No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.66). When claiming the record reads 9% (88 rides). Rode mostly for Gary Moore — 54% of rides in the window.
Deterministic profile computed from 105 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glanceGary Moore: 7% from 57Claiming: 9.1%
The read
Gary Moore supplied 54% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (7%, A/E 0.58). The rider also read well off a 15-30-day break (10.8%, n=37). The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 0.46 across 54 rides (5.6% strike, −33.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
6%−1.6
n=84 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −32.25
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10%+2.4
n=10 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −7.75
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−7.6
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
When favourite
23.1%
n=13 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −5.25
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
9.1%+1.5
n=88 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −28.50
Big fields · 14+ runners
6.1%−1.5
n=33 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −7.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break10.8% vs 7.6% · n=37
Over 1m2f – 1m4f5.6% vs 7.6% · n=54
On first rides for the horse6% vs 7.6% · n=84 · A/E 0.56
When claiming9.1% vs 7.6% · n=88 · A/E 0.78
In Flat races8.5% vs 7.6% · n=94 · A/E 0.74
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat9488.5%−34.50
Hurdle500%−5.00
NH Flat400%−4.00
Chase200%−2.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Firm3026.7%−12.75
Good2627.7%−10.75
Good to Soft1715.9%−4.00
Standard (AW)1616.3%−12.75
Soft10110%−3.00
Heavy400%−4.00
Firm2150%+1.75
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Newbury1900%−19.00
Lingfield (AW)9111.1%−5.75
Ascot9222.2%+17.00
Salisbury700%−7.00
York700%−7.00
Lingfield5120%−2.75
Brighton5240%+1.00
Carlisle400%−4.00
Windsor4125%+11.00
Goodwood400%−4.00
Wolverhampton (AW)400%−4.00
Huntingdon300%−3.00
Epsom300%−3.00
Chester300%−3.00
Doncaster3133.3%+4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 54249.5%−18.75
Class 62314.3%−19.75
Class 318211.1%+8.00
Class 41815.6%−11.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite17317.6%0.71−9.25
2nd–3rd fav2328.7%0.60−12.25
4th–6th fav3425.9%0.66−8.00
7th+ in betting3113.2%0.65−16.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f5435.6%−33.00
6f – 7f22418.2%+13.25
1m – 1m1f1200%−12.00
1m5f – 2m1119.1%−7.75
Under 6f300%−3.00
Over 3m200%−2.00
2m1f – 2m4f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081100%−11.00
20099111.1%−5.25
201112216.7%+4.25
201217211.8%+3.00
20131915.3%−16.75
20141417.1%+1.00
20151218.3%−9.75
2016700%−7.00
2017400%−4.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps9688.3%−36.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners36513.9%−6.25
11-13 runners3113.2%−27.25
14-16 runners2500%−25.00
17+ runners8225%+18.00
5-7 runners500%−5.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 87 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
00033601012·0200
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
£71,290
Prize money
2012
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Galileo (IRE)25% · 1–4
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,201 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.4% from 890.
Diktat (GB)0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.
Celtic Swing (GB)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,248 runs since 2008 (160 horses).
Dansili (GB)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 13.7% of 11,842 runs since 2008 (983 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.8% from 101. Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 428. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.1% from 209.
Freelancer (USA)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.8% of 41 runs since 2008 (1 horse).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 130 · newest first
The latest 50 of 130 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 January 2005 to 19 August 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Miss Hayley Moore's strike rate?
Miss Hayley Moore has won 8 of 105 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.6% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Miss Hayley Moore ride most for?
Gary Moore, with 57 rides since 2008 — 54% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7%).
What is Miss Hayley Moore's Fair A/E?
0.66, from 105 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Miss Hayley Moore·SR 7.6%·A/E 0.66
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