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Trainer profile

David Brown

75 runners in the last 5 seasons · 15 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jan 2023 100% of runners on the flat
from 1 Jan 2022
9–75
Wins / Runs
12%
Strike rate
n=75
23 (31%)
Placed
1.25
Fair A/E
n=75 · 1.05 incl. margin
−6.40
£1 level stake
n=75 at SP · −8.5%
£56,726
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
21.4%+9.4
n=14 · A/E 2.61 · £1 +4.70
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−12.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−12.0
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
66.7%+54.7
n=3 · A/E 4.80 · £1 +7.70
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
50%+38.0
n=2 · A/E 11.40 · £1 +27.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=7 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −1.23
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
35.7%+23.7
n=14 · A/E 2.26 · £1 +7.27

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Standard (AW) going 17.9% vs 12% · n=39
In Class 6 14.8% vs 12% · n=54
In Flat races 12% vs 12% · n=75 · A/E 1.25
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 39 7 17.9% +15.60
Good 14 2 14.3% +0.00
Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00
Good to Soft 7 0 0% −7.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 15 2 13.3% −7.80
Southwell (AW) 13 3 23.1% +24.57
Beverley 8 1 12.5% −0.50
Redcar 7 0 0% −7.00
Newcastle (AW) 7 1 14.3% −1.50
Catterick 5 0 0% −5.00
Ayr 3 0 0% −3.00
Doncaster 3 0 0% −3.00
Yarmouth 2 0 0% −2.00
Kempton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Chelmsford City (AW) 2 1 50% +2.33
Ripon 2 0 0% −2.00
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Thirsk 1 0 0% −1.00
Pontefract 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 54 8 14.8% +7.10
Class 5 16 1 6.3% −8.50
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 4 40% 1.57 +4.27
2nd–3rd fav 14 3 21.4% 1.49 +3.83
4th–6th fav 26 1 3.8% 0.51 −18.50
7th+ in betting 25 1 4% 1.42 +4.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Can Can Girl (IRE)then Tim Easterby 10 1 3 20 Dec 22
Sovereign Moon (GB) 9 1 2 2 Aug 22
Lady Ziana (GB)from Richard Fahey · then Paul Midgley 8 0 3 29 Oct 22
Crystal Dawn (IRE)from Gavin Cromwell · then Ronald Thompson 7 2 3 17 Oct 22
Blazing Hot (GB)from Rebecca Menzies · then David C Griffiths 5 2 3 23 Jan 23
Magic Gem (GB)then David C Griffiths 5 1 4 3 Mar 22
Drakeholes (GB)then Alison Hamilton 4 0 2 27 Jul 22
Hypersonical (IRE)from Hugo Palmer 4 0 0 16 Jul 22
Sun Rising (IRE)then Craig Lidster 3 0 0 28 Sep 22
All 15 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 15 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 8 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for David C Griffiths (5); 4 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
905017110001722·33
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Cam Hardie 16 0 0% −16.00
Kevin Stott 12 1 8.3% −4.50
Ben Robinson 6 0 0% −6.00
Oliver Stammers 5 2 40% +7.50
George Rooke 4 1 25% +0.20
Dylan Hogan 4 1 25% +0.33
David Probert 3 1 33.3% +26.00
Rhys Clutterbuck 3 1 33.3% −1.43
J F Egan 2 0 0% −2.00
James Sullivan 2 0 0% −2.00
Adam Farragher 1 0 0% −1.00
Lewis Edmunds 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
229
Archived wins
10
Pattern / graded wins
£2.25m
Prize money
2016
Best season · 26 wins
Frederick Engels (GB) — TNT July Stakes (Group 2) Newmarket · Jul 2011 · Group 2
£34,026
My Catch (IRE) — Prix de Cabourg Jockey Club de Turquie (2yo) (Turf) Deauville (FR) · Jul 2013 · Group 3
£32,520
Royal Performer (GB) — bet365 Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2016 · Class 2
£32,345

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Dawn Approach (IRE) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 8% of 3,562 runs since 2008 (358 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.6% from 333. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12% from 125. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 179.
Champs Elysees (GB) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,115 runs since 2008 (520 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.
Swiss Spirit (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,644 runs since 2008 (243 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.5% from 244. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 3.7% from 136.
Night Of Thunder (IRE) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,038 runs since 2008 (556 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.
Rip Van Winkle (IRE) 28.6% · 2–7
Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,947 runs since 2008 (324 horses).
Acclamation (GB) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 10% of 19,672 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 193.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,160 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,160 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 March 2008 to 23 January 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
14 Oct 22 Newcastle (AW) Lady Ziana (GB)J: Dylan Hogan Market Lane HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 3rd 66/1
03 Oct 22 Wolverhampton (AW) Lady Ziana (GB)J: George Rooke Cazoo Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 18/1
28 Sep 22 Catterick Sun Rising (IRE)J: Connor Beasley racingtv.com/freetrial HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 66/1
20 Sep 22 Beverley Sun Rising (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan Carpe Diem HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Brown's strike rate?
David Brown has won 9 of 75 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 12% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is David Brown's Fair A/E?
1.25, from 75 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).