What is Harry Sexton's strike rate?

Harry Sexton has won 21 of 546 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Harry Sexton do best at?

Down Royal by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 rides (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Harry Sexton ride most for?

Adrian Sexton, with 152 rides since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (3.9%).

Is Harry Sexton in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Harry Sexton's Fair A/E?

0.76, from 545 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Harry Sexton

546 rides in the lifetime window · 214 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Rides today 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

21–546

Wins / Runs

3.8%

Strike rate

n=546

94 (17%)

Placed

0.76

Fair A/E

n=545 · 0.61 incl. margin

−280.78

£1 level stake

n=546 at SP · −51.4%

£433k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76).

Deterministic profile computed from 546 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Adrian Sexton: 3.9% from 152

The read

The record is strongest at Down Royal (9.7%, n=31) and Fairyhouse (8.8%, n=34) — all clear of the rider's 3.8% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=94, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.63 and −176.00 to a £1 stake over 291 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Adrian Sexton supplies 28% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.9%, A/E 0.88). The rider also reads well off a 8-14-day break (7.1%, n=85). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 57 rides, 3.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.14 across 132 rides (0.8% strike, −91.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Overnight Prices' Porterstown Handicap Chase at Fairyhouse (Dec 2024, £26,550).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.3%−1.5

n=214 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −104.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

11.1%+7.3

n=18 · A/E 1.33 · £1 +0.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

0%−3.8

n=94 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −94.00

When favourite

10%

n=10 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −8.78

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

3.8%+0.0

n=530 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −269.28

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.4%−1.4

n=291 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −176.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.5%+8.7

n=16 · A/E 2.46 · £1 −0.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Down Royal 9.7% vs 3.8% · n=31

At Fairyhouse 8.8% vs 3.8% · n=34

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 3.8% · n=57

Off a 8-14-day break 7.1% vs 3.8% · n=85

Over 2m5f – 3m 0.8% vs 3.8% · n=132

With horses switching code 0.8% vs 3.8% · n=127

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 391 14 3.6% −215.28

Chase 117 7 6% −27.50

NH Flat 29 0 0% −29.00

Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 219 9 4.1% −108.00

Soft 158 2 1.3% −130.00

Good to Soft 107 6 5.6% −4.00

Heavy 60 4 6.7% −36.78

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 41 1 2.4% −24.00

Downpatrick 39 1 2.6% −31.00

Kilbeggan 35 2 5.7% −21.00

Fairyhouse 34 3 8.8% −2.50

Down Royal 31 3 9.7% +23.50

Limerick 31 0 0% −31.00

Gowran Park 29 1 3.4% −27.78

Sligo 29 2 6.9% −10.00

Clonmel 28 3 10.7% −1.50

Tramore 27 1 3.7% −22.00

Cork 26 1 3.8% −9.00

Wexford 22 0 0% −22.00

Galway 22 0 0% −22.00

Listowel 21 0 0% −21.00

Ballinrobe 21 0 0% −21.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 16 2 12.5% −0.50

Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 12 1 8.3% 0.34 −10.78

2nd–3rd fav 66 7 10.6% 0.77 −28.50

4th–6th fav 101 5 5% 0.75 −49.50

7th+ in betting 367 8 2.2% 0.90 −192.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.8% completed · 508 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 117 83.8% 9 4 4 1 1

Hurdle 391 90.3% 8 9 21 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Katherine (IRE) 35 3 6 26 Aug 26

Zolpharine (IRE) 12 0 3 30 Sep 26

Shing Shilla (IRE) 12 0 0 29 Jun 26

Gaelic Arc (IRE) 10 2 4 17 Jul 26

Likealightswitch (IRE) 9 1 5 17 Oct 26

Frankie's Freebie (IRE) 9 0 6 13 Aug 26

Kiss My Lucky Egg (GB) 9 0 1 7 Jul 24

Herja (IRE) 8 1 4 5 Nov 26

Prince Palace (FR) 8 1 3 16 Nov 25

Athagabhain (IRE) 8 1 1 9 Jul 23

Surviving Murmansk (IRE) 7 1 4 26 Aug 26

Chasing Crowns (IRE) 7 0 1 23 Jul 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 214 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 13

Only 13 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

006535434545

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAdrian Sexton

28% of all rides
3.9% SR · A/E 0.88

TrainerRWSR£1

Adrian Sexton 152 6 3.9% −53.78

John Joseph Hanlon 85 3 3.5% −58.00

P A Fahy 79 5 6.3% +1.50

John Patrick Ryan 43 2 4.7% −19.50

E Sheehy 40 0 0% −40.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£433k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 8 wins

History Of Fashion (IRE) — Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Overnight Prices' Porterstown Handicap Chase (Listed) Fairyhouse · Dec 2024 · Listed

£26,550

Prince Palace (FR) — Nas Na Riogh Novice Handicap Chase (Listed) Navan · Mar 2025 · Listed

£26,550

Gaelic Arc (IRE) — Belvedere House & Gardens Galway Plate Trial Handicap Chase Kilbeggan · Jun 2025

£14,750

Notable horses

Katherine (IRE) Gaelic Arc (IRE) History Of Fashion (IRE) Likealightswitch (IRE) Herja (IRE) Athagabhain (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Shirocco (GER) 6.4% · 3–47

Progeny have won 11.1% of 9,213 runs since 2010 (928 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Doyen (IRE) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,399 runs since 2009 (607 horses).

Arcadio (GER) 10.5% · 2–19

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,981 runs since 2011 (375 horses).

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,913 runs since 2013 (689 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Shantou (USA) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,845 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.

Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 7.7% of 3,162 runs since 2015 (317 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 546 · newest first

The latest 50 of 546 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 9 July 2021 to 14 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

14 Nov 26 Navan (IRE) Mother Ship (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Lisadell Equine Hospital 110 Series Final Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 12 ran 9th 16/1

12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Pure Logic (GB)T: John Joseph Hanlon Book Your Christmas Party Here On December 19th Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 14/1

12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Go Mike Go (IRE)T: Peter McCreery Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle23f · Good · 7 ran 4th 125/1

12 Nov 26 Thurles (IRE) Barton Sky (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap Steeplechase21.5f · Good · 15 ran PU 25/1

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Qaasid (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 22 ran 8th 22/1

09 Nov 26 Punchestown (IRE) Swift Charm (IRE)T: R K Watson Matchbook 50/50 Series 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 9th 300/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Doyen Og (IRE)T: Adrian Sexton Pat Carroll's Pub Kilkenny Mares Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran F 7/1

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Papagei (GB)T: Thomas Gibney GAIN Equine Nutrition Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 2nd 7/2

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Leave In Secret (IRE)T: Thomas Gibney Noreside Catering Handicap Steeplechase16f · Good · 7 ran 4th 3/1J

07 Nov 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Mo Ghille Mar (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Steeplechase16f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 13/2

05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Herja (IRE)T: Patrick Griffin Clonmel Oil Steeplechase (Grade 2)Class 1 · 21f · Good To Yielding · 3 ran 2nd 11/1

03 Nov 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) River Ore (GB)T: John Joseph Hanlon Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 8th 250/1

01 Nov 26 Cork (IRE) Fairy Meadow (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Ballymaloe Foods Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 21 ran 14th 100/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Herja (IRE)T: Patrick Griffin Racing Post Steeplechase (Grade 2)Class 1 · 19.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 8/1

31 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Swift Charm (IRE)T: R K Watson Lisburn And Castlereagh City Council 3-Y-O Hurdle17f · Good · 8 ran 8th 150/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Spill A Drop (IRE)T: R K Watson Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 19th 33/1

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Rossnowlagh (IRE)T: R K Watson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 8th 300/1

26 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Imbolc (IRE)T: E Sheehy COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Hurdle24f · Heavy · 19 ran PU 50/1

25 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) The Two Mary's (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 50/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Torque De Lune (IRE)T: John Joseph Hanlon Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div I)17.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 9th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 25 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 7 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Harry Sexton's strike rate?: Harry Sexton has won 21 of 546 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 3.8% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Harry Sexton do best at?: Down Royal by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 rides (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Harry Sexton ride most for?: Adrian Sexton, with 152 rides since 2008 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (3.9%).
Is Harry Sexton in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 13 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Harry Sexton's Fair A/E?: 0.76, from 545 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.