What is Richard Patrick's strike rate?

Richard Patrick has won 199 of 1,723 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Richard Patrick do best at?

Hereford by strike rate: 23 wins from 120 rides (19.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Richard Patrick ride most for?

Kerry Lee, with 458 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 73 (15.9%).

What is Richard Patrick's Fair A/E?

1.02, from 1,718 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Richard Patrick

1,723 rides in the lifetime window · 664 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 62 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

199–1,723

Wins / Runs

11.5%

Strike rate

n=1,723

516 (30%)

Placed

1.02

Fair A/E

n=1,718 · 0.89 incl. margin

−348.62

£1 level stake

n=1,723 at SP · −20.2%

£2.71m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.02). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 25% (203 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,723 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 34.9% when favourite Kerry Lee: 15.9% from 458 LTO winners: 25.1% Group/Graded: 15.9% Rides the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Hereford (19.2%, n=120) and Cheltenham (17.5%, n=57) — all clear of the rider's 11.5% baseline. It is weakest at Warwick (2.4% over 85 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 25.1% (n=203, Fair A/E 1.31), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 8% (n=264, Fair A/E 1.31). Kerry Lee supplies 27% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.9% vs 11.5%, A/E 1.13) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham (Nov 2019, £90,032). The standout partner of the record: Happy Diva (IRE) — 7 wins from 25 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

9.5%−2.0

n=664 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −22.22

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

25.1%+13.6

n=203 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +10.15

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9%−2.5

n=456 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −83.06

When favourite

34.9%

n=172 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −3.21

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

11.3%−0.2

n=575 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −111.99

Big fields · 14+ runners

8%−3.5

n=264 · A/E 1.31 · £1 −36.26

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.9%+4.4

n=88 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −15.67

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 25.1% vs 11.5% · n=203

At Warwick 2.4% vs 11.5% · n=85

At Hereford 19.2% vs 11.5% · n=120

With Kerry Lee 15.9% vs 11.5% · n=458

With first-time headgear 5.6% vs 11.5% · n=72

At Cheltenham 17.5% vs 11.5% · n=57

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 953 107 11.2% −246.23

Chase 634 81 12.8% −123.22

NH Flat 129 10 7.8% +17.83

Flat 7 1 14.3% +3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 595 65 10.9% −123.06

Soft 461 55 11.9% −48.81

Good to Soft 425 45 10.6% −206.06

Heavy 193 30 15.5% +51.81

Good to Firm 40 3 7.5% −23.50

Standard (AW) 9 1 11.1% +1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 137 15 10.9% −19.78

Ffos Las 123 11 8.9% −48.87

Ludlow 121 15 12.4% −25.55

Hereford 120 23 19.2% −7.07

Chepstow 96 9 9.4% −54.25

Stratford 87 12 13.8% +5.82

Worcester 86 8 9.3% −24.05

Warwick 85 2 2.4% −72.50

Bangor-on-Dee 66 5 7.6% −36.75

Southwell 58 7 12.1% −14.62

Cheltenham 57 10 17.5% +14.58

Huntingdon 57 7 12.3% +50.08

Wetherby 52 7 13.5% −21.91

Exeter 48 4 8.3% +49.10

Market Rasen 46 5 10.9% −11.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 702 81 11.5% −240.26

Class 5 516 58 11.2% +23.21

Class 3 278 32 11.5% −70.15

Class 2 115 11 9.6% −52.25

Class 1 97 14 14.4% −24.67

Class 6 14 2 14.3% −0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 211 71 33.6% 1.15 +1.42

2nd–3rd fav 422 68 16.1% 0.97 −78.04

4th–6th fav 585 51 8.7% 1.08 −15.00

7th+ in betting 505 9 1.8% 0.57 −257.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.8% completed · 1,587 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 634 75.4% 17 15 122 1 1

Hurdle 953 81.1% 14 13 150 2 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Magic Dancer (GB) 37 6 17 1 Sep 24

Happy Diva (IRE) 25 7 16 18 Mar 21

Ballybegg (IRE) 21 4 6 25 Jul 25

Eaton Collina (IRE) 21 5 12 19 Apr 25

Not Sure (IRE) 18 2 9 19 Jan 25

Greenrock Abbey (IRE) 15 2 7 17 May 25

Nemean Lion (GER) 15 7 11 13 Mar 25

Honest Vic (IRE) 15 2 3 7 May 22

Della Casa Lunga (IRE) 14 2 4 20 Feb 26

Storm Control (IRE) 13 2 4 18 Jun 24

Orchard Grove (IRE) 13 3 6 26 Nov 23

Do It For Thy Sen (IRE) 13 1 3 3 Feb 23

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 664 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1115141110109119101311

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardKerry Lee

27% of all rides
15.9% SR · A/E 1.13

TrainerRWSR£1

Kerry Lee 458 73 15.9% −66.59

Henry Daly 269 36 13.4% −57.58

Clive Boultbee-Brooks 177 14 7.9% −81.56

Michael Scudamore 124 10 8.1% −11.76

Matt Sheppard 70 8 11.4% +1.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

199

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.71m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 30 wins

Happy Diva (IRE) — BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Nov 2019 · Grade 3

£90,032

Nemean Lion (GER) — Weatherbys Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide Hurdle (GBB Race) Windsor · Jan 2025 · Class 2

£52,030

Tune In A Box (IRE) — Blood-Stock.com Full Circle Series Final Handicap Hurdle Punchestown · Apr 2024

£47,200

Notable horses

Happy Diva (IRE) Nemean Lion (GER) Magic Dancer (GB) Eaton Collina (IRE) Ballybegg (IRE) Definite Future (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 8.6% · 5–58

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,890 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Getaway (GER) 5.6% · 3–54

Progeny have won 11.3% of 11,030 runs since 2016 (1,034 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Presenting (GB) 11.8% · 6–51

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Mahler (GB) 14.9% · 7–47

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,894 runs since 2014 (790 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Kayf Tara (GB) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,769 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Norse Dancer (IRE) 15% · 6–40

Progeny have won 9.4% of 1,801 runs since 2010 (157 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.7% from 278. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.3% from 207.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,723 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,723 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 February 2014 to 11 September 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Sep 26 Doncaster Serious Look (IRE)T: Thomas Faulkner Betfred Leger Legends Classified StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 13 ran 7th 66/1

16 Apr 26 Hereford Red Rubio (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Burcombe Construction Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 16/5

16 Apr 26 Hereford Bowling Shane (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Richard Layton Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 13 ran 10th 80/1

14 Apr 26 Newton Abbot Welcheston Warrier (GB)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Tribute Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 15/2

12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Kantagua Du Large (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Barry Murphy Racing Syndicate Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 6th 5/1

12 Apr 26 Ffos Las El Gavilan (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Tommy Williams Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 12/1

12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Savon (IRE)T: Mickey Bowen Amroth Bay Static Caravan Sales Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 11 ran PU 200/1

12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Half Pint Daisy (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks 3A's Wales' Largest Motorhome Sales Mares' Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 12/1

28 Mar 26 Uttoxeter Libre De Choeur (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Adam Johnson Money Maker Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 4/1

25 Mar 26 Hereford Isabella Islay (GB)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Hereford Quarries Mares' 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/1

24 Mar 26 Taunton Wolf Walker (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Racehorse Ownership From 25 At racingclub.com Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good · 7 ran 6th 6/1

21 Mar 26 Kelso Klassy Pearl (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks BetWright Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 8th 25/1

16 Mar 26 Ffos Las El Gavilan (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Blackmores Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 3/1

15 Mar 26 Chepstow Express Surprise (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Celebrating Tricia And Pauls Wedding Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 11 ran 1st 11/4F

14 Mar 26 Fontwell Karate Kid (IRE)T: Warren Greatrex bettingsites.co.uk UK Betting Sites Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 8/1

13 Mar 26 Doncaster Savon (IRE)T: Mickey Bowen Virgin Bet 'Junior' NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 14/1

11 Mar 26 Huntingdon Red Rubio (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 15 ran 4th 11/2

08 Mar 26 Warwick El Granjero (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Best Cheltenham Odds With Oddschecker Volcano Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 29f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 2nd 11/2

07 Mar 26 Sandown Wolf Walker (IRE)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks European Breeders' Fund Betfair 'National Hunt' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Final (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 20f · Soft · 17 ran PU 12/1

06 Mar 26 Exeter Kantagua Du Large (FR)T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks Ludo Sports And Live Lounge Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard Patrick's strike rate?: Richard Patrick has won 199 of 1,723 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard Patrick do best at?: Hereford by strike rate: 23 wins from 120 rides (19.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Richard Patrick ride most for?: Kerry Lee, with 458 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 73 (15.9%).
What is Richard Patrick's Fair A/E?: 1.02, from 1,718 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.