Sam Hitchcott
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 170 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 10% (214 rides).
The record is strongest at Ripon (20.4%, n=49) and Beverley (12.5%, n=48) — all clear of the rider's 6% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 10.3% (n=214, Fair A/E 0.83), but in Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3% (n=101, Fair A/E 0.57). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.59 and −230.39 to a £1 stake over 373 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Mick Channon supplies 38% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.6% vs 6%, A/E 0.84). The rider also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (12.2%, n=180). 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the 300,000 Tattersalls Millions 2yo Fillies' Trophy at Newmarket (Oct 2011, £162,330). The standout partner of the record: Sherjawy (IRE) — 5 wins from 40 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 4,182 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 4,182 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 19 June 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Sam Hitchcott's strike rate?
- Sam Hitchcott has won 193 of 3,230 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Sam Hitchcott do best at?
- Sandown by strike rate: 6 wins from 68 rides (8.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Sam Hitchcott ride most for?
- Mick Channon, with 1,226 rides since 2008 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 106 (8.6%).
- What is Sam Hitchcott's Fair A/E?
- 0.76, from 3,213 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.