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Trainer profile

Michael Fitzsimons

160 runners in the lifetime window · 33 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2014
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
5–160
Wins / Runs
3.1%
Strike rate
n=160
18 (11%)
Placed
0.58
Fair A/E
n=160 · 0.43 incl. margin
−97.50
£1 level stake
n=160 at SP · −60.9%
£67,994
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.7%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.58). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 5% off breaks of two months or more (42 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 160 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 4.8%
The read

The yard also read well in Hurdle races (6.5%, n=46) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (6.3%, n=48). The record read poorly in Chase races — 0% over 49 runners, 3.1pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the EBF Novice Handicap Chase Final at Naas (Mar 2006, £33,852).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
4.8%+1.7
n=42 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −9.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−3.1
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−3.1
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−3.1
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−3.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=3 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −0.50
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.9%−0.2
n=68 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −41.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−3.1
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 6.5% vs 3.1% · n=46
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 6.3% vs 3.1% · n=48
In Chase races 0% vs 3.1% · n=49
In Flat races 0% vs 3.1% · n=43
On Heavy going 0% vs 3.1% · n=41
With horses switching code 0% vs 3.1% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 49 0 0% −49.00
Hurdle 46 3 6.5% −19.50
Flat 43 0 0% −43.00
NH Flat 22 2 9.1% +14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 41 0 0% −41.00
Soft 36 2 5.6% −26.50
Good 33 1 3% −16.00
Good to Firm 19 0 0% −19.00
Standard (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00
Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% +18.00
Firm 5 1 20% +5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 18 0 0% −18.00
Fairyhouse 12 0 0% −12.00
Thurles 11 0 0% −11.00
Punchestown 11 0 0% −11.00
Navan 11 2 18.2% −1.50
Down Royal 10 0 0% −10.00
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Kilbeggan 8 1 12.5% +2.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Clonmel 8 1 12.5% +9.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Downpatrick 7 0 0% −7.00
Leopardstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Roscommon 5 1 20% +21.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 1 25% 1.19 −1.50
2nd–3rd fav 15 0 0% 0.00 −15.00
4th–6th fav 40 2 5% 0.75 −23.00
7th+ in betting 101 2 2% 0.64 −58.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
73.7% completed · 95 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 49 61.2% 4 2 12 0 1
Hurdle 46 87% 0 1 4 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Karinga Queen (IRE)then Gordon Elliott 17 0 2 1 Feb 12
Brave Betsy (IRE)then Ms Joanna Morgan 16 2 5 5 Apr 10
Father Shine (IRE)from Adrian McGuinness · then Karl Thornton 15 1 3 21 Dec 11
Maya Quest (IRE) 14 2 2 13 Jul 14
Ancient Maya (IRE) 10 0 1 26 Aug 10
Giolla An Bhaird (IRE) 10 0 1 17 Mar 09
Grace Daisy (IRE)then Michael Mulvany 6 0 0 31 Jan 14
Blue Jig Lady (IRE) 6 0 2 11 Dec 13
Glasson Lad (IRE)from Ferdy Murphy · then Michael Mulvany 5 0 0 20 Mar 14
Baravaero (IRE)then Gerard Keane 5 0 0 14 Aug 11
Harry Days (IRE)from Patrick Allen · then Patrick Allen 5 0 0 2 Jul 11
Chancer Daly (IRE) 5 0 0 24 Sep 08
All 33 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 33 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Halford (2) and Patrick Allen (2); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Michael Mulvany (3) and Ms Joanna Morgan (2); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
01300660010000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Roger Loughran 21 0 0% −21.00
Colin Keane 10 0 0% −10.00
Mr A T Duff 7 0 0% −7.00
A E Lynch 7 0 0% −7.00
Barry Geraghty 6 1 16.7% −3.50
Miss L Farrell 6 0 0% −6.00
Andrew J McNamara 5 0 0% −5.00
Davy Russell 5 1 20% +2.00
Gary Carroll 5 0 0% −5.00
J R Barry 5 0 0% −5.00
Michael Darcy 5 0 0% −5.00
Mr R O'Sullivan 4 1 25% +6.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
8
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£135k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Giolla An Bhaird (IRE) — EBF Novice Handicap Chase Final Naas · Mar 2006 · Grade C
£33,852
Brave Betsy (IRE) — Athboy Hurdle Navan · Feb 2009
£12,438
Brave Betsy (IRE) — Irish Daily Mail Maiden Hurdle Navan · Feb 2008
£8,983
Notable horses
Brave Betsy (IRE) Giolla An Bhaird (IRE) Maya Quest (IRE) Father Shine (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Supreme Leader (GB) 4% · 1–25
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Karinga Bay (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,407 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Pistolet Bleu (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,371 runs since 2008 (131 horses).
Sayarshan (FR) 14.3% · 2–14
Progeny have won 5.4% of 388 runs since 2008 (51 horses).
Captain Rio (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Naheez (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 7% of 457 runs since 2008 (55 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 230 · newest first

The latest 50 of 230 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 March 2005 to 13 July 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Jul 14 Sligo Maya Quest (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Ladies Day At Sligo 7th August Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 15 ran 6th 11/2
13 Jun 14 Clonmel Maya Quest (IRE)J: Jonathan Burke Go Racing In South East Voucher For Father's Day Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)20f · Good · 17 ran 1st 16/1
17 May 14 Punchestown Maya Quest (IRE)J: Davy Condon Musgrave Supervalu Supporting Kildare Gaa Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 18 ran 13th 33/1
20 Mar 14 Thurles Glasson Lad (IRE)J: Ger Fox Clonoulty Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Heavy · 16 ran 12th 12/1
08 Mar 14 Gowran Park Glasson Lad (IRE)J: Niall Kelly Derek Lyng & Sports Injury Surgery Tetratema Cup Hunters Chase25f · Soft · 10 ran PU 10/1
14 Feb 14 Dundalk (AW) Moonbi Creek (IRE)J: Tom Madden Romancing, Dining & Racing At Dundalk Stadium Handicap6f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 12/1
09 Feb 14 Leopardstown Glasson Lad (IRE)J: Niall Kelly Raymond Smith Memorial Hunters Chase24f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran F 66/1
31 Jan 14 Dundalk (AW) Grace Daisy (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Floodlit Friday Nights At Dundalk Fillies Maiden7f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 66/1
31 Jan 14 Dundalk (AW) Captain Ahab (IRE)J: Colin Keane Bookings At dundalkstadium.com Maiden16f · Standard · 11 ran 11th 100/1
24 Jan 14 Dundalk (AW) Oscilate Wildly (IRE)J: Wayne Lordan Jamie McDonald Great Canada Run Handicap12f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 12/1
24 Jan 14 Dundalk (AW) Moonbi Creek (IRE)J: John Tobin Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Handicap (47-65)7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 8/1
17 Jan 14 Dundalk (AW) Captain Ahab (IRE)J: John Tobin Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Maiden12f · Standard · 14 ran 14th 66/1
17 Jan 14 Dundalk (AW) Oscilate Wildly (IRE)J: Pat Smullen Crowne Plaza Leading Jockey & Trainer Championship Maiden12f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 6/1
17 Jan 14 Dundalk (AW) Grace Daisy (IRE)J: Tom Madden Dundalk Stadium Racecourse Of The Year Handicap6f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 10/1
16 Jan 14 Thurles Glasson Lad (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Arctic Tack Stud Hunters Chase24f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 33/1
13 Dec 13 Downpatrick Glasson Lad (IRE)J: Mr J C Barry Downpatrick Christmas Party Hunters Chase21.5f · Good · 12 ran 7th 14/1
12 Dec 13 Tramore Maya Quest (IRE)J: Chris Timmons 2014 Tramore Members Club - Great Gift For Christmas Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 10 ran 5th 33/1
11 Dec 13 Dundalk (AW) Blue Jig Lady (IRE)J: Connor King Dundalk Stadium - Light Up Your Night Maiden8f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 33/1
28 Nov 13 Thurles Maya Quest (IRE)J: Roger Loughran Killinan Beginners Chase18f · Good · 12 ran 9th 33/1
15 Nov 13 Dundalk (AW) Maya Quest (IRE)J: Colin Keane Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Maiden12f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Fitzsimons's strike rate?
Michael Fitzsimons has won 5 of 160 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Michael Fitzsimons's Fair A/E?
0.58, from 160 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).