What is Edward Greatrex's strike rate?

Edward Greatrex has won 366 of 2,947 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Edward Greatrex do best at?

Lingfield by strike rate: 13 wins from 69 rides (18.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Edward Greatrex ride most for?

Archie Watson, with 372 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (17.2%).

Is Edward Greatrex in form?

In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.7%. That is below the baseline of 12.4% since 2008.

What is Edward Greatrex's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 2,926 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Edward Greatrex

2,947 rides in the lifetime window · 1,666 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 8 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

366–2,947

Wins / Runs

12.4%

Strike rate

n=2,947

903 (31%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=2,926 · 0.92 incl. margin

−245.97

£1 level stake

n=2,947 at SP · −8.3%

£4.20m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.5%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 160 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.07). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 20% (342 rides). The rider is quiet just now — 1 winner in the last fortnight, below their own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,947 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jul–Sep 34.4% when favourite Archie Watson: 17.2% from 372 LTO winners: 19.6% Rides the favourite in 12% of races

The read

It is weakest at Newmarket (2.4% over 41 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19.6% (n=342, Fair A/E 1.04), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.9% (n=85, Fair A/E 0.71). Right now the rider is in a quiet spell: 1 from 15 rides in the last 14 days (6.7%, 5.7pts below the 12.4% baseline). Archie Watson supplies 13% of the rides and edges the rider's average (17.2% vs 12.4%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (20.4%, n=167). 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Balmoral Handicap at Ascot (Oct 2015, £155,625). Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Sep.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

11.3%−1.1

n=1,666 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −77.14

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

19.6%+7.2

n=342 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −22.92

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.5%−2.9

n=399 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −23.27

When favourite

34.4%

n=346 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −30.58

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.3%−1.1

n=780 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −33.17

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.8%−5.6

n=351 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +30.10

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.9%−6.5

n=85 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −41.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Saeed bin Suroor 32.3% vs 12.4% · n=31

On last-time-out winners 19.6% vs 12.4% · n=342

Off a 0-7-day break 20.4% vs 12.4% · n=167

At Newmarket 2.4% vs 12.4% · n=41

With Andrew Balding 18.9% vs 12.4% · n=111

With Jack Channon 18.4% vs 12.4% · n=125

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,946 366 12.4% −244.97

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,330 161 12.1% −218.70

Good to Firm 603 77 12.8% −30.93

Good 497 70 14.1% +9.69

Good to Soft 216 23 10.6% −87.41

Soft 193 22 11.4% +110.68

Heavy 69 6 8.7% −24.50

Firm 39 7 17.9% −4.80

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 405 58 14.3% −8.79

Kempton (AW) 347 37 10.7% −60.83

Lingfield (AW) 221 26 11.8% −44.39

Chepstow 157 19 12.1% −48.79

Chelmsford City (AW) 156 16 10.3% −59.87

Southwell (AW) 145 19 13.1% −18.75

Bath 128 15 11.7% −39.87

Windsor 117 19 16.2% +42.03

Brighton 101 10 9.9% −60.98

Newbury 84 9 10.7% −11.12

Leicester 83 12 14.5% +96.26

Goodwood 83 9 10.8% +15.21

Salisbury 73 8 11% −5.00

Lingfield 69 13 18.8% +45.99

Nottingham 67 7 10.4% −22.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 970 132 13.6% −163.50

Class 6 816 109 13.4% +195.65

Class 4 578 64 11.1% −122.57

Class 2 248 24 9.7% −83.82

Class 3 220 31 14.1% −6.73

Class 1 85 5 5.9% −41.00

Class 7 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 400 126 31.5% 1.00 −59.62

2nd–3rd fav 643 119 18.5% 1.11 +12.15

4th–6th fav 943 87 9.2% 1.16 +20.00

7th+ in betting 961 34 3.5% 1.02 −218.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Peter The Wolf (GB) 14 2 8 2 Nov 26

Attain (GB) 14 1 9 20 Jan 18

Pulsating (IRE) 12 4 8 3 Mar 18

Urban Lion (GB) 11 3 4 11 Oct 26

Mighty Bandit (IRE) 11 2 5 15 Oct 25

Captain Lars (SAF) 11 3 6 6 Nov 18

Ring Eye (IRE) 11 2 4 28 Jul 17

Gilet (IRE) 10 0 6 26 Oct 26

Solveig's Song (GB) 10 1 3 9 Oct 18

Alnasl (IRE) 10 4 5 7 Oct 17

Takeonefortheteam (GB) 9 2 2 14 Dec 20

Corinthia Knight (IRE) 9 3 4 9 Mar 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 1,666 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Quiet spell

1 from 15 6.7% · −5.7pts vs baseline

Last 14 days6.7%

Lifetime base12.4%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

161581113121515149612

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardArchie Watson

13% of all rides
17.2% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

Archie Watson 372 64 17.2% −72.73

Mark Loughnane 202 26 12.9% −13.91

Eve Johnson Houghton 202 22 10.9% −7.04

Warren Greatrex 200 27 13.5% −2.29

Ralph Beckett 173 31 17.9% −27.17

Jack Channon 125 23 18.4% −0.22

Ian Williams 123 16 13% +18.03

Andrew Balding 111 21 18.9% +63.80

Sylvester Kirk 59 11 18.6% +10.63

Ed Walker 54 5 9.3% −13.17

Joseph Tuite 52 5 9.6% +13.25

Paul Attwater 51 4 7.8% −17.62

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→

366

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.20m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 72 wins

Musaddas (GB) — Balmoral Handicap (sponsored By Qipco) Ascot · Oct 2015 · Class 2

£155,625

Tattycoram (GB) — Betway Lancashire Oaks (Fillies' & Mares' Group 2) Newmarket · Jul 2026 · Group 2

£93,572

Urban Lion (GB) — William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Doncaster · Mar 2026 · Class 2

£77,310

Notable horses

Pulsating (IRE) Alnasl (IRE) Dark Alliance (IRE) Urban Lion (GB) Captain Lars (SAF) Corinthia Knight (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 19.7% · 12–61

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 13.2% · 7–53

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.

Dark Angel (IRE) 19.6% · 10–51

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Showcasing (GB) 6.5% · 3–46

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,666 runs since 2014 (999 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 14% · 6–43

Progeny have won 13.7% of 12,244 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.

Dandy Man (IRE) 17.5% · 7–40

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,947 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,947 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 February 2015 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Sidewalking (GB)T: Ian Williams AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 150/1

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Montpellier Green (IRE)T: Ian Williams Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 5/2F

06 Nov 26 Newcastle (AW) Nizam (FR)T: Ian Williams Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 9/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Adelaides Turn (GB)T: Robert Cowell Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 13th 50/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Lope El Fuego (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 6/1

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Oneforthegutter (GB)T: Ian Williams Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 13/2

05 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Little Jaybee (GB)T: David Evans All-Weather Championship Is Back Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 7/2

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Dark Alley (GB)T: Warren Greatrex Unibet 3 Uniboosts A Day Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 11 ran 6th 12/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Miracleoftheandes (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 7 ran 3rd 6/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Sea Baaeed (GB)T: Ian Williams Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap StakesClass 2 · 7f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 6th 28/1

04 Nov 26 Kempton (AW) Dandy G Boy (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex Unibet's New VAR Goal Guarantee Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 13 ran 11th 15/2

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Price Tag (GB)T: Faye Bramley All Weather Championship Is Back EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 150/1

03 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Red Kateryna (GB)T: Faye Bramley AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 40/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Watch The King (FR)T: Ian Williams Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 28/1

02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Peter The Wolf (GB)T: Warren Greatrex All Weather Championship Is Back Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 3/1J

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Massimo Blue (GB)T: Dylan Cunha Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 2nd 7/4F

30 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Michaela's Boy (IRE)T: Robert Cowell Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap StakesClass 3 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 28/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Newtown Duke (IRE)T: Ian Williams Thank You To Our Loyal Annual Members Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 10f · Soft · 12 ran 1st 6/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Just Queen High (IRE)T: Ian Williams Disability Inc Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Soft · 14 ran 2nd 22/1

29 Oct 26 Bath Rupertsbeenrumbled (GB)T: David Evans David Cole Memorial EBF Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 8 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 10 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 7 runs (won 1) · fastest on KTB Speed in 7 runs (won 1) · to 5 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Edward Greatrex's strike rate?: Edward Greatrex has won 366 of 2,947 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Edward Greatrex do best at?: Lingfield by strike rate: 13 wins from 69 rides (18.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Edward Greatrex ride most for?: Archie Watson, with 372 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 64 (17.2%).
Is Edward Greatrex in form?: In the last 14 days: 15 rides, 1 winner, a strike rate of 6.7%. That is below the baseline of 12.4% since 2008.
What is Edward Greatrex's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 2,926 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.