Horse profile
Local Bay (GB)
by Cable Bay (IRE) out of Local Fancy (GB) (Bahamian Bounty)
52 runs · 14 courses · from Apr 2021
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 24 Jun 2025 — 484 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Jun 2025 · 4th of 4
10 wins · 6 courses
Last raced off OR 65
KTB Profile
Local Bay won 10 of 52 starts between Apr 2021 and Jun 2025. Six of those wins came over 1m – 1m1f and four over 6f – 7f, with four on good to firm, one on good to soft, one on good and four on standard AW. He won three times at Brighton, twice at Bath and twice at Southwell AW. Aged 7 at his last run in Jun 2025, he finished fourth of four at Brighton off an official rating of 65.
Based on 52 archived runs · run-style from 13 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 21 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
OR ↓ 9lb off peak
- 10–52Wins / Runs
- 19.2%Strike rate
- 19 (36.5%)Placed
- +28.15£1 level staken=52 at SP
- 1.60Fair A/E n=52 · 1.37 incl. margin
- 74Highest OR
- 30dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating65↓ 9lb off peak
65
56–74
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 105
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 22 | 120A | 86 | — |
| Good to Firm | 10 | 122A | 106.5 | — |
| Good | 8 | 112A | 90 | — |
| Soft | 6 | 82A | 62 | — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 115A | 94.5 | — |
| Heavy | 2 | 75C | 53.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 28 | 122A | 86 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 22 | 120A | 94.5 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 55C | 54 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 52 figures from 52 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 13 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Held up 12 (92%) · 1 win
- Prominent 1 (8%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 3,712 runs since Jan 2008 (243 horses).
Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | +3.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 629 | 77 | 12.2% | +2.3 | 4 from 10 |
| Good | 815 | 84 | 10.3% | +0.4 | 1 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 330 | 26 | 7.9% | −2 | 1 from 4 |
| Soft | 354 | 37 | 10.5% | +0.6 | 0 from 6 |
| Heavy | 100 | 9 | 9% | −0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,469 | 132 | 9% | −0.9 | 4 from 22 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 641 | 89 | 13.9% | +4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,891 | 174 | 9.2% | −0.7 | 4 from 22 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 779 | 79 | 10.1% | +0.2 | 6 from 28 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 290 | 16 | 5.5% | −4.4 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 79 | 7 | 8.9% | −1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 30 | 2 | 6.7% | −3.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −9.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Local Fancy (GB) (Bahamian Bounty)
7 siblings in the archive, 6 winners — best of them Watts Up Son (GB) (4 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m1f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Kyleakin Lass (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watts Up Son (GB) | 45 | 4 | 5f–1m1f | Class 5 |
| Local Flier (GB) | 24 | 4 | 5f–1m | Class 5 |
| Kyleakin Lass (GB) | 31 | 3 | 5f | Class 3 |
| Cross The Tracks (GB) | 15 | 3 | 6f–7f | Class 4 |
| Honey Gg (GB) | 33 | 3 | 5f | Class 6 |
| Local History (GB) | 6 | 1 | 6f | Class 5 |
| Degas Bronze (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 22 | 4 | 18% | +7.08 |
| Good to Firm | 10 | 4 | 40% | +21.87 |
| Good | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.80 |
| Soft | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | +11.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 26 | 8 | 31% | +34.65 |
| Class 5 | 13 | 1 | 8% | +2.00 |
| Class 4 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −2.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 14 | 3 | 21% | −3.13 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 13 | 1 | 8% | −8.67 |
| Bath | 4 | 2 | 50% | +21.20 |
| Chepstow | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.75 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 2 | 1 | 50% | +13.00 |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Limerick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 28 | 6 | 21% | +35.57 |
| 6f – 7f | 22 | 4 | 18% | −5.42 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Doughty | 12 | 4 | 33% | +15.45 |
| William Carson | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Jason Watson | 3 | 1 | 33% | +14.00 |
| David Egan | 3 | 1 | 33% | +18.00 |
| Luke Morris | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Hollie Doyle | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.38 |
| Jack Mitchell | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.75 |
| Tom Marquand | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mollie Phillips | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| J F Egan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jake Coen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Rossa Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| David Probert | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clifford Lee | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Cieren Fallon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| George Downing | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Ewing | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mark Gallagher | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Orr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 40 | 7 | 18% | +29.45 |
| Tongue tie | 10 | 2 | 20% | −3.05 |
| Cheekpieces | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −2.25 |
| 2024 | 17 | 4 | 24% | +27.70 |
| 2023 | 11 | 3 | 27% | −0.63 |
| 2022 | 9 | 1 | 11% | −4.67 |
| 2021 | 9 | 1 | 11% | +8.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun 25+22d | Brighton | Star Sports We Believe In Bookmaking Handicap Fought hard for control early - held up towards the back throughout - pushed along wide and found little inside the final furlong | 4/4 | 5 | 8-12 | 65 | 86C | 59B | Tom Marquand | 9/1 |
| 02 Jun 25+12d | Brighton | Star Sports 'Confined' Handicap Settled just off the pace early - fighting for head early on - made ground into contention 3f out - hit front inside final furlong and kept on to prevail | 1/5 | 9-5 | 63 | 103C | 77B | Jack Doughty | 11/4 | |
| 21 May 25+21d | Brighton | Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap Slow to break - held up towards the back on the rail - moved out and made strong progress from over 2f out - closed on the leader looking the likelier winner - driven approaching the final furlong but unable to find more and edged out close home | 2/10 | 1½ | 9-4 | 62 | 105B | 86A | Jack Doughty | 5/2F |
| 30 Apr 25+29d | Brighton | starsports.bet Handicap Held up towards the back - urged forward and made progress over 2f out - fully involved 1f out - kept on but flattened out close home | 2/6 | 1¼ | 9-3 | 62 | 99A | 70B | Jack Doughty | 7/1 |
| 01 Apr 25+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap Held up at the back throughout - no impression made - well held at the finish | 9/9 | 2½ | 9-9 | 64 | 85A | 57A | Jason Watson | 25/1 |
| 17 Mar 25+86d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap Settled at back of field - pushed along inside final furlong - made no real impression - finished eighth well beaten | 8/10 | 1 | 8-11 | 66 | 86A | 57A | William Carson | 100/1 |
| 21 Dec 24+36d | Wolverhampton (AW) | 30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap Stood up on exit from the stalls - settled towards the back - boxed in and shifted right before darting left over a furlong out - hampered once more inside the final furlong and finished well held in 7th | 7/7 | ¾ | 9-0 | 68 | 99A | 57A | Jack Doughty | 28/1 |
| 15 Nov 24+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap Sluggish start - stayed towards the back - well held in 8th | 8/8 | ½ | 9-7 | 70 | 82A | 55A | Jack Doughty | 33/1 |
| 31 Oct 24+12d | Bath | Bird Hotels' Ghostly Gallop Handicap Held up at the back - urged forward with over 3f left - lost touch inside final 2f and unable to challenge | 11/12 | 6 | 9-10 | 71 | 55C | 60C | Jack Doughty | 40/1 |
| 19 Oct 24+19d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Div 2) Reared a touch exiting the stalls - settled at the back and made no impression - eventually beaten 7 lengths in 7th | 7/10 | 3¾ | 9-8 | 72 | 78A | 68A | William Carson | 66/1 |
| 30 Sep 24+18d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap Settled towards the back - pushed along with 2f left - unable to threaten and dropped away inside final furlong | 11/12 | nk | 9-12 | 73 | 84A | 60A | David Egan | 50/1 |
| 12 Sep 24+35d | Epsom Downs | Rehau 75th Anniversary Handicap Held up towards the back - pushed along with 2f left - found some late running to take 4th inside the final furlong then held that spot | 4/7 | 4¾ | 9-8 | 74 | 69B | 71A | David Egan | 20/1 |
| 08 Aug 24+13d | Brighton | Star Property Group Apprentice Handicap Hampered start and slow into stride - held up rear - moved right two out - made rapid headway - hit front a furlong out drifting left inside the final stage - stayed on to score | 1/5 | 9-3 | 70 | 116C | 78B | Jack Doughty | 7/2 | |
| 26 Jul 24+15d | Chepstow | Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap | 3/6 | ½ | 9-6 | 70 | 122A | 74B | Jack Doughty | 5/1 |
| 11 Jul 24+23d | Epsom Downs | Betfred 'Bet Builder' Handicap | 1/6 | 9-3 | 67 | 87B | 74B | Jack Doughty | 14/1 | |
| 18 Jun 24+3d | Brighton | Enjoy A Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap | 6/8 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 60 | 111B | 62A | Jack Doughty | 85/40F |
| 15 Jun 24+8d | Bath | Olivia's Boutique Keynsham Handicap | 1/10 | 9-2 | 60 | 112A | 80A | Jack Doughty | 16/5 | |
| 07 Jun 24+24d | Bath | Mitchell & Co Handicap | 1/10 | 9-0 | 56 | 105A | 90A | David Egan | 20/1 | |
| 14 May 24+13d | Chepstow | Blake Morgan Handicap | 3/9 | 1½ | 8-10 | 57 | 82A | 82A | William Carson | 33/1 |
| 01 May 24+11d | Brighton | Best Odds Guaranteed At Yeeehaaa.Bet Handicap | 7/8 | 3½ | 9-4 | 58 | 98B | 54A | William Carson | 33/1 |
| 20 Apr 24+45d | Brighton | It's Never Ordinary At bet365 Handicap | 8/8 | 8 | 8-11 | 60 | 82C | 36C | William Carson | 25/1 |
| 06 Mar 24+30d | Kempton (AW) | UnibetRacing Cheltenham Preview Apprentice Handicap | 7/8 | 1½ | 8-11 | 70 | 71A | 56A | Jack Doughty | 15/2 |
| 05 Feb 24+72d | Lingfield (AW) | Win 2,000,000 With Betmgm's Golden Goals Handicap | 4/10 | shd | 9-4 | 70 | 107A | 80A | Rossa Ryan | 12/1 |
| 25 Nov 23+37d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1) | 6/8 | 4 | 9-3 | 71 | 79A | 59A | Luke Morris | 25/1 |
| 19 Oct 23+24d | Brighton | At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div 1) | 7/10 | 13 | 9-12 | 60 | 53C | 53C | Hollie Doyle | 7/1 |
| 25 Sep 23+46d | Leicester | Join Racing TV Today Apprentice Handicap | 7/14 | shd | 9-12 | 60 | 91C | 75A | Mollie Phillips | 10/1 |
| 10 Aug 23+1d | Brighton | Alfriston Gardens Classic Handicap | 1/5 | 9-8 | 57 | 108C | 74B | Hollie Doyle | 13/8F | |
| 09 Aug 23+30d | Brighton | Download The Star Sports App Handicap | 3/7 | hd | 9-10 | 57 | 82B | 73A | Jack Mitchell | 2/1F |
| 10 Jul 23+14d | Chepstow | SFI Ltd Building Consultants Handicap | 3/11 | dht | 8-12 | 57 | 115A | 72A | Luke Morris | 11/1 |
| 26 Jun 23+118d | Chepstow | Best Prices Guaranteed Daily At Vickers.Bet Handicap | 4/10 | ½ | 9-9 | 58 | 111A | 75A | Jason Watson | 6/1 |
| 28 Feb 23+4d | Southwell (AW) | Spreadex Sports Best Premier League Odds Handicap | 7/8 | 5 | 8-8 | 70 | 83A | 48A | Andrea Atzeni | 3/1 |
| 24 Feb 23+7d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Spreadex Sports 300 Spread Betting Cashback Handicap | 2/11 | hd | 9-10 | 66 | 120A | 90A | Andrea Atzeni | 3/1F |
| 17 Feb 23+7d | Southwell (AW) | Spreadex Sports 300 Spread Betting Cashback Handicap | 1/11 | 9-7 | 58 | 108A | 84A | Jack Mitchell | 5/4F | |
| 10 Feb 23+62d | Southwell (AW) | Spreadex Sports Get 40 In Bonuses Handicap (Div 2) | 1/12 | 9-2 | 58 | 97A | 91A | Jack Mitchell | 9/2 | |
| 10 Dec 22+67d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Spreadex Sports 300 Spread Betting Cashback Handicap | 8/11 | 1¼ | 9-8 | 59 | 92A | 52A | J F Egan | 8/1 |
| 04 Oct 22+5d | Brighton | Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 535 Handicap | 6/14 | 1½ | 9-11 | 57 | 98C | 76A | David Probert | 6/1 |
| 29 Sep 22+17d | Wolverhampton (AW) | At The Races App Form Study Handicap | 1/9 | 9-6 | 57 | 92B | 71A | Clifford Lee | 10/3 | |
| 12 Sep 22+76d | Brighton | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap | 9/12 | 1¼ | 9-9 | 60 | 104A | 64A | J F Egan | 16/1 |
| 28 Jun 22+39d | Brighton | Price Promise At bet365 Handicap | 5/8 | nse | 9-11 | 62 | 100A | 70A | Cieren Fallon | 9/2 |
| 20 May 22+27d | Bath | HomeLets 30 Year Handicap | 6/7 | 4 | 9-8 | 64 | 80A | 60A | Luke Morris | 18/1 |
| 23 Apr 22+35d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Wolverhampton Ladies Evening 19th August Apprentice Handicap | 4/10 | ½ | 9-12 | 65 | 93A | 81A | Mollie Phillips | 11/4F |
| 19 Mar 22+57d | Wolverhampton (AW) | All Weather Championships Mile Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div 1) | 3/11 | nk | 9-6 | 64 | 84A | 81A | George Downing | 6/1 |
| 21 Jan 22+24d | Newcastle (AW) | MansionBet Proud Partners Of AWC Handicap | 3/9 | 1½ | 9-7 | 65 | 96A | 90A | Tom Marquand | 4/1 |
| 28 Dec 21+17d | Newcastle (AW) | MansionBet Proud Partners Of AWC Handicap | 5/10 | shd | 9-5 | 66 | 96A | 80A | Daniel Tudhope | 15/8F |
| 11 Dec 21+8d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Betway Live Casino Handicap (Div 1) | 3/9 | 2¾ | 9-11 | 66 | 83A | 80A | Hollie Doyle | 10/11F |
| 03 Dec 21+45d | Newcastle (AW) | MansionBet Proud Partners Of AWC Handicap (Div 1) | 1/13 | 9-3 | 59 | 86B | 93A | Jason Watson | 16/1 | |
| 19 Oct 21+10d | Gowran Park | Lengthen Your Odds With BetVictor Handicap (45-65) | 12/15 | 7½ | 8-13 | 60 | 32C | 47C | Jake Coen | 17/2 |
| 09 Oct 21+7d | Limerick | Follow Limerick Racecourse On Facebook Apprentice Handicap (45-70) | 3/14 | 3 | 8-13 | 60 | 75C | 81A | Jake Coen | 10/1 |
| 02 Oct 21+150d | Killarney | Killarney Towers Hotel Handicap (45-70) | 6/11 | ¾ | 9-1 | 60 | 79A | 60A | Sam Ewing | 22/1 |
| 05 May 21+11d | Gowran Park | Goresbridge Maiden (Plus 10) | 16/16 | 25 | 9-7 | — | -27C | 51C | Mark Gallagher | 66/1 |
| 24 Apr 21+14d | Limerick | Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden (Plus 10) | 12/16 | 3 | 9-7 | — | 57C | 45C | Declan McDonogh | 66/1 |
| 10 Apr 21 | Dundalk (AW) | DundalkStadium.com Maiden (Plus 10) | 9/14 | ¾ | 9-7 | — | 66B | 66A | Oisin Orr | 22/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Local Bay (GB) won?
- Local Bay (GB) won 10 of 52 archived starts between 2021 and 2025, a strike rate of 19.2%. Placed 19 times in total (36.5% of starts).
- Who trained Local Bay (GB)?
- Local Bay (GB) was trained by Tony Carroll on the most recent run on record, at Brighton on 24 June 2025.
- Who is Local Bay (GB)'s sire?
- Local Bay (GB) is by Cable Bay (IRE) out of Local Fancy (GB), whose sire is Bahamian Bounty.
- What going does Local Bay (GB) prefer?
- Local Bay (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 4 wins from 10 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Local Bay (GB)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 65, from the run on 24 June 2025. The highest on record is 74.
- What is Local Bay (GB)'s sire's record?
- Cable Bay (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.9% of 3,712 runs since Jan 2008 (243 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.9% from 641. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
- Who are Local Bay (GB)'s siblings?
- Out of Local Fancy (GB), Local Bay (GB) has 7 other produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: Watts Up Son (GB) (4). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Kyleakin Lass (GB)). The wins came over 5f–1m1f. As at Oct 2026.