Jane Elliott
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 80 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (138 rides).
The record is strongest at Catterick (18.9%, n=53) and Doncaster (18.4%, n=38) — all clear of the rider's 8.6% baseline. It is weakest at Leicester (0% over 36 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.8% (n=138, Fair A/E 1.20), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.1% (n=195, Fair A/E 0.46). Tom Dascombe supplies 20% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.7% vs 8.6%, A/E 1.38) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Heavy going (21.9%, n=32). Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2013→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,496 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,496 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 June 2013 to 26 January 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Jane Elliott's strike rate?
- Jane Elliott has won 128 of 1,496 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Jane Elliott do best at?
- Catterick by strike rate: 10 wins from 53 rides (18.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Jane Elliott ride most for?
- Tom Dascombe, with 300 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 41 (13.7%).
- What is Jane Elliott's Fair A/E?
- 1.05, from 1,480 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.