What is Shane Foley's strike rate?

Shane Foley has won 1,159 of 11,110 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shane Foley do best at?

Bellewstown by strike rate: 34 wins from 237 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shane Foley ride most for?

Mrs J. Harrington, with 3,466 rides since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 431 (12.4%).

Is Shane Foley in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Shane Foley's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 11,094 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shane Foley

11,110 rides in the lifetime window · 4,022 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 7 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

1,159–11,110

Wins / Runs

10.4%

Strike rate

n=11,110

3,402 (31%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=11,094 · 0.82 incl. margin

−3,024.63

£1 level stake

n=11,110 at SP · −27.2%

£28.0m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 580 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 10% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.01). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 13% (972 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 11,110 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 30.6% when favourite Mrs J. Harrington: 12.4% from 3,466 LTO winners: 13.4% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

It is weakest at Punchestown (3.3% over 30 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.4% (n=972, Fair A/E 0.92). Mrs J. Harrington supplies 31% of the rides and edges the rider's average (12.4% vs 10.4%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. 107 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown (IRE) (Sep 2026, £725,001). The standout partner of the record: Banna Boirche (IRE) — 7 wins from 29 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.7%−2.7

n=3,992 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −1,261.44

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

13.4%+3.0

n=972 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −243.25

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9%−1.4

n=1,896 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −456.46

When favourite

30.6%

n=1,055 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −96.42

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.6%−2.8

n=1,077 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −268.37

Big fields · 14+ runners

7.9%−2.5

n=4,596 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −1,464.26

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.3%−1.1

n=1,145 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −184.92

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 5.5% vs 10.4% · n=1,092

With J P Murtagh 17.2% vs 10.4% · n=145

With John James Feane 2.1% vs 10.4% · n=47

At Ascot 4.5% vs 10.4% · n=67

At Punchestown 3.3% vs 10.4% · n=30

With John C McConnell 6.3% vs 10.4% · n=352

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 2,886 298 10.3% −840.96

Soft 2,715 270 9.9% −845.13

Standard (AW) 2,281 258 11.3% −586.89

Good to Firm 1,351 141 10.4% −343.47

Heavy 1,015 102 10% −198.92

Good to Soft 826 87 10.5% −213.76

Firm 36 3 8.3% +4.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk 2,224 247 11.1% −585.38

Curragh 1,484 136 9.2% −265.83

Leopardstown 1,020 113 11.1% −144.13

Naas 789 80 10.1% −171.14

Gowran Park 771 68 8.8% −280.55

Navan 603 65 10.8% −222.45

Cork 540 48 8.9% −229.30

Galway 396 40 10.1% −114.73

Tipperary 354 32 9% −172.25

Fairyhouse 350 39 11.1% −46.04

Roscommon 347 36 10.4% −125.08

Killarney 339 33 9.7% −142.94

Listowel 252 23 9.1% −110.43

Bellewstown 237 34 14.3% −28.95

Down Royal 229 21 9.2% −86.24

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1,145 107 9.3% −184.92

Class 2 69 5 7.2% −38.83

Class 3 23 4 17.4% −14.84

Class 4 20 7 35% +16.78

Class 5 16 2 12.5% −6.77

Class 6 12 2 16.7% −0.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 1,275 377 29.6% 1.13 −87.84

2nd–3rd fav 2,669 397 14.9% 0.97 −590.49

4th–6th fav 3,438 263 7.6% 0.99 −862.30

7th+ in betting 3,728 122 3.3% 0.91 −1,484.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Distance

DistanceRWSR£1

6f – 7f 3,914 394 10.1% −1,145.76

1m – 1m1f 2,984 310 10.4% −750.69

1m2f – 1m4f 2,600 289 11.1% −620.74

Under 6f 925 104 11.2% −251.45

1m5f – 2m 644 60 9.3% −229.49

2m1f – 2m4f 42 2 4.8% −25.50

2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

By season

By seasonRWSR£1

2008 307 19 6.2% −104.00

2009 370 34 9.2% −26.37

2010 281 23 8.2% −66.75

2011 520 44 8.5% −196.25

2012 557 70 12.6% −76.99

2013 607 69 11.4% −151.12

2014 557 55 9.9% −224.73

2015 628 73 11.6% −141.74

2016 613 58 9.5% −265.73

2017 593 55 9.3% −208.41

2018 687 66 9.6% −204.48

2019 746 93 12.5% −211.70

2020 733 94 12.8% −128.85

2021 817 92 11.3% −165.95

2022 675 66 9.8% −240.15

2023 536 53 9.9% −110.59

2024 703 73 10.4% −181.73

2025 659 70 10.6% −169.03

2026 521 52 10% −150.06

Handicaps

HandicapsRWSR£1

Handicaps 5,629 554 9.8% −1,291.41

Field size

Field sizeRWSR£1

14-16 runners 3,247 285 8.8% −819.37

11-13 runners 2,752 283 10.3% −539.02

8-10 runners 2,348 294 12.5% −643.95

17+ runners 1,349 80 5.9% −644.89

5-7 runners 1,299 189 14.5% −380.86

2-4 runners 115 28 24.3% +3.46

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Russian Soul (IRE) 38 5 17 2 Dec 16

Bold Thady Quill (IRE) 37 5 13 26 Jun 16

Strait Of Zanzibar (USA) 35 6 13 23 May 17

In Salutem (GB) 35 4 16 9 Oct 16

Lord Kenmare (USA) 31 4 13 2 Jan 15

Banna Boirche (IRE) 29 7 14 5 Dec 14

Saint By Day (IRE) 28 2 10 1 Mar 13

Castle Guest (IRE) 26 5 11 4 Nov 18

Shadagann (IRE) 22 2 7 19 Aug 17

Glassatura (IRE) 22 2 5 16 Oct 15

Jungle Cove (IRE) 21 2 6 13 Sep 23

Pillar (GB) 21 3 9 1 Jul 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 4,022 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 13 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 3

Only 3 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

119109912111011101210

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMrs J. Harrington

31% of all rides
12.4% SR · A/E 0.99

TrainerRWSR£1

Mrs J. Harrington 3,466 431 12.4% −845.55

M Halford 1,905 235 12.3% −589.19

K J Condon 686 81 11.8% −86.35

John C McConnell 352 22 6.3% −143.50

John Joseph Murphy 281 28 10% −9.25

G. O'Leary 226 23 10.2% −37.42

James McAuley 183 16 8.7% −38.50

Adrian McGuinness 153 14 9.2% −17.25

Edward Lynam 151 16 10.6% −24.52

J P Murtagh 145 25 17.2% +8.00

A Oliver 138 11 8% −85.77

Ross O'Sullivan 124 13 10.5% −38.30

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

1,165

Archived wins

107

Pattern / graded wins

£28.1m

Prize money

2020

Best season · 94 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Hotazhell (GB) — Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) Leopardstown (IRE) · Sep 2026 · Group 1

£725,001

Galeron (IRE) — Goffs Million Curragh · Sep 2022

£611,000

Magical Lagoon (IRE) — Juddmonte Irish Oaks (Fillies' Group 1) Curragh · Jul 2022 · Group 1

£285,000

Notable horses

Banna Boirche (IRE) Strait Of Zanzibar (USA) Russian Soul (IRE) Bold Thady Quill (IRE) Castle Guest (IRE) Success Days (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 12.9% · 33–255

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,874 runs since 2008 (1,572 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.9% from 845.

Lope De Vega (IRE) 10.3% · 22–214

Progeny have won 13.7% of 12,244 runs since 2014 (1,107 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.4% from 962.

Kodiac (GB) 8.9% · 17–190

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,605 runs since 2010 (1,665 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 255.

Holy Roman Emperor (IRE) 13.1% · 24–183

Progeny have won 10.3% of 11,890 runs since 2010 (950 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 305.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 11.2% · 20–178

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,819 runs since 2009 (938 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 321.

Acclamation (GB) 6.7% · 11–165

Progeny have won 10% of 19,719 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 11,287 · newest first

The latest 50 of 11,287 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 25 March 2007 to 7 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

07 Nov 26 Southwell (AW) Deputy General (USA)T: George Boughey AWC Finals Day At Newcastle 26th March Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 6/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Real Encounter (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap6f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 5/1

04 Nov 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Always Changing (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 40/1

26 Oct 26 Redcar Arctic Force (IRE)T: K. R. Burke racingtv.com/Freetrial British Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 3 · 7f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 1/1F

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Drummond Hill (GB)T: Mrs J. Harrington Des Byrne Memorial Maiden10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 11/2

23 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Might Just Be (IRE)T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 7/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Possum (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington WTW Willis Towers Watson Maiden14f · Yielding · 12 ran 3rd 5/2

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Nautic Star (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Kilberry Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 13 ran 2nd 6/4F

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Bad Boy Rizz (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap5f · Yielding · 8 ran 5th 5/1

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Aedhmar (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden5f · Yielding · 10 ran 7th 11/10F

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Pallatine Hills (IRE)T: Eddie & Patrick Harty Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 14th 22/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Cracking Cloud (GB)T: Ross O'Sullivan 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 13th 22/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Chattering Classes (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 1st 16/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Sounds Great (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Bill Hanlon Memorial Fillies Maiden12f · Yielding · 7 ran 2nd 9/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Motta Alta (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap6f · Yielding · 17 ran 12th 11/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) One Flash (IRE)T: Adrian Sexton 1xBet.ie Supporting October Racing Irish EBF Maiden6f · Yielding · 13 ran 6th 22/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Emberelle (IRE)T: John Joseph Murphy Gowran Park Racing Club Fillies Maiden9.5f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 7/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Handsoffshesmine (IRE)T: A. Slattery Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 8th 17/2

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Colfer Hill (IRE)T: K J Condon Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8.5f · Soft · 14 ran 14th 125/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Bear Right (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 7th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 4 runs (won 1, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 9 runs (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 0) · to 4 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Shane Foley's strike rate?: Shane Foley has won 1,159 of 11,110 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 10.4% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane Foley do best at?: Bellewstown by strike rate: 34 wins from 237 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane Foley ride most for?: Mrs J. Harrington, with 3,466 rides since 2008 — 31% of the total. That pairing has won 431 (12.4%).
Is Shane Foley in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 3 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Shane Foley's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 11,094 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.