Sam Ewing
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 120 times a season, across both codes, winning on 10% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 17% (244 rides). The rider is in form now — 4 winners in the last fortnight, above their own baseline.
It is weakest at Thurles (2.3% over 44 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 16.8% (n=244, Fair A/E 1.14), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.7% (n=1,112, Fair A/E 0.95). In Group and Graded company the record are the standout value angle: 11.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.15 and +41.47 to a £1 stake over 273 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Right now the rider is firing: 4 winners from 16 rides in the last 14 days (25%, 15.3pts above the 9.7% baseline). Gordon Elliott supplies 37% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (11.3%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 2.9% over 70 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 61-180-day break: Fair A/E 0.72 across 261 rides (5.4% strike, −83.49 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 31 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle at Punchestown (May 2025, £177,000). Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
In formBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2020→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 2,230 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 2,230 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 July 2020 to 9 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 2) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 5 runs (won 2) · fastest on KTB Speed in 4 runs (won 2, 2 did not run) · to 8 Nov 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Sam Ewing's strike rate?
- Sam Ewing has won 216 of 2,231 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 9 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Sam Ewing do best at?
- Downpatrick by strike rate: 10 wins from 66 rides (15.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Sam Ewing ride most for?
- Gordon Elliott, with 823 rides since 2008 — 37% of the total. That pairing has won 93 (11.3%).
- Is Sam Ewing in form?
- In the last 14 days: 16 rides, 4 winners, a strike rate of 25%. That is above the baseline of 9.7% since 2008.
- What is Sam Ewing's Fair A/E?
- 1.03, from 2,230 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.