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Jockey profile

Mr Kevin Tobin

144 rides in the lifetime window · 99 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Oct 2014 97% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
9–144
Wins / Runs
6.3%
Strike rate
n=144
23 (16%)
Placed
0.89
Fair A/E
n=144 · 0.74 incl. margin
−1.00
£1 level stake
n=144 at SP · −0.7%
£41,278
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.89).

Deterministic profile computed from 144 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Claiming: 6.5%
The read

The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.6% over 39 rides, 3.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.81 across 53 rides (5.7% strike, −22.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
4.8%−1.5
n=83 · A/E 0.80 · £1 +17.75
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
10%+3.7
n=10 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −6.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
5.6%−0.7
n=36 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −14.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=6 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +1.50
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.5%+0.2
n=124 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −4.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
6%−0.3
n=50 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +43.75

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 2.6% vs 6.3% · n=39
In Class 5 8.9% vs 6.3% · n=45
On first rides for the horse 4.8% vs 6.3% · n=83 · A/E 0.80
On Good going 5.7% vs 6.3% · n=53 · A/E 0.73
Over 1m5f – 2m 5.7% vs 6.3% · n=53 · A/E 0.81
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 100 7 7% +35.50
Chase 27 2 7.4% −19.50
NH Flat 12 0 0% −12.00
Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 53 3 5.7% +25.75
Good to Soft 39 1 2.6% −32.00
Soft 27 3 11.1% +17.50
Good to Firm 16 1 6.3% −7.00
Heavy 8 1 12.5% −4.25
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Market Rasen 17 2 11.8% +58.00
Plumpton 13 3 23.1% +17.50
Taunton 12 0 0% −12.00
Uttoxeter 9 1 11.1% −5.25
Chepstow 7 0 0% −7.00
Wincanton 6 0 0% −6.00
Fontwell 6 0 0% −6.00
Doncaster 6 0 0% −6.00
Newton Abbot 5 0 0% −5.00
Leicester 5 0 0% −5.00
Stratford 4 0 0% −4.00
Wetherby 4 0 0% −4.00
Worcester 4 1 25% +3.00
Cheltenham 4 0 0% −4.00
Folkestone 3 1 33.3% +0.75

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 60 4 6.7% +32.25
Class 5 45 4 8.9% −2.25
Class 3 20 1 5% −12.00
Class 6 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 9 2 22.2% 0.99 −1.50
2nd–3rd fav 17 1 5.9% 0.39 −10.50
4th–6th fav 40 4 10% 1.21 −1.00
7th+ in betting 78 2 2.6% 0.89 +12.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
77.2% completed · 127 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 27 44.4% 2 0 13 0 0
Hurdle 100 86% 0 1 12 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Petrovka (IRE) 7 0 2 19 Aug 08
Poseidon's Secret (IRE) 6 1 2 4 Dec 08
Ostinata (IRE) 5 1 1 26 Dec 08
It's Rumoured (GB) 4 1 2 15 Dec 08
Tide Slider (GB) 4 0 2 2 Jul 08
Salhood (GB) 4 0 0 19 Mar 08
The Wicked Witch (GB) 3 0 0 27 Nov 08
Silver Prophet (IRE) 3 0 0 25 Apr 08
Mr Shambles (GB) 3 1 2 9 Mar 08
Pocketwood (GB) 2 1 1 25 Apr 10
Mr Big (IRE) 2 2 2 24 Jan 09
Mystified (IRE) 2 0 0 28 Dec 08
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 99 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
137950001750060
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Steve Gollings 25 1 4% −17.00
Charlie Mann 22 3 13.6% −8.00
Jean-Rene Auvray 11 2 18.2% +11.00
Gerald Ham 8 1 12.5% +1.00
Martin Bosley 6 0 0% −6.00
Brendan W Duke 6 1 16.7% +61.00
Dominic Ffrench Davis 5 0 0% −5.00
Nigel Hawke 4 0 0% −4.00
Suzy Smith 4 0 0% −4.00
M Salaman 4 0 0% −4.00
Alan Jessop 3 0 0% −3.00
Roger Fisher 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
25
Archived wins
£197k
Prize money
2007
Best season · 15 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kanad (GB) — 'Bet Live' williamhill.com Handicap Hurdle Ascot · Nov 2007 · Class 2
£49,576
Osako D'airy (FR) — Sun 'Favourite' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Sandown · Dec 2007 · Class 3
£6,506
Mr Shambles (GB) — totesport betXtra win only Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Mar 2008 · Class 3
£5,855
Notable horses
It's Rumoured (GB) Pocket Too (GB) Osako D'airy (FR) Mr Big (IRE) Regal Angel (GB) Poseidon's Secret (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Fleetwood (IRE) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 10% of 617 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 14.5% from 159. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 164. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 159.
King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Night Shift (USA) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,176 runs since 2008 (140 horses).
Slip Anchor (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.1% of 420 runs since 2008 (38 horses).
Spartacus (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 6.5% of 1,325 runs since 2008 (113 horses).
Capote (USA) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 0% of 20 runs since 2008 (3 horses). A small sample.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 262 · newest first

The latest 50 of 262 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 30 October 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
30 Oct 14 Stratford Osmosia (FR)T: Chris Gordon Amateur Jockeys' Association Fegentri Handicap Hurdle (Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 11 ran 4th 10/1
29 Oct 14 Nottingham Valentine's Gift (GB)T: Neville Bycroft 32Red.com Longines World Fegentri Championship Gentlemen Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 7th 6/1
31 Oct 13 Stratford Hector's House (GB)T: Nikki Evans AJA Fegentri Amateur Riders' Handicap Hurdle (Gentlemen Amateur Riders)Class 5 · 22f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 13/2
30 Oct 13 Nottingham Flying Applause (GB)T: Roy Bowring AJA 32RedPoker.com Fegentri Gentlemen Amateur Riders' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 11 ran 7th 8/1
07 Oct 13 Windsor Griffin Point (IRE)T: William Muir Thames Materials Fegentri World Cup Of Nations Stakes (Amateur Riders' Handicap)Class 6 · 5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 15/8F
19 May 13 Auteuil (FR) Prince Picard (FR)T: M Rolland Gras Savoye Hipcover Prix Marechal Foch (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Amateur Riders) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 9 ran 6th 33/10
18 May 13 Maisons-Laffitte (FR) Korovos (FR)T: Mme Helene Mennessier Martinez Prix Du Conseil General Des Yvelines (Fegentri World Cup) (Claimer) (5yo+) (Amateur Riders) (Turf)10f · Good · 8 ran 5th 12/1
01 Apr 13 Cork Castle Genie (IRE)T: Paul Cashman Fegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (80-102)19f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 7th 7/2
25 Apr 10 Saint-Malo (FR) Pocketwood (GB)T: Jean-Rene Auvray Prix Rene Couetil (Conditions) (4yo+) (Gentlemen Riders) (Turf)12f · Good · 11 ran 11th 13/1
24 Jan 09 Uttoxeter Mr Big (IRE)T: Charlie Mann Wisedale Brothers Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 22.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 1st 11/4F
02 Jan 09 Folkestone Mr Big (IRE)T: Charlie Mann NKF Seymour Electical & Plumbing Conditionals' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 14 ran 1st 11/4F
28 Dec 08 Catterick Mystified (IRE)T: Roger Fisher Blue Square Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 6th 25/1
26 Dec 08 Market Rasen Miller's Monarch (GB)T: Brendan W Duke Grange & Links And Sandilands Golf Club Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 16/1
26 Dec 08 Market Rasen Ostinata (IRE)T: Brendan W Duke Tjs Self Drive Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 14th 16/1
19 Dec 08 Ascot Rebel melody (IRE)T: Charlie Mann Barclays Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 7th 25/1
18 Dec 08 Ludlow Airs N Graces (IRE)T: Martin Bosley E.B.F./ Highflyer Bloodstock Mares' 'NH' Novices' Hurdle (Qualifier)Class 3 · 21f · Good To Soft · 12 ran PU 200/1
18 Dec 08 Ludlow Nathan Dee (GB)T: Martin Bosley Tanners Claret Juvenile Novices' Selling HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 125/1
16 Dec 08 Folkestone Ostinata (IRE)T: Brendan W Duke Father Christmas Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Soft · 12 ran 5th 20/1
15 Dec 08 Plumpton It's Rumoured (GB)T: Jean-Rene Auvray St Peter And St James Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran PU 6/1
15 Dec 08 Plumpton Ice Cream (FR)T: M E D Francis Heart Of Kent Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Heavy · 9 ran F 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Kevin Tobin's strike rate?
Mr Kevin Tobin has won 9 of 144 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Kevin Tobin's Fair A/E?
0.89, from 144 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).