What is Jules Mobian's strike rate?

Jules Mobian has won 14 of 321 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Jules Mobian do best at?

Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Jules Mobian ride most for?

P Decouz, with 64 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.3%).

What is Jules Mobian's Fair A/E?

0.64, from 318 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Jules Mobian

321 rides in the lifetime window · 223 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 140 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

14–321

Wins / Runs

4.4%

Strike rate

n=321

58 (18%)

Placed

0.64

Fair A/E

n=318 · 0.57 incl. margin

−97.40

£1 level stake

n=319 at SP · −30.5%

£391k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.64).

Deterministic profile computed from 321 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.2% P Decouz: 6.3% from 64 First rides: 4.5% Claiming: 4.5%

The read

It is weakest at Saint-Cloud (FR) (1.4% over 72 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 4.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −8.90 to a £1 stake over 201 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. P Decouz supplies 20% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (6.3%, A/E 0.76). The record reads poorly over 6f – 7f — 0% over 73 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix Frederic de Lagrange at Vichy (FR) (Jul 2021, £24,554).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.5%+0.1

n=223 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −35.40

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

7.1%+2.7

n=14 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +8.80

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.2%+0.8

n=97 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −7.50

When favourite

30.8%

n=13 · A/E 0.83 · £1 +57.70

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

4.5%+0.1

n=201 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −8.90

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.9%−1.5

n=138 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −54.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

8.3%+3.9

n=12 · A/E 1.94 · £1 −3.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 6f – 7f 0% vs 4.4% · n=73

Off a 31-60-day break 0% vs 4.4% · n=49

On Good to Soft going 0% vs 4.4% · n=47

At Saint-Cloud (FR) 1.4% vs 4.4% · n=72

On Soft going 7.1% vs 4.4% · n=56

At Deauville (FR) 2.4% vs 4.4% · n=82

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 151 7 4.6% −27.40

Soft 56 4 7.1% −38.70

Good to Soft 47 0 0% −47.00

Good 37 2 5.4% +41.70

Heavy 30 1 3.3% −26.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chantilly (FR) 98 6 6.1% +13.40

Deauville (FR) 82 2 2.4% −55.10

Saint-Cloud (FR) 72 1 1.4% −68.00

Longchamp (FR) 32 2 6.3% −27.10

Clairefontaine (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

La Teste De Buch (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Toulouse (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Dieppe (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Vichy (FR) 2 1 50% +5.50

Nantes (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Craon (FR) 1 1 100% +3.90

Compiegne (FR) 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 12 1 8.3% −3.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 13 4 30.8% 0.83 +57.70

2nd–3rd fav 30 4 13.3% 0.87 −13.50

4th–6th fav 82 3 3.7% 0.44 −47.80

7th+ in betting 194 3 1.5% 0.55 −93.80

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Linsoumis (FR) 8 1 3 26 Nov 21

Princess Anne (FR) 6 2 3 19 Jun 23

Mad River (FR) 5 0 0 10 Mar 22

Elieden (IRE) 5 0 1 21 Dec 20

Pole Celeste (FR) 5 0 2 22 Oct 20

J'Acclame (FR) 4 0 0 29 Jun 23

Through The Mist (FR) 4 0 0 1 Nov 22

Natsukashi (FR) 4 2 2 16 Jun 22

By The Way (FR) 4 0 3 7 Jan 22

Star Luce (FR) 3 0 0 9 Sep 23

Validatos (FR) 3 0 1 14 Jul 23

Cera (FR) 3 0 0 26 Dec 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 223 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

41006336001135

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardP Decouz

20% of all rides
6.3% SR · A/E 0.76

TrainerRWSR£1

P Decouz 64 4 6.3% −36.10

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£391k

Prize money

2021

Best season · 6 wins

Vauban (FR) — Prix Frederic de Lagrange () (3yo) (Turf) Vichy (FR) · Jul 2021 · Listed

£24,554

Natsukashi (FR) — Prix de Solferino (Conditions) (3yo) (Grande Course) (Turf) Longchamp (FR) · Oct 2021

£13,839

Trentino (FR) — Prix d'Uberlingen (Handicap) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Chantilly (FR) · Dec 2019

£12,613

Notable horses

Princess Anne (FR) Natsukashi (FR) Linsoumis (FR) It's All A Dream (FR) Jazzy Wood (FR) Vauban (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sinndar (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11

Progeny have won 11.3% of 3,409 runs since 2008 (393 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.2% from 256. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.3% from 132.

Anodin (IRE) 20% · 2–10

Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,450 runs since 2018 (272 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.4% from 117.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 13.7% of 12,244 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.

Elusive City (USA) 22.2% · 2–9

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,431 runs since 2008 (635 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Siyouni (FR) 0% · 0–9

Progeny have won 13% of 8,373 runs since 2014 (977 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.5% from 461.

Literato (FR) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 7.2% of 1,066 runs since 2012 (128 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 321 · newest first

The latest 50 of 321 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 May 2017 to 28 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Jun 26 Bro Park (SWE) Humam (IRE)T: Stuart Williams Challenge Stakes () (Turf)7f · Good · 5 ran 3rd —

22 Aug 24 Deauville (FR) Princess Spirit (FR)T: Maurizio Guarnieri Prix du Cheval de Spectacle (Maiden) (2yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)7.5f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 67/1

02 Jul 24 Chantilly (FR) Louve Dream (IRE)T: John H Smith Prix du Bois Sanit-Denis (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 13th 17/1

02 Jul 24 Chantilly (FR) Posafolie (FR)T: P Decouz Prix de la Verrerie (Conditions) (2yo Fillies) (Turf)6f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 5th 6/1

30 Jun 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) Galik (FR)T: James Grassick Prix des Etangs de Saint-Quentin (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 15th 50/1

26 Jun 24 Chantilly (FR) Elvetica (GER)T: P Decouz Prix de la Troublerie (Conditions) (2yo Fillies) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1

21 Jun 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) Spring Eve (FR)T: Mme J Le Stang Prix du Domaine des Fosses (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)10.5f · Very Soft · 17 ran 16th 115/1

13 Jun 24 Longchamp (FR) Cortez Bank (GB)T: Elias Mikhalides Prix de la Cour Carree (Handicap) (4yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf)12f · Good · 16 ran 11th 20/1

25 May 24 Saint-Cloud (FR) Posafolie (FR)T: P Decouz Prix Pirette (Conditions) (2yo Fillies) (Turf)6f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 62/1

15 Sep 23 Saint-Cloud (FR) Spring Eve (FR)T: X-L Le Stang Prix du Lieu Feral (Handicap) (3yo) (Turf)10f · Soft · 18 ran 10th 14/1

09 Sep 23 Chantilly (FR) Star Luce (FR)T: X-L Le Stang Prix du Canal Saint-Jean (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 15 ran 12th 36/1

03 Sep 23 Longchamp (FR) King Sihtric (IRE)T: Yoann Bonnefoy Prix de Madrid (Handicap) (4yo+) (Grande Course) (Turf)12f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 15th 23/1

24 Aug 23 Deauville (FR) Star Luce (FR)T: X-L Le Stang Prix de la Reconversion d'Un Ch.de Course en Ch.D'E.W (Handicap) (4yo+) (AW) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 32/1

14 Jul 23 Longchamp (FR) Validatos (FR)T: P Decouz Prix Radio FG - Prix du Champ de Mars (Conditions) (3yo) (Moyenne Course) (Turf)10f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 18/1

10 Jul 23 Chantilly (FR) Kilia (FR)T: P Decouz Prix du Carrefour des Lyonnais (Handicap) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)9.5f · Standard · 17 ran 8th 18/1

29 Jun 23 Longchamp (FR) J'Acclame (FR)T: P Decouz Prix Mackensie Grieves (Handicap) (4yo+) (New Course) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 10th 66/1

28 Jun 23 Chantilly (FR) Haaricia (FR)T: P Decouz Prix de Riquebourg (Claimer) (3yo) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack)6.5f · Standard · 15 ran 3rd 21/1

23 Jun 23 Saint-Cloud (FR) Star Luce (FR)T: X-L Le Stang Prix du Domaine du Vert-Mont (Handicap) (4yo+) (Turf)7f · Very Soft · 18 ran 16th 46/1

19 Jun 23 Saint-Cloud (FR) Princess Anne (FR)T: Hiroo Shimizu Prix la Moskowa () (4yo+) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 8 ran 8th 37/1

06 Jun 23 Saint-Cloud (FR) Haaricia (FR)T: P Decouz Prix de Villaroche (Handicap) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)7f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 4th 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Jules Mobian's strike rate?: Jules Mobian has won 14 of 321 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Jules Mobian do best at?: Longchamp (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Jules Mobian ride most for?: P Decouz, with 64 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (6.3%).
What is Jules Mobian's Fair A/E?: 0.64, from 318 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.