William Buick
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 580 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 20% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.09). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (2,301 rides).
It is weakest at Ascot (13.7% over 862 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 23.9% (n=2,301, Fair A/E 1.09), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 10.9% (n=1,903, Fair A/E 1.13). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 15.3% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.39 and +31.88 to a £1 stake over 111 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. C Appleby supplies 22% of the rides and beats the rider's average (29.7% vs 19.6%, A/E 1.14) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 9.4% over 85 rides, 10.2pts below the baseline. 438 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Investec Derby at Epsom Downs (Jun 2018, £850,650). The standout partner of the record: Rebel's Romance (IRE) — 8 wins from 10 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fires Jul–Aug.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 19.6% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 19.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 11,573 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 11,573 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 August 2006 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 12 runs (won 3, 1 did not run) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 12 runs (won 5) · fastest on KTB Speed in 3 runs (won 1) · to 24 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is William Buick's strike rate?
- William Buick has won 2,145 of 10,939 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 19.6% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does William Buick do best at?
- Newmarket by strike rate: 173 wins from 728 rides (23.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does William Buick ride most for?
- C Appleby, with 2,375 rides since 2008 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 705 (29.7%).
- Is William Buick in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is William Buick's Fair A/E?
- 1.09, from 10,892 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.