−7.00
Doncaster7228.6%+7.67
Nottingham6116.7%+2.00
Newbury500%−5.00
Salisbury5120%+12.00
Thirsk5240%+2.50
Yarmouth5120%+36.00
Goodwood400%−4.00
Newmarket400%−4.00
Windsor400%−4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 663812.7%+89.43
Class 550714%+5.60
Class 42114.8%−8.00
Class 36116.7%+2.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite14642.9%1.48+2.15
2nd–3rd fav2528%0.52−17.12
4th–6th fav36513.9%1.86+23.00
7th+ in betting6746%1.54+79.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f61813.1%+99.00
6f – 7f37410.8%−0.52
1m – 1m1f3313%−12.00
Under 6f6116.7%−0.50
1m5f – 2m5360%+1.05
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20085347.5%+13.48
200974810.8%+63.00
201015533.3%+10.55
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1291511.6%+95.55
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners5247.7%+7.38
8-10 runners40410%+0.00
14-16 runners23417.4%+85.50
5-7 runners18422.2%+0.77
17+ runners700%−7.00
2-4 runners2150%+0.38
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 89 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0172211015227130013
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bazergan (IRE) — George Kilburn Memorial Handicap Beverley · Aug 2009 · Class 3
£7,642
Grandad Bill (IRE) — Play Live Casino At Betinternet.com Apprentice Handicap York · Sep 2009 · Class 5
£5,051
Valmari (IRE) — Cwu Legal Services Handicap Doncaster · Jun 2009 · Class 4
Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).
Lend A Hand (GB)10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,088 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 11.5% from 130. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 188.
Primo Valentino (IRE)12.5% · 1–8
Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,160 runs since 2008 (78 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.6% from 132. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.2% from 181. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 3.3% from 183.
King's Best (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.
Lujain (USA)0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.
Cape Cross (IRE)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 170 · newest first
The latest 50 of 170 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 15 August 2005 to 2 September 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Debra England's strike rate?
Debra England has won 17 of 142 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Debra England's Fair A/E?
1.29, from 142 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Debra England·SR 12%·A/E 1.29
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