What is Joshua Bryan's strike rate?

Joshua Bryan has won 168 of 1,647 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Joshua Bryan do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 61 rides (14.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Joshua Bryan ride most for?

Andrew Balding, with 331 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 45 (13.6%).

Is Joshua Bryan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Joshua Bryan's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 1,639 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Joshua Bryan

1,647 rides in the lifetime window · 845 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Rides today 94% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

168–1,647

Wins / Runs

10.2%

Strike rate

n=1,647

508 (31%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=1,639 · 0.82 incl. margin

−549.85

£1 level stake

n=1,647 at SP · −33.4%

£1.69m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (155 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,647 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 35.9% when favourite Andrew Balding: 13.6% from 331 LTO winners: 18.7% Claiming: 10.3% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 18.7% (n=155, Fair A/E 0.99), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.8% (n=165, Fair A/E 0.81). Andrew Balding supplies 20% of the rides and edges the rider's average (13.6% vs 10.2%, A/E 0.89). The rider also reads well off a 0-7-day break (21.9%, n=96) and at trips under 6f (16.5%, n=188). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the John Smith's Cup Handicap at York (Jul 2021, £64,425). The standout partner of the record: The Defiant (GB) — 5 wins from 16 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.5%−1.7

n=845 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −368.80

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

18.7%+8.5

n=155 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −25.46

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.8%−0.4

n=205 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −61.76

When favourite

35.9%

n=153 · A/E 1.12 · £1 +1.33

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

10.3%+0.1

n=852 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −324.75

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.8%−5.4

n=165 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −73.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

22.2%+12.0

n=9 · A/E 5.56 · £1 +7.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 21.9% vs 10.2% · n=96

With Daniel Steele 23.4% vs 10.2% · n=47

On last-time-out winners 18.7% vs 10.2% · n=155

With debutants 2.5% vs 10.2% · n=118

At trips under 6f 16.5% vs 10.2% · n=188

With Brian Barr 3% vs 10.2% · n=66

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,556 159 10.2% −521.40

Hurdle 59 5 8.5% −30.86

Chase 20 3 15% −4.59

NH Flat 12 1 8.3% +7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 751 74 9.9% −268.50

Good to Firm 280 28 10% −119.73

Good 250 25 10% −66.97

Good to Soft 158 21 13.3% −1.17

Soft 120 7 5.8% −74.21

Heavy 58 8 13.8% −14.60

Firm 30 5 16.7% −4.67

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 199 17 8.5% −68.50

Lingfield (AW) 173 21 12.1% −34.70

Kempton (AW) 164 11 6.7% −95.25

Chelmsford (AW) 144 16 11.1% −49.80

Bath 84 8 9.5% −24.42

Chepstow 76 11 14.5% −8.17

Windsor 64 9 14.1% −19.55

Salisbury 63 9 14.3% +3.25

Southwell (AW) 61 9 14.8% −10.25

Brighton 57 8 14% −15.85

Lingfield 47 4 8.5% −27.36

Ffos Las 45 5 11.1% −29.99

Yarmouth 40 4 10% −21.63

Newbury 37 5 13.5% −0.29

Leicester 33 3 9.1% −16.77

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 576 63 10.9% −150.04

Class 5 521 62 11.9% −142.34

Class 4 316 26 8.2% −140.88

Class 3 103 10 9.7% −43.00

Class 2 78 3 3.8% −43.00

Class 7 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 1 9 2 22.2% +7.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 177 60 33.9% 1.11 −2.17

2nd–3rd fav 371 50 13.5% 0.82 −104.18

4th–6th fav 539 47 8.7% 1.10 −81.50

7th+ in betting 560 11 2% 0.61 −362.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Zac Brown (IRE) 17 4 7 10 Jul 20

The Defiant (GB) 16 5 8 9 Mar 24

Toolatetodelegate (GB) 15 1 5 15 Oct 20

Chetan (GB) 14 2 6 24 Nov 20

Betties Bay (GB) 13 1 3 26 Oct 24

Snooze Lane (IRE) 13 4 9 24 Oct 24

Perfect Symphony (IRE) 13 1 4 4 Jul 23

Sunblazer (IRE) 13 0 5 19 Nov 18

Gold Souk (IRE) 12 3 5 1 May 23

Vincenzo Coccotti (USA) 12 1 5 3 Jun 22

Musique De Fee (IRE) 11 3 7 27 May 26

Croeso Cymraeg (GB) 11 2 5 22 Apr 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 845 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 4

Only 4 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

13924510131299698

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardAndrew Balding

20% of all rides
13.6% SR · A/E 0.89

TrainerRWSR£1

Andrew Balding 331 45 13.6% −74.65

Archie Watson 133 11 8.3% −71.56

Charlie Wallis 79 8 10.1% −20.50

Brian Barr 66 2 3% −53.00

Mark Pattinson 64 3 4.7% −42.50

Bernard Llewellyn 63 4 6.3% −29.88

Alan Bailey 57 7 12.3% −16.00

John Butler 56 7 12.5% −30.75

Daniel Steele 47 11 23.4% +57.38

Heather Main 42 6 14.3% +3.25

Georgina Nicholls 33 6 18.2% −8.98

Kevin Frost 32 3 9.4% −21.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→

168

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.69m

Prize money

2017

Best season · 30 wins

Johnny Drama (IRE) — John Smith's Cup Handicap York · Jul 2021 · Class 2

£64,425

Shartash (IRE) — Pertemps Network Spring Trophy Stakes (Listed) Haydock · May 2024 · Listed

£28,355

Lisette D'estruval (FR) — Grand Steeple-chase-cross-country De Compiegne Compiegne (FR) · Nov 2026 · Listed

£24,380

Notable horses

The Defiant (GB) Zac Brown (IRE) Snooze Lane (IRE) Gold Souk (IRE) Musique De Fee (IRE) Piazon (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kodiac (GB) 9.8% · 5–51

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Dark Angel (IRE) 3.3% · 1–30

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Acclamation (GB) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Dandy Man (IRE) 7.7% · 2–26

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,990 runs since 2013 (929 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 171.

Showcasing (GB) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 10.1% of 11,666 runs since 2014 (999 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 20% · 5–25

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,646 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,646 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 April 2016 to 15 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Nov 26 Auteuil (FR) Balmoral (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix Mondeville21.5f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 9/1

11 Nov 26 Compiegne (FR) Lisette D'estruval (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Grand Steeple-chase-cross-country De Compiegne27f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 8/1

11 Nov 26 Compiegne (FR) Favela Chic (IRE)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Kerlor17f · Heavy · 10 ran 3rd 12/1

06 Nov 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Imagination (FR)T: Mme Marine Pineda Prix Du Mont Ussy (Chmpt Paris Turf Des Apprentis & Jeunes Jockeys)18f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 10/11F

29 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Whymper (GER)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Grande Course De Haies De Bordeaux19.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 12th 7/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Semper Adamas (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix LusignanClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 50/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Lidocaine De Cotte (FR)T: Lubos Urbanek Prix ElisaClass 2 · 22f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 10/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Bonita De La Serre (FR)T: Lubos Urbanek Prix HunoriskClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 14/1

28 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Ascencia (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Maurice D'okhuysenClass 2 · 17.5f · Heavy · 8 ran 5th 2/1

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Lisette D'estruval (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Francois De Chevigny23.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 1st 7/2

19 Oct 26 Compiegne (FR) Best Match (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Falzarego17f · Heavy · 9 ran 6th 8/1

11 Oct 26 Auteuil (FR) Dame Imperiale (IRE)T: Nathan Vergne Prix Beaurepaire18f · Heavy · 13 ran REF 16/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Flambeau Bleu (IRE)T: Nathan Vergne Prix Maurice Calve16.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 16/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Sir Marvel (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Leognan19f · Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 11/8

04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Lidocaine De Cotte (FR)T: Lubos Urbanek Prix Mid DancerClass 4 · 18f · Heavy · 9 ran PU 18/1

04 Oct 26 Strasbourg (FR) Le Gene Bleu (FR)T: Lubos Urbanek Prix D'auteuilClass 4 · 21f · Heavy · 5 ran 2nd 9/4

02 Oct 26 Dax (FR) Milord De Palma (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Du Sablar17.5f · Soft · 8 ran PU 7/2

30 Sep 26 Compiegne (FR) Esto Memor (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Bay Archer18f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 4/1

26 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Balmoral (FR)T: Davide Satalia Prix Villez19.5f · Very Soft · 15 ran F 12/1

22 Sep 26 Auteuil (FR) Ascencia (FR)T: H De Lageneste & G Macaire Prix Kargal17.5f · Very Soft · 12 ran 2nd 10/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Joshua Bryan's strike rate?: Joshua Bryan has won 168 of 1,647 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.2% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Joshua Bryan do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 9 wins from 61 rides (14.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Joshua Bryan ride most for?: Andrew Balding, with 331 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 45 (13.6%).
Is Joshua Bryan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Joshua Bryan's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 1,639 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.